Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
208 LIU Brooklyn 41.4%   16   6 - 6 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 4 -3.0      -1.1 197 -1.8 230 73.5 72 -0.7 172 0.0 1
280 Central Connecticut St. 22.4%   4 - 5 0 - 0 15 - 12 11 - 7 -6.3      -4.3 288 -2.0 237 64.9 302 -2.0 193 0.0 1
294 Wagner 19.1%   2 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 13 11 - 7 -7.1      -4.4 290 -2.7 262 68.8 208 -6.6 264 0.0 1
311 Le Moyne 0.0%   4 - 8 0 - 0 12 - 14 8 - 6 -8.5      -1.6 208 -6.9 349 70.9 140 -7.2 275 0.0 1
318 Mercyhurst 0.0%   3 - 8 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -9.3      -6.3 336 -3.1 279 62.6 342 -9.5 311 0.0 1
336 Chicago St. 6.6%   1 - 11 0 - 0 9 - 21 8 - 10 -10.7      -5.2 311 -5.5 336 71.0 136 -8.9 306 0.0 1
338 Stonehill 6.1%   1 - 10 0 - 0 9 - 20 8 - 10 -11.1      -9.2 358 -2.0 233 65.8 279 -17.6 354 0.0 1
340 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 18 8 - 10 -11.4      -8.7 355 -2.8 270 63.3 330 -10.2 317 0.0 1
358 Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9%   0 - 9 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.5      -6.1 331 -8.5 359 69.9 168 -20.9 362 0.0 1
360 St. Francis (PA) 1.2%   0 - 11 0 - 0 5 - 21 5 - 10 -15.5      -8.9 357 -6.5 346 72.4 102 -17.4 353 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Dec 28 158 Boston College 72 311 Le Moyne 64   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Mon, Dec 29 22 Georgia 97 208 LIU Brooklyn 75 97%   
Mon, Dec 29 358 Fairleigh Dickinson 58 95 Minnesota 82 98%   
Mon, Dec 29 340 New Haven 54 9 Vanderbilt 89 100%   
Fri, Jan 2 280 Central Connecticut St. 69 208 LIU Brooklyn 76 73%   
Fri, Jan 2 340 New Haven 61 338 Stonehill 64 63%   
Fri, Jan 2 336 Chicago St. 73 294 Wagner 74 52%   
Fri, Jan 2 358 Fairleigh Dickinson 66 318 Mercyhurst 74 78%   
Fri, Jan 2 311 Le Moyne 80 360 St. Francis (PA) 76 65%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 2.7 29.0 26.1 18.1 11.1 7.1 4.3 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.1
Central Connecticut St. 2.8 35.1 20.3 13.8 9.8 7.3 5.1 3.4 2.3 1.3 0.5
Wagner 3.2 29.2 19.5 14.8 10.5 8.3 6.2 4.5 3.3 1.8 0.8
Le Moyne 5.7 2.5 6.6 10.0 13.3 14.7 15.1 13.8 11.7 8.5 3.8
Mercyhurst 5.2 6.4 9.4 12.4 13.6 13.8 13.2 12.2 9.4 6.6 3.1
Chicago St. 5.1 7.4 10.1 11.9 13.0 13.2 12.5 11.4 9.5 7.0 4.0
Stonehill 5.4 6.5 8.6 11.0 12.0 12.8 12.8 12.0 11.0 8.4 5.0
New Haven 5.6 5.9 8.2 10.3 11.3 12.0 12.1 12.5 11.8 9.6 6.4
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4 1.5 2.6 4.0 5.8 7.5 10.0 12.5 16.0 20.0 20.2
St. Francis (PA) 8.4 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.4 4.2 6.7 10.0 15.1 23.9 35.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.2 6.1 10.4 14.8 18.8 18.9 14.9 8.1 2.5
Central Connecticut St. 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.6 6.8 9.7 12.3 14.1 14.3 13.0 9.9 6.5 3.1
Wagner 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.3 5.7 8.6 10.8 13.3 13.7 13.3 11.4 8.4 4.9 2.4
Le Moyne 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.8 8.7 12.5 15.9 17.2 15.3 11.5 7.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
Mercyhurst 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.7 6.8 10.3 13.9 15.2 15.4 13.1 9.4 5.5 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.0
Chicago St. 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.1 7.0 10.3 13.4 14.5 14.2 12.4 9.1 6.1 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.6 4.8 8.4 11.1 13.8 14.6 13.7 11.3 8.3 5.0 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
New Haven 8 - 8 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.2 6.1 9.0 12.1 13.6 13.6 12.9 10.5 7.6 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.6 2.4 5.6 9.7 13.3 15.1 15.1 12.9 9.7 6.9 4.3 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 11 1.3 4.8 10.1 14.9 18.1 17.3 13.5 9.3 6.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 29.0% 17.4 8.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 35.1% 24.3 8.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
Wagner 29.2% 19.5 7.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Le Moyne 2.5% 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mercyhurst 6.4% 3.1 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Chicago St. 7.4% 4.0 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 6.5% 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
New Haven 5.9% 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.5% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 41.4% 41.4% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.7 4.0 15.1 21.6 58.6 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 23.0% 23.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.9 18.4 77.0 0.0%
Wagner 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 17.7 80.3 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 6.6 93.4 0.0%
Stonehill 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 6.1 93.9 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2 98.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 41.4% 9.4% 36.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 23.0% 12.4% 16.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 19.7% 13.8% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.1% 6.0% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 1.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 72.8% 0.7 27.2 72.8
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0