Oakland
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#176
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#134
Pace65.4#291
Improvement+1.8#30

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#202
First Shot-0.5#202
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#209
Layup/Dunks+7.5#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#210
Freethrows-5.2#347
Improvement+1.3#35

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#164
First Shot+0.2#173
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks-2.5#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#98
Freethrows+4.0#26
Improvement+0.5#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 15.5% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.0 14.7
.500 or above 51.8% 56.8% 29.3%
.500 or above in Conference 79.9% 82.1% 69.6%
Conference Champion 18.5% 20.2% 11.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 1.4%
First Four1.3% 1.1% 2.1%
First Round13.8% 15.1% 8.4%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Home) - 81.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 21 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 11
Quad 411 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 43   @ Boise St. L 43-87 9%     0 - 1 -30.0 -20.4 -12.6
  Nov 13, 2024 26   @ Illinois L 54-66 6%     0 - 2 +4.5 -10.7 +14.9
  Nov 16, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 57-78 3%     0 - 3 +0.8 +0.9 -2.5
  Nov 21, 2024 301   Eastern Michigan W 71-61 82%    
  Nov 30, 2024 138   @ Toledo L 71-76 31%    
  Dec 05, 2024 186   Wright St. W 78-75 62%    
  Dec 07, 2024 190   @ Youngstown St. L 69-72 41%    
  Dec 17, 2024 35   Michigan St. L 62-75 12%    
  Dec 19, 2024 219   @ Cleveland St. L 67-68 47%    
  Dec 22, 2024 105   Loyola Chicago L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 30, 2024 27   @ Arkansas L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 210   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 04, 2025 288   Robert Morris W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 09, 2025 186   @ Wright St. L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 15, 2025 361   IU Indianapolis W 77-60 93%    
  Jan 18, 2025 338   @ Detroit Mercy W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 22, 2025 140   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 288   @ Robert Morris W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 30, 2025 252   Green Bay W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 201   Northern Kentucky W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 190   Youngstown St. W 72-69 62%    
  Feb 12, 2025 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-63 82%    
  Feb 16, 2025 338   Detroit Mercy W 76-62 88%    
  Feb 21, 2025 140   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 23, 2025 219   Cleveland St. W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 27, 2025 210   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-74 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 252   @ Green Bay W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 4.8 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.2 18.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.3 4.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.7 3.5 1.0 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.2 2.9 0.6 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.5 5.3 7.4 9.2 10.7 11.6 12.2 11.0 9.7 7.0 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
18-2 98.6% 2.5    2.3 0.1
17-3 89.7% 4.3    3.5 0.7 0.0
16-4 68.3% 4.8    3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 40.5% 3.9    1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.5% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 18.5% 18.5 12.2 4.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 59.8% 59.8% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.0% 51.9% 51.7% 0.2% 12.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5%
18-2 2.5% 41.6% 41.6% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5
17-3 4.8% 37.6% 37.6% 13.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 3.0
16-4 7.0% 30.3% 30.3% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.9
15-5 9.7% 23.3% 23.3% 13.9 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 7.4
14-6 11.0% 18.9% 18.9% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.2 8.9
13-7 12.2% 14.2% 14.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 10.4
12-8 11.6% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 10.5
11-9 10.7% 7.2% 7.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 9.9
10-10 9.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.9 0.0 0.4 8.8
9-11 7.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.2
8-12 5.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 5.2
7-13 3.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.4
6-14 2.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.0
5-15 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 14.4% 14.4% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.3 3.9 3.5 2.2 85.6 0.0%