Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#285
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#306
Pace72.1#90
Improvement-0.7#217

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#279
First Shot+0.1#172
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#351
Layup/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement-1.8#282

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#270
First Shot-4.3#309
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#100
Layups/Dunks-2.8#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#228
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+1.1#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.2% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 6.0% 16.5% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 54.6% 24.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 0.6% 4.4%
First Four0.9% 1.4% 0.8%
First Round0.7% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Away) - 15.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 82 - 9
Quad 49 - 911 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 258   @ Southern Miss L 68-77 33%     0 - 1 -11.7 -9.1 -2.1
  Nov 08, 2024 121   Davidson L 85-91 25%     0 - 2 -6.1 +2.7 -8.3
  Nov 16, 2024 12   @ Michigan St. L 72-86 1%     0 - 3 +5.9 +8.3 -2.2
  Nov 19, 2024 310   Niagara W 76-68 66%     1 - 3 -3.3 +5.9 -8.2
  Nov 23, 2024 353   @ Bellarmine L 68-80 64%     1 - 4 -22.7 -11.4 -11.6
  Nov 29, 2024 237   Weber St. L 70-73 39%     1 - 5 -7.3 -6.3 -1.0
  Nov 30, 2024 128   New Mexico St. W 61-60 19%     2 - 5 +3.3 -6.9 +10.2
  Dec 07, 2024 334   Morgan St. W 102-81 75%     3 - 5 +6.9 +10.8 -5.7
  Dec 14, 2024 223   @ UMKC L 77-85 27%     3 - 6 -8.8 +8.9 -18.0
  Dec 21, 2024 125   St. Thomas L 68-93 26%     3 - 7 -25.3 -16.0 -6.5
  Jan 03, 2025 124   Akron L 68-71 25%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -3.2 -8.8 +5.7
  Jan 07, 2025 304   @ Western Michigan W 83-79 42%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -1.2 +7.9 -9.0
  Jan 11, 2025 250   @ Ball St. L 69-91 32%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -24.3 -9.5 -13.7
  Jan 14, 2025 329   Buffalo W 79-61 72%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +4.7 +1.1 +3.8
  Jan 18, 2025 313   Eastern Michigan L 62-68 66%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -17.4 -15.5 -2.1
  Jan 21, 2025 153   @ Miami (OH) L 69-80 16%    
  Jan 24, 2025 194   Toledo L 78-81 40%    
  Jan 28, 2025 159   @ Kent St. L 63-73 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 225   @ Central Michigan L 67-73 28%    
  Feb 04, 2025 356   Northern Illinois W 79-70 81%    
  Feb 08, 2025 292   Coastal Carolina W 72-69 63%    
  Feb 11, 2025 147   Ohio L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 329   @ Buffalo W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 18, 2025 159   Kent St. L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 22, 2025 194   @ Toledo L 76-84 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 313   @ Eastern Michigan L 75-76 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 250   Ball St. W 75-74 54%    
  Mar 04, 2025 356   @ Northern Illinois W 77-73 63%    
  Mar 07, 2025 304   Western Michigan W 78-74 64%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 4.1 1.2 0.1 8.5 5th
6th 0.4 3.6 6.6 2.5 0.2 13.3 6th
7th 0.4 4.2 8.3 4.1 0.5 17.5 7th
8th 0.5 4.2 9.6 5.1 0.6 20.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.2 7.9 4.8 0.7 0.0 16.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 5.2 3.2 0.4 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.2 11th
12th 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.3 12th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.7 10.7 15.9 19.4 18.0 14.4 8.7 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 14.3% 0.0    0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.0    0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.4% 9.5% 9.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 1.5
11-7 4.4% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 4.2
10-8 8.7% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 8.4
9-9 14.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 14.0
8-10 18.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 17.8
7-11 19.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 19.3
6-12 15.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.9
5-13 10.7% 10.7
4-14 4.7% 4.7
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 98.8 0.0%