Stonehill
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.4#359
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#242
Pace69.6#176
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#362
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#338
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 4.6% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.5% 18.2% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 27.6% 40.3% 25.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 4.3% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 28.8% 18.3% 30.8%
First Four2.7% 4.2% 2.4%
First Round1.0% 1.7% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 16.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 49 - 149 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 81   @ Notre Dame L 60-89 2%     0 - 1 -18.7 -5.0 -14.6
  Nov 09, 2024 84   @ Providence L 49-76 2%     0 - 2 -17.0 -17.5 +1.4
  Nov 14, 2024 295   @ Robert Morris L 65-75 16%    
  Nov 15, 2024 347   New Orleans L 73-75 41%    
  Nov 17, 2024 351   Lindenwood L 68-70 44%    
  Nov 21, 2024 193   Bryant L 71-81 19%    
  Nov 25, 2024 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 68-66 56%    
  Nov 27, 2024 29   @ Marquette L 56-86 0.3%   
  Dec 01, 2024 247   Quinnipiac L 70-77 26%    
  Dec 15, 2024 144   @ Boston College L 59-78 5%    
  Dec 18, 2024 138   @ Umass Lowell L 64-83 5%    
  Dec 22, 2024 326   New Hampshire L 70-72 43%    
  Dec 29, 2024 216   @ Lafayette L 58-72 10%    
  Jan 03, 2025 356   @ Mercyhurst L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 05, 2025 350   @ St. Francis (PA) L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 10, 2025 339   LIU Brooklyn L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 12, 2025 342   @ Chicago St. L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 20, 2025 337   @ Le Moyne L 67-74 28%    
  Jan 24, 2025 342   Chicago St. L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 26, 2025 348   Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 30, 2025 275   Wagner L 58-63 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 235   Central Connecticut St. L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 08, 2025 339   @ LIU Brooklyn L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 13, 2025 350   St. Francis (PA) W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 356   Mercyhurst W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 20, 2025 275   @ Wagner L 55-66 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 235   @ Central Connecticut St. L 60-74 11%    
  Feb 27, 2025 348   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 73-78 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 337   Le Moyne L 70-71 48%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.6 0.7 0.1 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.0 0.7 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.2 3.8 0.7 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.9 4.8 0.8 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 6.5 5.2 0.9 0.0 15.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.6 6.8 5.1 1.0 0.0 17.2 8th
9th 0.9 3.2 5.5 6.0 3.2 0.7 0.0 19.6 9th
Total 0.9 3.2 6.3 9.8 12.2 14.1 13.5 12.3 9.8 7.3 5.0 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 95.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 73.0% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 40.6% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 19.1% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 48.1% 48.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 27.4% 27.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-3 0.7% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
12-4 1.7% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.4
11-5 2.8% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.4
10-6 5.0% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.4 4.5
9-7 7.3% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.4 6.9
8-8 9.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 9.5
7-9 12.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.0
6-10 13.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.3
5-11 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.9
4-12 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.2
3-13 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
2-14 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
1-15 3.2% 3.2
0-16 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%