IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.9	#301
Expected Predictive Rating	-13.8	#342

Pace	68.8	#186
Improvement	-0.2	#200

Offense
Total Offense	-3.4	#264

First Shot	-5.6	#328
After Offensive Rebound	+2.2	#54

Layup/Dunks	+1.4	#134
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.5	#88
3 Pt Jumpshots	-6.4	#347
Freethrows	-2.1	#302

Improvement	+0.5	#147

Defense
Total Defense	-4.5	#310

First Shot	-5.1	#331
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.6	#126

Layups/Dunks	-3.8	#313
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#91
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.3	#311
Freethrows	+0.9	#117

Improvement	-0.8	#237

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	1.5%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	0.4%	1.5%	0.2%
.500 or above in Conference	12.8%	29.1%	9.5%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	17.6%	7.7%	19.5%

First Four	0.7%	1.2%	0.5%
First Round	0.4%	1.0%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 16.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 10	8 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	285	@ Coastal Carolina	L	56-60	34%	0 - 1			-7.7	-12.5	+4.4
Nov 11, 2024	79	@ Butler	L	65-85	6%	0 - 2			-9.9	-3.2	-6.6
Nov 15, 2024	270	SIU Edwardsville	L	60-79	55%	0 - 3			-28.1	-12.4	-16.4
Nov 17, 2024	354	Canisius	W	92-69	80%	1 - 3			+6.4	+10.0	-3.1
Nov 20, 2024	249	South Dakota	L	76-80	51%	1 - 4			-12.0	-8.1	-3.8
Nov 27, 2024	185	@ Youngstown St.	W	73-62	18%	2 - 4			+13.0	+8.0	+5.5
Dec 03, 2024	62	@ Dayton	L	69-77	5%	2 - 5			+3.6	+12.6	-10.5
Dec 13, 2024	128	@ St. Thomas	L	71-77	11%	2 - 6			-0.4	+3.3	-4.2
Dec 15, 2024	138	@ North Dakota St.	L	62-98	13%	2 - 7			-31.6	-11.0	-22.1
Dec 20, 2024	204	Valparaiso	L	73-76	40%	2 - 8			-8.2	-4.3	-3.9
Dec 30, 2024	15	@ Michigan St.	L	62-80	1%	2 - 9			+1.4	-2.2	+4.3
Jan 04, 2025	209	Toledo	L	70-76	40%	2 - 10	0 - 1		-11.4	-12.0	+0.9
Jan 07, 2025	272	Bowling Green	L	79-83	56%	2 - 11	0 - 2		-13.4	+2.2	-15.6
Jan 11, 2025	174	@ Miami (OH)	L	69-79	17%
Jan 14, 2025	130	@ Kent St.	L	60-73	11%
Jan 18, 2025	335	Buffalo	W	79-73	70%
Jan 21, 2025	349	Northern Illinois	W	76-68	76%
Jan 25, 2025	240	@ Central Michigan	L	67-74	28%
Jan 28, 2025	229	@ Ball St.	L	69-76	26%
Feb 01, 2025	303	Eastern Michigan	W	76-73	61%
Feb 04, 2025	154	@ Ohio	L	70-81	15%
Feb 11, 2025	137	@ Akron	L	70-82	14%
Feb 15, 2025	174	Miami (OH)	L	72-76	35%
Feb 18, 2025	335	@ Buffalo	L	75-76	49%
Feb 22, 2025	240	Central Michigan	L	70-71	49%
Feb 25, 2025	154	Ohio	L	73-78	31%
Mar 01, 2025	349	@ Northern Illinois	W	73-71	56%
Mar 04, 2025	130	Kent St.	L	63-70	26%
Mar 07, 2025	272	@ Bowling Green	L	73-78	33%
Projected Record						8 - 21	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.5	0.3	0.0							0.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.1	0.0							1.7	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	1.5	0.3									3.0	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	2.7	1.0	0.1									5.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.9	4.6	2.4	0.2										9.2	7th
8th						0.2	2.7	6.5	4.3	0.5	0.0										14.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.6	3.8	8.7	5.8	1.0	0.0											19.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.7	4.5	8.4	5.5	1.1	0.0												20.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.9	3.8	6.5	3.5	0.7	0.0													15.5	11th
12th	0.3	1.1	3.0	3.4	1.7	0.3	0.0														9.9	12th

Total	0.3	1.1	3.9	8.0	13.3	16.3	17.7	15.4	11.2	6.8	3.5	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0						Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	33.3%	0.0		0.0
14-4	66.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
13-5	18.9%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0								0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3	0.0%																				0.0
14-4	0.0%																					0.0		0.0
13-5	0.2%		5.6%	5.6%		15.4																0.0	0.0	0.2
12-6	0.6%		5.7%	5.7%		15.7																0.0	0.0	0.6
11-7	1.6%		5.1%	5.1%		16.0																	0.1	1.6
10-8	3.5%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.1	3.4
9-9	6.8%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.2	6.6
8-10	11.2%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	11.1
7-11	15.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	15.4
6-12	17.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	17.7
5-13	16.3%																							16.3
4-14	13.3%																							13.3
3-15	8.0%																							8.0
2-16	3.9%																							3.9
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.0	0.7	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%