Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#105
Expected Predictive Rating+13.2#30
Pace70.5#144
Improvement+2.1#23

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#135
First Shot-2.5#251
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#29
Layup/Dunks+1.5#119
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#289
Freethrows+1.6#103
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#88
First Shot+3.6#76
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#229
Layups/Dunks+2.6#101
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#121
Freethrows-1.6#267
Improvement+2.0#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.1% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Average Seed 10.8 10.7 11.4
.500 or above 85.1% 89.8% 72.5%
.500 or above in Conference 61.3% 65.1% 51.3%
Conference Champion 7.3% 8.2% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 3.1% 6.5%
First Four1.3% 1.6% 0.6%
First Round8.0% 9.2% 4.8%
Second Round2.3% 2.8% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Home) - 72.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 37 - 411 - 10
Quad 48 - 119 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 349   Chicago St. W 79-72 96%     1 - 0 -8.9 -3.8 -5.5
  Nov 07, 2024 338   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 95%     2 - 0 +7.5 +5.1 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2024 110   @ Princeton W 73-68 39%     3 - 0 +12.0 +0.9 +11.1
  Nov 19, 2024 205   Southern Utah W 76-72 82%     4 - 0 -1.3 +4.4 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2024 147   Tulsa W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 03, 2024 301   Eastern Michigan W 76-61 92%    
  Dec 07, 2024 121   South Florida W 73-69 66%    
  Dec 15, 2024 59   San Francisco L 69-74 34%    
  Dec 18, 2024 351   Canisius W 82-62 97%    
  Dec 22, 2024 176   Oakland W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 04, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 08, 2025 120   @ La Salle L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 100   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 117   Rhode Island W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 18, 2025 64   @ Dayton L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 22, 2025 161   Fordham W 76-68 74%    
  Jan 29, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 100   Saint Joseph's W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 04, 2025 114   St. Bonaventure W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 207   @ Duquesne W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 11, 2025 197   @ Richmond W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 14, 2025 101   Saint Louis W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 18, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 21, 2025 64   Dayton L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 143   George Washington W 79-73 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 101   @ Saint Louis L 74-78 37%    
  Mar 05, 2025 130   Davidson W 73-68 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 129   @ Massachusetts L 73-74 47%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.2 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.4 3.5 3.8 0.7 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.6 1.4 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 3.8 0.5 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.2 1.3 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.4 2.3 0.2 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 1.0 0.0 5.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.2 0.1 4.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.0 7.3 9.6 11.4 12.4 12.2 11.3 9.3 6.9 4.8 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 98.8% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 94.9% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 77.6% 2.1    1.4 0.6 0.1
14-4 45.7% 2.2    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.1% 1.2    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.9 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 92.0% 36.0% 56.0% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.5%
17-1 0.4% 88.1% 40.6% 47.5% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0%
16-2 1.2% 69.1% 30.1% 39.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 55.8%
15-3 2.7% 52.1% 28.0% 24.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.3 33.5%
14-4 4.8% 31.2% 20.6% 10.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.3 13.4%
13-5 6.9% 18.9% 14.9% 3.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.0 5.6 4.6%
12-6 9.3% 13.3% 12.3% 1.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 8.1 1.1%
11-7 11.3% 8.4% 8.0% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 10.4 0.4%
10-8 12.2% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.7 0.0%
9-9 12.4% 2.6% 2.6% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 12.1
8-10 11.4% 1.2% 1.2% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.3
7-11 9.6% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 7.3% 0.4% 0.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
5-13 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 5.0
4-14 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 3.0
3-15 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 3.4 2.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 91.3 2.4%