Oakland
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#206
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#252
Pace59.3#358
Improvement+0.4#153

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#182
First Shot-2.4#246
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#76
Layup/Dunks-0.9#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-2.7#324
Improvement+2.7#28

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#221
First Shot+0.7#148
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#335
Layups/Dunks+4.8#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#350
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#301
Freethrows+3.0#22
Improvement-2.3#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 12.2% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 31.2% 49.2% 24.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.0% 79.5% 70.5%
Conference Champion 6.9% 9.8% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.4% 1.0%
First Four2.0% 1.2% 2.2%
First Round8.7% 11.7% 7.5%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Neutral) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 33 - 54 - 12
Quad 410 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 58   @ Boise St. L 43-87 9%     0 - 1 -31.6 -20.4 -14.3
  Nov 13, 2024 16   @ Illinois L 54-66 4%     0 - 2 +6.2 -8.9 +14.9
  Nov 16, 2024 10   @ Kansas L 57-78 3%     0 - 3 -0.8 +1.1 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2024 317   Eastern Michigan L 64-68 82%     0 - 4 -15.8 -7.2 -9.1
  Nov 30, 2024 211   @ Toledo W 85-52 40%     1 - 4 +33.5 +17.8 +19.2
  Dec 05, 2024 154   Wright St. W 66-64 53%     2 - 4 1 - 0 -0.9 -1.7 +1.1
  Dec 07, 2024 195   @ Youngstown St. L 50-66 37%     2 - 5 1 - 1 -14.5 -11.6 -5.3
  Dec 17, 2024 15   Michigan St. L 58-77 6%     2 - 6 -3.7 -0.8 -4.9
  Dec 19, 2024 224   @ Cleveland St. L 75-92 43%     2 - 7 1 - 2 -17.2 +9.6 -28.3
  Dec 22, 2024 106   Loyola Chicago L 64-70 28%    
  Dec 30, 2024 29   @ Arkansas L 61-79 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 137   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 259   Robert Morris W 69-63 72%    
  Jan 09, 2025 154   @ Wright St. L 68-73 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 214   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 15, 2025 354   IU Indianapolis W 74-60 90%    
  Jan 18, 2025 323   @ Detroit Mercy W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 22, 2025 144   Purdue Fort Wayne W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 259   @ Robert Morris W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 30, 2025 333   Green Bay W 76-65 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 214   Northern Kentucky W 66-63 62%    
  Feb 06, 2025 195   Youngstown St. W 67-65 59%    
  Feb 12, 2025 354   @ IU Indianapolis W 71-63 75%    
  Feb 16, 2025 323   Detroit Mercy W 71-61 82%    
  Feb 21, 2025 144   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 23, 2025 224   Cleveland St. W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 27, 2025 137   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 68-74 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 333   @ Green Bay W 73-68 68%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.9 3.0 0.3 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.2 7.0 3.8 0.4 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.4 6.4 4.0 0.6 0.0 14.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.9 5.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 4.6 7.3 11.3 13.6 15.3 15.1 12.3 8.7 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 95.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-4 80.7% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.1
15-5 51.3% 2.6    1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0
14-6 18.1% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.4 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 38.6% 38.6% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.7% 31.0% 31.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
16-4 2.1% 27.7% 27.7% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.5
15-5 5.0% 23.2% 23.2% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 3.9
14-6 8.7% 19.0% 19.0% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.1 7.1
13-7 12.3% 14.8% 14.8% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.3 10.5
12-8 15.1% 10.3% 10.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 13.5
11-9 15.3% 7.4% 7.4% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 14.2
10-10 13.6% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.0
9-11 11.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 10.9
8-12 7.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 7.2
7-13 4.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.5
6-14 2.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
5-15 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 3.6 3.3 90.6 0.0%