Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#110
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#102
Pace68.5#172
Improvement+3.2#56

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#165
First Shot-0.7#200
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#114
Layup/Dunks+4.4#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#344
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#216
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement+0.3#171

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#95
First Shot+2.1#103
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#112
Layups/Dunks+0.9#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#151
Freethrows-0.8#243
Improvement+2.9#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.3% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 12.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.8% 4.3% 3.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Home) - 63.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 39 - 411 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 360   Chicago St. W 79-72 97%     1 - 0 -11.3 -4.7 -7.0
  Nov 07, 2024 334   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 93%     2 - 0 +8.6 +8.2 +0.0
  Nov 15, 2024 162   @ Princeton W 73-68 53%     3 - 0 +7.5 +0.6 +6.8
  Nov 19, 2024 282   Southern Utah W 76-72 88%     4 - 0 -5.2 +5.0 -9.9
  Nov 23, 2024 246   Tulsa W 89-53 84%     5 - 0 +28.7 +10.9 +16.6
  Dec 03, 2024 291   Eastern Michigan W 76-54 88%     6 - 0 +12.4 +6.0 +8.9
  Dec 07, 2024 176   South Florida W 74-72 74%     7 - 0 -1.5 +0.6 -2.0
  Dec 15, 2024 69   San Francisco L 66-76 32%     7 - 1 -1.9 -5.8 +4.5
  Dec 18, 2024 354   Canisius W 72-60 95%     8 - 1 -4.1 -5.7 +2.5
  Dec 22, 2024 198   Oakland L 71-72 70%     8 - 2 -3.1 +2.9 -6.1
  Dec 23, 2024 143   College of Charleston L 68-77 59%     8 - 3 -8.0 -9.9 +2.7
  Dec 25, 2024 156   Murray St. L 68-71 61%     8 - 4 -2.5 +1.2 -3.9
  Jan 04, 2025 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-84 24%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -8.4 +2.8 -12.6
  Jan 08, 2025 236   @ La Salle W 79-68 68%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +9.5 +10.6 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2025 78   @ Saint Joseph's L 57-93 26%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -26.1 -10.5 -15.1
  Jan 15, 2025 121   Rhode Island W 81-77 64%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +3.7 +10.6 -6.8
  Jan 18, 2025 83   @ Dayton L 81-83 OT 28%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +7.3 +5.6 +1.9
  Jan 22, 2025 204   Fordham W 70-66 78%     11 - 7 3 - 3 -0.9 +0.0 -0.6
  Jan 29, 2025 75   @ George Mason L 53-58 OT 26%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +5.1 -6.9 +11.7
  Feb 01, 2025 78   Saint Joseph's W 58-55 44%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +7.8 -8.0 +16.0
  Feb 04, 2025 106   St. Bonaventure W 77-53 57%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +25.5 +10.0 +16.6
  Feb 08, 2025 132   @ Duquesne L 56-69 47%     13 - 9 5 - 5 -8.8 -9.3 -0.4
  Feb 11, 2025 218   @ Richmond W 87-80 OT 65%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +6.4 +17.1 -10.4
  Feb 14, 2025 109   Saint Louis W 78-69 60%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +9.8 +6.3 +3.6
  Feb 18, 2025 129   @ Davidson W 77-69 46%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +12.3 +7.5 +5.2
  Feb 21, 2025 83   Dayton W 76-72 47%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +8.2 +2.2 +6.0
  Feb 26, 2025 117   George Washington W 72-69 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 109   @ Saint Louis L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 05, 2025 129   Davidson W 73-69 67%    
  Mar 08, 2025 168   @ Massachusetts W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.5 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.4 9.7 21.4 9.6 41.0 3rd
4th 6.7 23.2 9.1 39.0 4th
5th 0.7 10.6 3.1 14.4 5th
6th 1.7 1.9 3.6 6th
7th 1.2 1.2 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 3.8 19.6 35.9 30.6 10.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 10.1% 5.5% 5.5% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 9.5
12-6 30.6% 4.6% 4.6% 12.5 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 29.2
11-7 35.9% 4.0% 4.0% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 34.5
10-8 19.6% 2.1% 2.1% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 19.2
9-9 3.8% 0.8% 0.8% 13.0 0.0 3.8
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 12.6 0.1 1.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 12.0 12.7 70.9 16.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.9%
Lose Out 1.7%