Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.7#360
Expected Predictive Rating-15.9#355
Pace71.7#81
Improvement+1.8#112

Offense
Total Offense-10.5#362
First Shot-8.5#358
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#294
Layup/Dunks-4.5#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#237
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#179
Freethrows-3.2#346
Improvement+2.4#71

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#321
First Shot-2.4#254
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#344
Layups/Dunks-3.1#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#141
Freethrows-2.2#319
Improvement-0.6#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.5% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 59.1% 36.8% 80.9%
First Four1.0% 1.5% 0.6%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 50 - 9
Quad 30 - 50 - 14
Quad 45 - 135 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 110   @ Loyola Chicago L 72-79 3%     0 - 1 -1.1 -0.6 -0.1
  Nov 09, 2024 186   Youngstown St. L 60-80 14%     0 - 2 -24.1 -15.6 -7.7
  Nov 12, 2024 36   @ Texas L 58-105 1%     0 - 3 -31.7 -13.5 -13.7
  Nov 16, 2024 69   @ San Francisco L 37-82 2%     0 - 4 -34.3 -31.0 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2024 191   Eastern Kentucky L 66-86 15%     0 - 5 -24.4 -16.4 -6.5
  Nov 22, 2024 203   @ Indiana St. L 61-97 8%     0 - 6 -35.7 -15.9 -18.3
  Nov 25, 2024 177   Radford L 48-63 9%     0 - 7 -15.9 -21.3 +3.6
  Nov 26, 2024 195   Drexel L 71-83 10%     0 - 8 -13.9 +4.8 -19.8
  Nov 30, 2024 7   @ Wisconsin L 53-74 0.3%    0 - 9 +0.3 -9.2 +8.2
  Dec 02, 2024 126   @ St. Thomas L 76-98 4%     0 - 10 -17.7 -8.3 -6.7
  Dec 08, 2024 109   @ Saint Louis L 62-85 3%     0 - 11 -17.1 -4.9 -13.3
  Dec 15, 2024 256   @ Mercer L 63-75 12%     0 - 12 -14.7 -9.6 -5.1
  Dec 19, 2024 89   @ Grand Canyon L 51-74 2%     0 - 13 -14.6 -19.3 +6.4
  Dec 21, 2024 114   @ Cal St. Northridge L 57-81 4%     0 - 14 -18.6 -18.6 +2.5
  Dec 29, 2024 18   @ Illinois L 64-117 0.5%    0 - 15 -34.3 -7.9 -20.6
  Jan 03, 2025 347   @ Wagner W 64-52 29%     1 - 15 1 - 0 +1.9 -0.1 +4.1
  Jan 05, 2025 323   @ LIU Brooklyn L 39-53 20%     1 - 16 1 - 1 -20.9 -26.8 +3.9
  Jan 12, 2025 324   Stonehill L 52-68 37%     1 - 17 1 - 2 -28.3 -22.0 -8.1
  Jan 18, 2025 357   Le Moyne W 88-72 53%     2 - 17 2 - 2 -0.4 +1.9 -2.8
  Jan 20, 2025 318   Fairleigh Dickinson L 48-58 35%     2 - 18 2 - 3 -21.8 -27.1 +5.0
  Jan 24, 2025 324   @ Stonehill L 73-75 21%     2 - 19 2 - 4 -9.2 -0.3 -9.0
  Jan 26, 2025 197   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-81 7%     2 - 20 2 - 5 -16.5 -5.2 -11.5
  Feb 01, 2025 323   LIU Brooklyn W 73-67 OT 36%     3 - 20 3 - 5 -6.0 -2.0 -4.1
  Feb 06, 2025 350   Mercyhurst W 85-78 49%     4 - 20 4 - 5 -8.4 -0.1 -8.7
  Feb 08, 2025 331   St. Francis (PA) L 69-81 40%     4 - 21 4 - 6 -25.1 -9.1 -16.3
  Feb 13, 2025 318   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 49-91 20%     4 - 22 4 - 7 -48.7 -25.0 -24.1
  Feb 15, 2025 357   @ Le Moyne L 75-80 33%     4 - 23 4 - 8 -16.3 -6.8 -9.4
  Feb 20, 2025 197   Central Connecticut St. L 75-81 15%     4 - 24 4 - 9 -10.6 +1.5 -12.1
  Feb 22, 2025 347   Wagner L 61-62 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 350   @ Mercyhurst L 66-71 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 331   @ St. Francis (PA) L 68-76 21%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.6 2.2 2.8 5th
6th 5.8 1.0 6.8 6th
7th 13.3 14.3 27.6 7th
8th 11.1 27.2 1.7 40.0 8th
9th 17.9 4.9 0.0 22.7 9th
Total 28.9 45.4 22.4 3.3 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 3.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.3
6-10 22.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 22.0
5-11 45.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.5 44.9
4-12 28.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 28.8
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.1%
Lose Out 28.0%