Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#304
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#211
Pace68.8#187
Improvement+0.6#152

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#264
First Shot-3.6#287
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#152
Layup/Dunks-4.0#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#258
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement+4.0#8

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#323
First Shot-4.5#321
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#207
Layups/Dunks-0.5#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#300
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#274
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement-3.4#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.6% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 16.5% 34.2% 14.4%
.500 or above in Conference 24.1% 33.2% 23.1%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 15.8% 9.6% 16.5%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round1.1% 2.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 10.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 127   @ Texas St. L 44-64 12%     0 - 1 -15.0 -23.0 +6.1
  Nov 14, 2024 350   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 55%     1 - 1 -6.2 -5.9 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 218   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 23%     1 - 2 -8.1 -4.7 -3.9
  Nov 21, 2024 203   @ Oakland W 68-64 20%     2 - 2 +4.9 +3.3 +2.2
  Nov 25, 2024 348   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 54%     3 - 2 -8.0 -0.2 -7.8
  Nov 26, 2024 266   Northern Arizona W 72-68 41%     4 - 2 -1.6 -4.3 +2.8
  Nov 30, 2024 320   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 65%     4 - 3 -21.0 +0.1 -20.0
  Dec 03, 2024 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 9%     4 - 4 -14.7 -7.3 -9.9
  Dec 15, 2024 145   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 30%     4 - 5 -29.6 +0.0 -24.7
  Dec 21, 2024 168   Wright St. W 86-82 34%     5 - 5 +0.5 +9.3 -8.8
  Dec 28, 2024 121   @ Davidson L 66-79 11%    
  Jan 04, 2025 349   Northern Illinois W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 07, 2025 208   @ Toledo L 75-83 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 147   Akron L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 14, 2025 240   @ Central Michigan L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 18, 2025 292   @ Bowling Green L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 21, 2025 148   Ohio L 75-80 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 331   Buffalo W 77-72 69%    
  Jan 28, 2025 210   @ Miami (OH) L 68-76 22%    
  Feb 01, 2025 295   @ Western Michigan L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 04, 2025 112   Kent St. L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 11, 2025 250   @ Ball St. L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 208   Toledo L 78-80 41%    
  Feb 18, 2025 210   Miami (OH) L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 349   @ Northern Illinois W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 25, 2025 292   Bowling Green W 77-75 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 240   Central Michigan L 71-72 48%    
  Mar 04, 2025 148   @ Ohio L 72-83 16%    
  Mar 07, 2025 112   @ Kent St. L 60-74 10%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.0 3.9 0.4 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.6 5.2 0.9 0.0 15.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.3 5.5 1.2 0.0 15.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.0 4.0 1.1 0.1 13.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.2 12th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.9 6.2 9.7 13.2 15.4 14.7 12.6 9.8 6.6 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 92.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 93.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 51.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 24.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 18.6% 18.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 7.1% 7.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.0% 10.6% 10.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.2% 7.9% 7.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1
11-7 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.8
10-8 6.6% 3.9% 3.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.3
9-9 9.8% 2.6% 2.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 9.6
8-10 12.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.4
7-11 14.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.6
6-12 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.4
5-13 13.2% 13.2
4-14 9.7% 9.7
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%