IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#311
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#121
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#287

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	2.0%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.8	15.3

.500 or above	15.0%	25.8%	9.4%
.500 or above in Conference	26.3%	35.6%	21.5%
Conference Champion	1.2%	2.0%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	19.3%	12.7%	22.7%

First Four	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%
First Round	1.1%	1.9%	0.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 34.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 9	10 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	291	@ Coastal Carolina	L	73-77	34%
Nov 11, 2024	72	@ Butler	L	65-84	4%
Nov 15, 2024	316	SIU Edwardsville	W	72-69	62%
Nov 17, 2024	297	Canisius	W	72-70	57%
Nov 20, 2024	274	South Dakota	W	77-76	51%
Nov 27, 2024	198	@ Youngstown St.	L	69-78	21%
Dec 03, 2024	59	@ Dayton	L	59-79	4%
Dec 13, 2024	201	@ St. Thomas	L	64-73	22%
Dec 15, 2024	234	@ North Dakota St.	L	67-75	25%
Dec 20, 2024	242	Valparaiso	L	73-74	47%
Dec 30, 2024	24	@ Michigan St.	L	58-81	2%
Jan 04, 2025	168	Toledo	L	75-80	34%
Jan 07, 2025	265	Bowling Green	L	72-73	50%
Jan 11, 2025	233	@ Miami (OH)	L	68-76	26%
Jan 14, 2025	118	@ Kent St.	L	64-78	12%
Jan 18, 2025	337	Buffalo	W	77-71	69%
Jan 21, 2025	306	Northern Illinois	W	75-73	58%
Jan 25, 2025	277	@ Central Michigan	L	65-71	32%
Jan 28, 2025	240	@ Ball St.	L	68-75	28%
Feb 01, 2025	287	Eastern Michigan	W	70-69	54%
Feb 04, 2025	121	@ Ohio	L	67-81	13%
Feb 11, 2025	131	@ Akron	L	63-76	14%
Feb 15, 2025	233	Miami (OH)	L	71-73	45%
Feb 18, 2025	337	@ Buffalo	L	74-75	50%
Feb 22, 2025	277	Central Michigan	W	69-68	52%
Feb 25, 2025	121	Ohio	L	70-78	26%
Mar 01, 2025	306	@ Northern Illinois	L	72-76	39%
Mar 04, 2025	118	Kent St.	L	67-75	26%
Mar 07, 2025	265	@ Bowling Green	L	70-76	31%
Projected Record						10 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0				2.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.3	1.4	0.7	0.1	0.0					3.7	3rd
4th										0.3	1.7	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0						4.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	2.0	2.8	1.1	0.1	0.0							6.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.2	3.7	1.6	0.2	0.0								8.0	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.3	4.5	2.1	0.2										9.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.4	5.2	2.9	0.4	0.0										11.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.7	5.8	3.5	0.5	0.0											12.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.7	3.2	5.7	3.7	0.6	0.0												13.8	10th
11th		0.1	1.2	3.8	5.2	2.8	0.6	0.0													13.8	11th
12th	0.8	2.5	3.8	3.5	1.6	0.3	0.0														12.6	12th

Total	0.8	2.7	5.1	7.9	10.3	11.8	12.7	11.9	10.4	8.5	6.5	4.7	3.0	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	91.9%	0.2		0.1	0.0
15-3	70.0%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	39.5%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.0%		44.9%	44.9%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.2%		22.7%	22.7%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.4%		19.6%	19.6%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
14-4	1.0%		13.0%	13.0%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.9
13-5	1.8%		7.1%	7.1%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.7
12-6	3.0%		6.9%	6.9%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.8
11-7	4.7%		4.1%	4.1%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	4.5
10-8	6.5%		2.6%	2.6%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	6.4
9-9	8.5%		1.8%	1.8%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	8.4
8-10	10.4%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.3
7-11	11.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
6-12	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
5-13	11.8%																							11.8
4-14	10.3%																							10.3
3-15	7.9%																							7.9
2-16	5.1%																							5.1
1-17	2.7%																							2.7
0-18	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	15.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%