Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
197 Central Connecticut St. 55.2%   15   18 - 6 11 - 2 21 - 6 14 - 2 -2.1      -3.7 274 +1.7 127 65.4 256 +0.7 154 -1.7 1
318 Fairleigh Dickinson 10.2%   8 - 17 7 - 6 10 - 18 9 - 7 -9.2      -6.1 329 -3.1 257 72.3 72 -11.3 331 -10.0 4
323 LIU Brooklyn 11.6%   11 - 15 9 - 4 13 - 16 11 - 5 -9.5      -9.7 359 +0.3 165 64.2 289 -9.1 312 -5.9 2
324 Stonehill 9.1%   12 - 14 6 - 7 13 - 16 7 - 9 -9.7      -3.9 277 -5.8 335 63.8 295 -9.0 309 -12.5 6
331 St. Francis (PA) 6.2%   8 - 17 6 - 8 9 - 18 7 - 9 -10.5      -4.6 302 -5.9 337 68.0 186 -10.7 328 -11.9 5
347 Wagner 2.5%   9 - 13 5 - 8 10 - 15 6 - 10 -12.7      -9.2 357 -3.4 277 55.9 361 -11.4 333 -14.0 7
350 Mercyhurst 3.3%   11 - 16 8 - 7 12 - 16 9 - 7 -12.9      -6.6 338 -6.2 340 63.0 317 -9.4 315 -9.2 3
357 Le Moyne 1.0%   7 - 19 4 - 9 8 - 21 5 - 11 -13.8      -4.7 305 -9.1 359 70.3 121 -13.4 345 -16.0 9
360 Chicago St. 1.0%   4 - 24 4 - 9 5 - 26 5 - 11 -15.7      -10.5 362 -5.2 321 71.7 81 -15.9 355 -14.8 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Central Connecticut St. 1.0 100.0 0.1
Fairleigh Dickinson 3.3 15.7 52.1 22.0 4.5 5.6 0.2
LIU Brooklyn 2.0 1.3 96.1 2.6
Stonehill 5.0 0.4 10.5 17.7 37.2 29.5 4.6 0.2
St. Francis (PA) 4.9 7.7 23.7 43.2 21.1 4.2 0.1
Wagner 6.7 0.4 1.6 11.2 20.3 51.0 13.5 1.9
Mercyhurst 3.3 4.3 65.9 29.5 0.4
Le Moyne 8.1 0.0 1.0 5.1 14.7 46.1 33.1
Chicago St. 7.7 0.0 2.8 6.8 27.6 40.0 22.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Central Connecticut St. 14 - 2 0.4 6.4 33.7 59.5
Fairleigh Dickinson 9 - 7 8.9 32.0 40.5 18.8
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 8.8 34.3 40.9 16.0
Stonehill 7 - 9 13.8 49.6 31.7 4.9
St. Francis (PA) 7 - 9 10.4 44.6 45.1
Wagner 6 - 10 28.1 44.9 23.2 3.7
Mercyhurst 9 - 7 29.2 70.8
Le Moyne 5 - 11 38.2 46.0 14.6 1.2
Chicago St. 5 - 11 28.9 45.4 22.4 3.3




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Central Connecticut St. 100.0% 98.7 1.3
Fairleigh Dickinson
LIU Brooklyn 1.3% 0.1 1.3
Stonehill
St. Francis (PA)
Wagner
Mercyhurst
Le Moyne
Chicago St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Central Connecticut St. 55.2% 55.2% 0.0% 15   0.0 2.1 17.2 29.6 6.3 44.8 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 10.2 89.8 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0 11.6 88.4 0.0%
Stonehill 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 9.1 90.9 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 6.2 93.8 0.0%
Wagner 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 2.5 97.5 0.0%
Mercyhurst 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 3.3 96.7 0.0%
Le Moyne 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0 99.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0 99.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Connecticut St. 55.2% 0.9% 54.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 10.2% 10.2% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 11.6% 11.2% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 9.1% 9.0% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 6.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 2.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 3.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 1.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 1.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.0% 0.7 29.0 71.0
2nd Round 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0