Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#219
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#166
Pace68.3#215
Improvement+2.3#16

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#257
First Shot-6.5#333
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#31
Layup/Dunks+2.0#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#343
Freethrows-3.0#312
Improvement+0.4#119

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#177
First Shot+0.6#162
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#233
Layups/Dunks-3.9#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#104
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement+1.9#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 10.2% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 62.5% 76.5% 53.1%
.500 or above in Conference 66.1% 73.4% 61.1%
Conference Champion 8.3% 10.8% 6.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.0% 1.8%
First Four0.8% 0.6% 0.9%
First Round7.6% 9.8% 6.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kent St. (Home) - 40.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 413 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 24   @ Michigan L 53-101 5%     0 - 1 -31.4 -15.5 -12.8
  Nov 09, 2024 66   @ Kansas St. L 64-77 10%     0 - 2 -1.7 -1.9 +0.2
  Nov 12, 2024 276   @ Valparaiso W 75-67 50%     1 - 2 +5.1 +2.0 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2024 301   Eastern Michigan W 71-63 76%     2 - 2 -2.5 -1.7 -0.3
  Nov 19, 2024 90   @ Minnesota L 47-58 14%     2 - 3 -2.3 -16.1 +13.0
  Nov 23, 2024 123   Kent St. L 66-69 40%    
  Nov 26, 2024 360   NJIT W 74-59 92%    
  Nov 29, 2024 279   Morehead St. W 69-63 72%    
  Dec 05, 2024 210   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-76 37%    
  Dec 07, 2024 252   @ Green Bay L 73-74 44%    
  Dec 19, 2024 176   Oakland W 68-67 53%    
  Dec 29, 2024 186   Wright St. W 78-77 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 361   IU Indianapolis W 77-62 91%    
  Jan 08, 2025 288   @ Robert Morris W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 190   @ Youngstown St. L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 201   Northern Kentucky W 68-66 58%    
  Jan 19, 2025 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-65 78%    
  Jan 22, 2025 338   Detroit Mercy W 76-64 85%    
  Jan 25, 2025 252   Green Bay W 76-71 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 140   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 210   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 12, 2025 288   Robert Morris W 71-64 72%    
  Feb 16, 2025 190   Youngstown St. W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 21, 2025 338   @ Detroit Mercy W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 23, 2025 176   @ Oakland L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 186   @ Wright St. L 75-80 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 140   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-74 45%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 8.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.7 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.8 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.3 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.9 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.7 2.1 0.3 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.2 6.3 8.5 10.9 12.0 12.4 11.8 10.3 8.0 5.4 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 99.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
17-3 88.5% 1.5    1.2 0.2 0.0
16-4 68.4% 2.3    1.5 0.7 0.1
15-5 39.3% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0
14-6 13.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 55.0% 55.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 48.1% 48.1% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.7% 37.4% 37.4% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.7% 29.3% 29.3% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2
16-4 3.4% 24.4% 24.4% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6
15-5 5.4% 20.4% 20.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 4.3
14-6 8.0% 15.8% 15.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 6.7
13-7 10.3% 11.4% 11.4% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 9.1
12-8 11.8% 8.9% 8.9% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 10.8
11-9 12.4% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 11.6
10-10 12.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.5
9-11 10.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.6
8-12 8.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.4
7-13 6.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.2
6-14 4.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.2
5-15 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
4-16 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.8 2.0 92.0 0.0%