IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Chicago St.
Northeast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.3	#332
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.9	#312
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.5	#345

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.8	#305

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.0%	20.9%	11.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	16.7%	43.8%	15.6%
.500 or above in Conference	66.7%	86.3%	65.8%
Conference Champion	14.2%	27.5%	13.6%
Last Place in Conference	6.3%	1.7%	6.5%

First Four	10.3%	14.9%	10.1%
First Round	6.0%	12.8%	5.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 4.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 3	1 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 10	12 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	100	@ Loyola Chicago	L	58-77	4%
Nov 09, 2024	198	Youngstown St.	L	66-72	30%
Nov 12, 2024	17	@ Texas	L	54-80	1%
Nov 16, 2024	82	@ San Francisco	L	57-77	4%
Nov 19, 2024	255	Eastern Kentucky	L	68-71	41%
Nov 22, 2024	132	@ Indiana St.	L	64-79	9%
Nov 25, 2024	269	Radford	L	61-66	33%
Nov 30, 2024	44	@ Wisconsin	L	54-78	2%
Dec 02, 2024	201	@ St. Thomas	L	58-69	16%
Dec 08, 2024	94	@ Saint Louis	L	62-81	5%
Dec 15, 2024	208	@ Mercer	L	60-71	17%
Dec 19, 2024	69	@ Grand Canyon	L	57-79	3%
Dec 21, 2024	239	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	67-76	21%
Dec 29, 2024	22	@ Illinois	L	58-84	1%
Jan 03, 2025	285	@ Wagner	L	55-62	27%
Jan 05, 2025	352	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	69-70	48%
Jan 12, 2025	356	Stonehill	W	70-63	72%
Jan 18, 2025	335	Le Moyne	W	69-65	62%
Jan 20, 2025	347	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	75-70	66%
Jan 24, 2025	356	@ Stonehill	W	67-66	53%
Jan 26, 2025	304	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	63-69	31%
Feb 01, 2025	352	LIU Brooklyn	W	72-66	68%
Feb 06, 2025	362	Mercyhurst	W	71-60	81%
Feb 08, 2025	354	St. Francis (PA)	W	68-62	70%
Feb 13, 2025	347	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	72-73	46%
Feb 15, 2025	335	@ Le Moyne	L	66-68	42%
Feb 20, 2025	304	Central Connecticut St.	W	66-65	50%
Feb 22, 2025	285	Wagner	L	58-59	46%
Feb 27, 2025	362	@ Mercyhurst	W	68-63	65%
Mar 01, 2025	354	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	66-65	51%
Projected Record						11 - 19	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.5	3.4	4.2	3.0	1.3	0.4		14.2	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	3.2	5.6	4.1	1.6	0.2				15.3	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	4.4	6.3	3.1	0.6	0.0					15.3	3rd
4th							0.0	0.9	4.9	6.1	2.1	0.2	0.0						14.3	4th
5th						0.0	1.0	4.2	5.3	1.7	0.1								12.4	5th
6th					0.1	0.9	3.7	4.3	1.3	0.1									10.3	6th
7th				0.1	1.0	3.1	3.2	0.9	0.0										8.4	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	1.1	2.4	2.0	0.5	0.0											6.3	8th
9th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.2	0.8	0.2	0.0												3.5	9th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.1	2.4	4.2	6.2	8.5	10.4	12.4	12.9	12.0	10.5	8.2	5.8	3.2	1.3	0.4			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
15-1	100.0%	1.3		1.3	0.0
14-2	93.2%	3.0		2.6	0.4	0.0
13-3	72.5%	4.2		2.8	1.3	0.1
12-4	41.9%	3.4		1.6	1.5	0.4	0.0
11-5	14.4%	1.5		0.3	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	14.2%	14.2		9.0	3.9	1.0	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.4%		56.0%	56.0%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2
15-1	1.3%		50.7%	50.7%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7
14-2	3.2%		40.4%	40.4%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.1	1.9
13-3	5.8%		31.1%	31.1%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.7	4.0
12-4	8.2%		23.2%	23.2%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.9	6.3
11-5	10.5%		18.2%	18.2%		16.0																0.0	1.9	8.6
10-6	12.0%		13.0%	13.0%		16.0																	1.6	10.5
9-7	12.9%		8.3%	8.3%		16.0																	1.1	11.8
8-8	12.4%		6.5%	6.5%		16.0																	0.8	11.6
7-9	10.4%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.4	9.9
6-10	8.5%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	8.3
5-11	6.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
4-12	4.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
3-13	2.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.4
2-14	1.1%																							1.1
1-15	0.4%																							0.4
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		12.0%	12.0%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.5	11.3	88.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%