Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#291
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#226
Pace69.2#148
Improvement+4.1#37

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#242
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#179
Layup/Dunks-3.9#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#222
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement+3.3#44

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#312
First Shot-4.6#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#187
Layups/Dunks+0.4#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#302
Freethrows-0.8#244
Improvement+0.8#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.3% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 14.7% 22.9% 4.0%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 46.8% 10.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Away) - 56.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 102 - 12
Quad 412 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 202   @ Texas St. L 44-64 24%     0 - 1 -19.7 -26.5 +5.0
  Nov 14, 2024 326   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 51%     1 - 1 -4.5 -8.1 +3.6
  Nov 16, 2024 170   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 19%     1 - 2 -5.9 -3.1 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 198   @ Oakland W 68-64 24%     2 - 2 +4.5 +2.6 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2024 295   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 41%     3 - 2 -3.9 +2.3 -6.2
  Nov 26, 2024 264   Northern Arizona W 72-68 44%     4 - 2 -1.5 -2.8 +1.4
  Nov 30, 2024 334   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 73%     4 - 3 -22.4 +1.1 -22.4
  Dec 03, 2024 110   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 12%     4 - 4 -16.1 -8.4 -10.2
  Dec 15, 2024 153   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 31%     4 - 5 -28.9 +1.4 -25.6
  Dec 21, 2024 220   Wright St. W 86-82 45%     5 - 5 -1.8 +9.2 -10.9
  Dec 28, 2024 129   @ Davidson L 64-86 14%     5 - 6 -17.7 -7.8 -10.3
  Jan 04, 2025 341   Northern Illinois W 75-71 76%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -10.4 -4.6 -5.9
  Jan 07, 2025 221   @ Toledo L 87-90 27%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -3.7 +3.1 -6.5
  Jan 11, 2025 102   Akron L 81-105 20%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -22.2 +1.7 -22.0
  Jan 14, 2025 215   @ Central Michigan L 63-82 25%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -19.2 -8.3 -11.5
  Jan 18, 2025 301   @ Bowling Green W 68-62 43%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +0.7 -5.1 +6.0
  Jan 21, 2025 172   Ohio W 94-87 35%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +3.9 +10.9 -7.6
  Jan 25, 2025 352   Buffalo W 90-77 79%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -2.7 +9.9 -12.8
  Jan 28, 2025 171   @ Miami (OH) L 80-89 19%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -6.9 +5.8 -12.5
  Feb 01, 2025 302   @ Western Michigan L 54-61 43%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -12.4 -16.0 +2.9
  Feb 04, 2025 137   Kent St. L 49-70 29%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -22.3 -22.9 +0.5
  Feb 08, 2025 286   Old Dominion W 76-70 59%     10 - 12 -3.5 +4.6 -7.6
  Feb 11, 2025 261   @ Ball St. L 84-86 OT 34%     10 - 13 4 - 7 -4.9 +4.9 -9.7
  Feb 15, 2025 221   Toledo W 80-73 45%     11 - 13 5 - 7 +1.2 +5.6 -3.9
  Feb 18, 2025 171   Miami (OH) W 76-66 35%     12 - 13 6 - 7 +7.0 +5.7 +1.9
  Feb 22, 2025 341   @ Northern Illinois W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 25, 2025 301   Bowling Green W 77-74 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 215   Central Michigan L 73-75 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 172   @ Ohio L 74-83 19%    
  Mar 07, 2025 137   @ Kent St. L 65-76 15%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.5 0.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 0.2 3.3 4th
5th 0.1 5.3 3.2 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 9.7 14.4 0.7 24.7 6th
7th 2.4 19.6 3.3 0.0 25.2 7th
8th 0.1 11.4 6.5 0.1 18.2 8th
9th 1.9 10.3 0.2 12.3 9th
10th 5.4 1.5 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 7.4 25.7 36.0 23.3 7.0 0.7 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.7% 5.9% 5.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 7.0% 2.7% 2.7% 15.7 0.1 0.1 6.8
9-9 23.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 23.0
8-10 36.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 35.7
7-11 25.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.6
6-12 7.4% 7.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.4%