Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
227 LIU Brooklyn 34.1%   5 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 11 11 - 4 -3.9      -2.0 222 -2.0 231 73.1 94 +0.5 162 0.0 1
243 Central Connecticut St. 31.6%   16   3 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 10 12 - 6 -4.5      -4.2 285 -0.4 175 64.9 300 +3.3 124 0.0 1
298 Wagner 17.2%   1 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 14 10 - 8 -7.6      -5.1 307 -2.5 251 68.8 199 -7.5 286 0.0 1
306 Le Moyne 0.0%   4 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 14 8 - 6 -8.1      -0.5 177 -7.6 359 70.9 149 -6.1 266 0.0 1
324 Mercyhurst 0.0%   2 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 16 8 - 8 -9.5      -5.8 323 -3.8 298 62.5 346 -10.0 306 0.0 1
332 New Haven 0.0%   2 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 17 9 - 9 -10.3      -7.6 350 -2.7 258 63.4 324 -5.7 257 0.0 1
339 Stonehill 6.1%   1 - 8 0 - 0 9 - 20 8 - 10 -11.2      -8.0 354 -3.2 273 66.2 271 -16.7 355 0.0 1
352 Chicago St. 3.6%   0 - 9 0 - 0 7 - 23 7 - 11 -12.8      -5.6 320 -7.2 354 71.0 146 -11.9 327 0.0 1
357 St. Francis (PA) 2.3%   0 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 20 5 - 10 -13.9      -9.2 362 -4.7 333 75.4 45 -16.4 354 0.0 1
362 Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0%   0 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 22 6 - 12 -14.8      -6.2 333 -8.7 362 71.9 125 -21.9 364 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 243 Central Connecticut St. 61 64 Seton Hall 77   
Fri, Dec 5 327 Lafayette 79 324 Mercyhurst 71   
Sat, Dec 6 227 LIU Brooklyn 87 307 Lehigh 82   
Sat, Dec 6 354 Binghamton 63 306 Le Moyne 78   
Sat, Dec 6 145 Boston College 67 332 New Haven 63   
Sat, Dec 6 352 Chicago St. 53 92 Illinois St. 95   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 243 Central Connecticut St. 67 228 Northeastern 70 64%   
Sun, Dec 7 288 Radford 84 357 St. Francis (PA) 75 82%   
Wed, Dec 10 348 NJIT 67 332 New Haven 66 54%   
Wed, Dec 10 362 Fairleigh Dickinson 65 229 Fordham 79 90%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
LIU Brooklyn 3.2 20.3 24.5 19.7 13.5 9.0 5.6 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.4
Central Connecticut St. 2.2 46.8 19.0 11.0 7.3 4.5 3.1 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.3
Wagner 3.5 22.4 20.4 15.3 11.9 9.0 7.0 5.4 4.0 2.4 1.4
Le Moyne 5.5 2.9 7.5 11.0 13.8 15.2 14.6 13.0 10.6 7.4 4.0
Mercyhurst 5.2 6.0 9.9 12.1 13.6 13.3 13.0 11.5 9.6 6.9 4.1
New Haven 4.9 9.5 12.0 12.5 12.6 12.2 11.2 10.2 8.6 6.8 4.4
Stonehill 5.5 6.0 9.0 11.1 12.0 12.4 12.6 11.9 10.3 8.6 6.0
Chicago St. 6.4 2.7 5.6 7.6 9.3 10.9 12.0 13.2 13.7 13.6 11.3
St. Francis (PA) 7.7 0.6 1.5 3.1 4.7 7.3 9.3 12.3 16.4 20.7 24.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4 1.2 2.8 4.2 5.7 7.2 9.6 11.8 15.1 18.8 23.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 11 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.7 5.1 8.6 12.8 15.8 17.8 16.0 11.7 6.1 1.6
Central Connecticut St. 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.5 4.5 6.6 9.5 11.9 13.9 14.0 13.5 10.5 6.8
Wagner 10 - 6 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.4 6.9 9.4 11.6 13.4 13.2 12.2 10.0 7.0 4.3 2.0
Le Moyne 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.4 8.1 11.9 15.0 16.7 15.7 12.1 7.6 3.8 1.4 0.3
Mercyhurst 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.3 7.4 10.5 13.6 14.7 14.4 12.4 9.2 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.0
New Haven 9 - 7 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.2 4.4 6.4 9.4 12.0 13.7 13.2 11.6 9.7 7.4 4.5 2.6 1.2 0.4
Stonehill 8 - 8 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.4 8.8 11.2 13.5 13.9 13.2 11.0 7.9 5.1 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.2
Chicago St. 7 - 9 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.6 9.1 12.2 13.8 14.1 12.8 10.6 7.7 5.1 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
St. Francis (PA) 5 - 11 0.7 2.9 7.1 11.1 14.9 16.3 14.5 12.2 9.0 6.0 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 6 - 10 0.8 3.2 6.9 10.5 13.3 14.8 14.3 12.0 9.0 6.4 4.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
LIU Brooklyn 20.3% 11.6 6.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 46.8% 35.1 9.2 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
Wagner 22.4% 14.3 6.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Le Moyne 2.9% 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mercyhurst 6.0% 2.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
New Haven 9.5% 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 6.0% 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chicago St. 2.7% 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 1.2% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
LIU Brooklyn 34.1% 34.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 9.8 21.2 65.9 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 34.2% 34.2% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 0.9 3.2 8.7 21.2 65.8 0.0%
Wagner 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 16.4 82.3 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stonehill 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0 6.1 93.9 0.0%
Chicago St. 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 3.6 96.4 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 2.3 97.7 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 2.0 98.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 34.1% 11.7% 28.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 34.2% 12.7% 27.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 17.7% 13.9% 10.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Le Moyne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercyhurst 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Haven 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 6.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 3.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 2.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 71.6% 0.7 28.4 71.6
2nd Round 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0