Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#262
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#303
Pace68.8#191
Improvement+1.7#40

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#205
First Shot+1.8#122
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#326
Layup/Dunks+0.6#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#121
Freethrows-2.1#283
Improvement+2.1#7

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#306
First Shot-4.1#297
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#187
Layups/Dunks-0.5#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#179
Freethrows-2.4#304
Improvement-0.4#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.5% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 34.6% 44.2% 21.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.1% 55.3% 40.4%
Conference Champion 3.3% 4.1% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 5.5% 10.1%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round2.5% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Away) - 58.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 410 - 712 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 256   @ Southern Miss L 68-77 37%     0 - 1 -10.8 -8.8 -1.5
  Nov 08, 2024 131   Davidson L 85-91 34%     0 - 2 -7.1 +4.1 -10.7
  Nov 16, 2024 35   @ Michigan St. L 72-86 4%     0 - 3 +0.8 +7.1 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2024 324   Niagara W 76-68 74%     1 - 3 -4.0 +5.2 -8.3
  Nov 23, 2024 336   @ Bellarmine W 72-70 58%    
  Nov 29, 2024 227   Weber St. L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 07, 2024 332   Morgan St. W 82-74 76%    
  Dec 14, 2024 217   @ UMKC L 68-74 30%    
  Dec 21, 2024 168   St. Thomas L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 03, 2025 140   Akron L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 07, 2025 323   @ Western Michigan W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 280   @ Ball St. L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 14, 2025 331   Buffalo W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 21, 2025 228   @ Miami (OH) L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 24, 2025 137   Toledo L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 28, 2025 123   @ Kent St. L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 204   @ Central Michigan L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 325   Northern Illinois W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 11, 2025 158   Ohio L 75-77 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 77-76 56%    
  Feb 18, 2025 123   Kent St. L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 137   @ Toledo L 73-83 19%    
  Feb 25, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-70 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 280   Ball St. W 75-71 63%    
  Mar 04, 2025 325   @ Northern Illinois W 73-72 53%    
  Mar 07, 2025 323   Western Michigan W 78-71 72%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.8 3.4 0.5 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.4 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.1 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.8 7.1 9.9 12.0 13.1 12.8 11.2 9.5 6.8 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.1% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 71.2% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 44.1% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 13.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 20.4% 20.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 25.0% 25.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.2% 17.0% 17.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.4% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.1
13-5 4.5% 10.4% 10.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.1
12-6 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 6.3
11-7 9.5% 4.7% 4.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.1
10-8 11.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.8
9-9 12.8% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.6
8-10 13.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.9
7-11 12.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 9.9% 9.9
5-13 7.1% 7.1
4-14 4.8% 4.8
3-15 2.5% 2.5
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 97.1 0.0%