IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#198
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.2	#96
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#200

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.8	#194

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.7%	13.5%	7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.5	14.4	15.0

.500 or above	67.5%	75.6%	48.4%
.500 or above in Conference	75.0%	79.4%	64.4%
Conference Champion	14.1%	16.7%	7.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.9%	2.3%

First Four	1.5%	1.4%	1.7%
First Round	11.0%	12.9%	6.6%
Second Round	0.9%	1.2%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Away) - 70.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 5	4 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 5	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	332	@ Chicago St.	W	72-66	70%
Nov 11, 2024	31	@ Ohio St.	L	64-80	7%
Nov 16, 2024	56	@ Syracuse	L	70-84	10%
Nov 21, 2024	216	Monmouth	W	73-72	54%
Nov 22, 2024	303	Presbyterian	W	75-69	69%
Nov 23, 2024	164	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	71-76	34%
Nov 27, 2024	311	Western Michigan	W	78-69	79%
Dec 04, 2024	295	@ Robert Morris	W	74-72	58%
Dec 07, 2024	146	Oakland	W	73-72	52%
Dec 14, 2024	168	Toledo	W	78-76	56%
Dec 18, 2024	196	@ Wright St.	L	79-82	40%
Dec 21, 2024	330	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	73-68	68%
Dec 29, 2024	342	Detroit Mercy	W	79-66	86%
Jan 01, 2025	360	@ IU Indianapolis	W	77-66	82%
Jan 04, 2025	180	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	74-78	37%
Jan 08, 2025	174	Northern Kentucky	W	73-71	57%
Jan 11, 2025	213	Cleveland St.	W	74-70	63%
Jan 17, 2025	200	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	76-79	40%
Jan 19, 2025	310	@ Green Bay	W	70-67	60%
Jan 22, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	77-69	75%
Jan 30, 2025	196	Wright St.	W	82-79	60%
Feb 01, 2025	360	IU Indianapolis	W	80-63	92%
Feb 06, 2025	146	@ Oakland	L	69-75	32%
Feb 08, 2025	342	@ Detroit Mercy	W	76-69	71%
Feb 12, 2025	180	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	77-75	57%
Feb 16, 2025	213	@ Cleveland St.	L	71-73	44%
Feb 21, 2025	200	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	79-76	60%
Feb 23, 2025	310	Green Bay	W	73-64	77%
Mar 01, 2025	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	70-74	37%
Projected Record						16 - 13	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.8	2.3	3.6	3.7	2.2	1.0	0.3		14.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.8	4.1	4.6	2.4	0.7	0.1				13.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	2.2	4.9	4.2	1.5	0.2	0.0					13.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.6	5.1	3.6	0.9	0.1							12.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.7	5.0	3.1	0.7	0.0								12.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	2.7	4.4	2.5	0.4	0.0									10.6	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.8	2.5	3.5	2.0	0.3	0.0										9.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.9	2.1	2.5	1.1	0.2												6.9	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	0.9	1.5	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0												4.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.4	10th
11th	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0																0.7	11th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	1.0	1.9	3.0	4.3	6.2	7.9	9.6	10.6	11.1	11.1	10.0	8.4	6.2	4.4	2.3	1.0	0.3			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
19-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
18-2	97.4%	2.2		2.1	0.2
17-3	83.3%	3.7		2.8	0.8	0.1
16-4	58.7%	3.6		2.0	1.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	27.6%	2.3		0.8	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	7.9%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	14.1%	14.1		9.1	3.7	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.3%		67.5%	64.8%	2.8%	11.3					0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		7.9%
19-1	1.0%		53.2%	53.1%	0.0%	12.5								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		0.1%
18-2	2.3%		43.9%	43.9%		13.3												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.3
17-3	4.4%		35.3%	35.3%		13.8										0.0			0.1	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0	2.8
16-4	6.2%		27.4%	27.4%		14.2													0.0	0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	4.5
15-5	8.4%		22.0%	22.0%		14.7													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.3	6.6
14-6	10.0%		15.9%	15.9%		15.1														0.1	0.3	0.7	0.5	8.4
13-7	11.1%		11.6%	11.6%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	9.8
12-8	11.1%		7.9%	7.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	10.2
11-9	10.6%		5.2%	5.2%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	10.0
10-10	9.6%		3.5%	3.5%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.3
9-11	7.9%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	7.8
8-12	6.2%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
7-13	4.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
6-14	3.0%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
5-15	1.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
4-16	1.0%																							1.0
3-17	0.4%																							0.4
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.7%	11.7%	0.0%	14.5					0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	2.8	3.2	3.2	88.3		0.0%