Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#287
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.1#307
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#276
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#273
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 4.0% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 27.2% 47.8% 21.5%
.500 or above in Conference 33.7% 47.6% 29.9%
Conference Champion 2.2% 4.3% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 14.0% 7.6% 15.7%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round2.1% 3.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Away) - 21.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 410 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 185   @ Texas St. L 63-71 22%    
  Nov 14, 2024 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 71-65 72%    
  Nov 16, 2024 213   @ Cleveland St. L 65-72 28%    
  Nov 21, 2024 146   @ Oakland L 63-73 18%    
  Nov 25, 2024 357   @ Houston Christian W 76-71 67%    
  Nov 26, 2024 286   Northern Arizona L 70-71 49%    
  Nov 30, 2024 342   Detroit Mercy W 73-65 77%    
  Dec 03, 2024 100   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-76 10%    
  Dec 15, 2024 180   Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-73 41%    
  Dec 21, 2024 196   Wright St. L 75-77 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 135   @ Davidson L 60-71 17%    
  Jan 04, 2025 306   Northern Illinois W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 07, 2025 168   @ Toledo L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 131   Akron L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 14, 2025 277   @ Central Michigan L 63-67 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 265   @ Bowling Green L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 21, 2025 121   Ohio L 67-73 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 337   Buffalo W 74-66 74%    
  Jan 28, 2025 233   @ Miami (OH) L 65-71 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 311   @ Western Michigan L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 04, 2025 118   Kent St. L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 11, 2025 240   @ Ball St. L 66-71 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 168   Toledo L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 18, 2025 233   Miami (OH) W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 306   @ Northern Illinois L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 25, 2025 265   Bowling Green W 70-68 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 277   Central Michigan W 66-64 58%    
  Mar 04, 2025 121   @ Ohio L 64-76 17%    
  Mar 07, 2025 118   @ Kent St. L 62-74 16%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.5 1.3 0.2 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 2.5 0.3 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.1 3.2 0.6 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 3.4 4.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.9 11th
12th 0.5 1.7 2.6 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.5 12th
Total 0.5 1.8 3.7 6.4 8.6 10.6 11.6 11.9 11.2 9.7 8.0 6.1 4.3 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.2% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 72.7% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 38.4% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 54.7% 54.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 25.7% 25.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 27.5% 27.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.8% 24.6% 24.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.6% 15.6% 15.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 2.7% 11.0% 11.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
12-6 4.3% 8.4% 8.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.9
11-7 6.1% 5.0% 5.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.8
10-8 8.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.7
9-9 9.7% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 9.4
8-10 11.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
7-11 11.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.8
6-12 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 10.6% 10.6
4-14 8.6% 8.6
3-15 6.4% 6.4
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 97.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%