Preseason Rankings
Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#289
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace79.8#11
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#333
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 6.6% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 30.8% 42.7% 18.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.1% 58.9% 41.3%
Conference Champion 5.7% 7.9% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 5.5% 11.5%
First Four1.8% 2.1% 1.6%
First Round4.0% 5.6% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Carolina (Home) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 411 - 813 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 238   Western Carolina W 78-77 50%    
  Nov 12, 2024 77   @ Utah L 72-89 6%    
  Nov 13, 2024 32   @ BYU L 71-92 3%    
  Nov 19, 2024 139   @ Appalachian St. L 71-82 16%    
  Nov 23, 2024 330   South Carolina Upstate W 78-75 62%    
  Nov 24, 2024 170   @ East Tennessee St. L 73-82 20%    
  Dec 03, 2024 189   Winthrop L 78-80 41%    
  Dec 07, 2024 361   @ VMI W 89-83 71%    
  Dec 14, 2024 246   @ Gardner-Webb L 77-83 32%    
  Dec 18, 2024 208   Mercer L 76-77 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 70-90 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 290   Stetson W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 206   Florida Gulf Coast L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 09, 2025 158   @ Lipscomb L 78-88 20%    
  Jan 11, 2025 281   @ Austin Peay L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 16, 2025 290   @ Stetson L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 206   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 23, 2025 254   North Florida W 80-79 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 222   Jacksonville L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 29, 2025 231   North Alabama L 80-81 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 351   West Georgia W 83-74 78%    
  Feb 05, 2025 341   @ Central Arkansas W 81-79 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 158   Lipscomb L 81-85 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 299   @ Bellarmine L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 255   @ Eastern Kentucky L 79-84 35%    
  Feb 18, 2025 341   Central Arkansas W 84-76 74%    
  Feb 20, 2025 281   Austin Peay W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 24, 2025 351   @ West Georgia W 80-77 60%    
  Feb 26, 2025 231   @ North Alabama L 77-83 31%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.9 1.7 0.2 9.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.4 2.8 0.7 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.2 12th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.4 5.3 7.4 9.2 10.6 11.3 11.4 10.4 9.0 7.2 5.2 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
15-3 76.1% 1.5    1.1 0.4 0.1
14-4 45.5% 1.5    0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 18.7% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 48.7% 48.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 41.9% 41.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 32.1% 32.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.0% 27.6% 27.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.5
14-4 3.4% 20.7% 20.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.7
13-5 5.2% 14.4% 14.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 4.5
12-6 7.2% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 6.5
11-7 9.0% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 8.4
10-8 10.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 9.9
9-9 11.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.1
8-10 11.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
7-11 10.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.5
6-12 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
5-13 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-14 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.8 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%