Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#230
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#257
Pace66.6#233
Improvement-4.5#346

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#274
First Shot-3.9#289
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#172
Layup/Dunks+0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#295
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement-2.0#297

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#183
First Shot-0.6#198
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#154
Layups/Dunks+4.6#45
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#342
Freethrows-0.4#214
Improvement-2.5#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 3.9% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.5
.500 or above 13.3% 16.3% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 51.7% 59.4% 28.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.4% 2.1%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 0.8%
First Round2.8% 3.3% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Home) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 3
Quad 21 - 22 - 5
Quad 32 - 64 - 11
Quad 48 - 611 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 122   @ South Alabama W 74-70 20%     1 - 0 +9.0 +7.5 +1.6
  Nov 07, 2024 320   Stony Brook L 72-73 77%     1 - 1 -12.8 -5.5 -7.3
  Nov 11, 2024 18   @ Marquette L 62-70 3%     1 - 2 +10.5 -4.5 +15.4
  Nov 13, 2024 77   @ George Mason W 70-69 10%     2 - 2 +11.0 +5.9 +5.1
  Nov 25, 2024 95   @ Minnesota L 65-68 12%     2 - 3 +5.4 +1.4 +3.8
  Dec 14, 2024 214   @ Valparaiso L 77-93 36%     2 - 4 -16.3 -4.9 -9.6
  Dec 17, 2024 25   Mississippi St. L 59-83 5%     2 - 5 -9.2 -2.2 -9.3
  Dec 21, 2024 14   @ Arizona L 41-94 2%     2 - 6 -33.4 -23.0 -10.5
  Jan 04, 2025 160   Ohio L 55-57 43%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -4.2 -17.8 +13.4
  Jan 07, 2025 108   @ Akron L 71-87 18%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -10.2 +4.8 -15.8
  Jan 10, 2025 211   @ Toledo L 67-69 35%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -2.0 -3.2 +1.1
  Jan 14, 2025 304   Eastern Michigan W 82-63 73%     3 - 9 1 - 3 +8.4 +5.3 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2025 354   @ Northern Illinois W 71-66 74%     4 - 9 2 - 3 -5.8 +1.9 -7.2
  Jan 21, 2025 247   Ball St. L 80-82 62%     4 - 10 2 - 4 -9.3 -1.1 -8.2
  Jan 25, 2025 309   Western Michigan W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 28, 2025 332   @ Buffalo W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 284   Bowling Green W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 04, 2025 154   Miami (OH) L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 167   Texas St. L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 11, 2025 141   @ Kent St. L 61-69 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 108   Akron L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 18, 2025 160   @ Ohio L 71-78 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 309   @ Western Michigan W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 25, 2025 332   Buffalo W 76-66 83%    
  Mar 01, 2025 304   @ Eastern Michigan W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 04, 2025 247   @ Ball St. L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 07, 2025 354   Northern Illinois W 76-64 87%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.1 0.3 4.7 3rd
4th 0.4 3.0 4.3 1.1 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.7 7.6 2.7 0.1 14.4 5th
6th 0.1 3.5 9.6 4.4 0.4 18.0 6th
7th 0.2 3.0 10.1 6.8 0.7 0.0 20.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 7.0 5.2 0.8 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.3 2.5 0.6 0.0 5.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.9 8.4 15.0 19.9 21.4 16.0 9.3 3.9 1.0 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 28.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 8.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 1.0% 14.6% 14.6% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-6 3.9% 9.3% 9.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.5
11-7 9.3% 5.4% 5.4% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.8
10-8 16.0% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 15.0
9-9 21.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.1 0.8 20.5
8-10 19.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 19.5
7-11 15.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.9
6-12 8.4% 8.4
5-13 3.9% 3.9
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.8 96.6 0.0%