Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#231
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Pace72.4#70
Improvement+2.3#93

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#181
First Shot+0.0#175
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#205
Layup/Dunks+1.8#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#77
Freethrows-0.8#235
Improvement+3.3#43

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#281
First Shot-1.0#210
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#339
Layups/Dunks-3.6#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#118
Freethrows+0.4#155
Improvement-1.1#246
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.1% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round3.6% 3.8% 2.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Away) - 72.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 10
Quad 413 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 333   Western Carolina W 67-54 81%     1 - 0 -0.3 -18.5 +16.8
  Nov 12, 2024 68   @ Utah L 65-96 9%     1 - 1 -20.2 -7.6 -10.0
  Nov 13, 2024 26   @ BYU L 55-99 4%     1 - 2 -26.6 -14.5 -9.9
  Nov 19, 2024 141   @ Appalachian St. L 53-65 24%     1 - 3 -8.3 -10.5 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2024 345   South Carolina Upstate W 98-74 79%     2 - 3 +11.6 +11.4 -1.4
  Nov 24, 2024 148   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-82 25%     2 - 4 -11.7 -2.5 -9.5
  Dec 03, 2024 196   Winthrop L 78-86 53%     2 - 5 -12.6 -5.0 -7.0
  Dec 07, 2024 309   @ VMI W 81-78 58%     3 - 5 -3.0 +9.3 -12.2
  Dec 14, 2024 257   @ Gardner-Webb W 85-83 46%     4 - 5 -0.7 +12.0 -12.7
  Dec 18, 2024 256   Mercer W 73-66 65%     5 - 5 -0.8 -9.3 +7.8
  Dec 21, 2024 25   @ Mississippi L 62-80 3%     5 - 6 -0.6 -2.4 +2.0
  Jan 02, 2025 349   Stetson W 96-87 86%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -6.4 +5.4 -12.6
  Jan 04, 2025 180   Florida Gulf Coast W 92-83 49%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +5.4 +16.9 -11.4
  Jan 09, 2025 101   @ Lipscomb W 75-73 16%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +9.0 +13.6 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2025 276   @ Austin Peay W 67-60 50%     9 - 6 4 - 0 +3.1 -3.3 +6.7
  Jan 16, 2025 349   @ Stetson W 95-60 73%     10 - 6 5 - 0 +24.7 +11.0 +12.3
  Jan 18, 2025 180   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 47-60 30%     10 - 7 5 - 1 -11.5 -18.2 +4.4
  Jan 23, 2025 266   North Florida L 81-90 66%     10 - 8 5 - 2 -17.1 -5.8 -10.6
  Jan 25, 2025 193   Jacksonville L 77-87 52%     10 - 9 5 - 3 -14.4 -0.8 -13.0
  Jan 29, 2025 134   North Alabama W 75-67 40%     11 - 9 6 - 3 +6.8 +1.6 +5.4
  Feb 01, 2025 348   West Georgia W 87-68 86%     12 - 9 7 - 3 +3.7 +7.1 -3.3
  Feb 05, 2025 344   @ Central Arkansas W 63-47 71%     13 - 9 8 - 3 +6.3 -6.4 +14.7
  Feb 08, 2025 101   Lipscomb L 81-94 29%     13 - 10 8 - 4 -11.1 +9.2 -20.4
  Feb 13, 2025 340   @ Bellarmine W 92-87 OT 69%     14 - 10 9 - 4 -4.1 +3.8 -8.2
  Feb 15, 2025 191   @ Eastern Kentucky L 80-86 OT 33%     14 - 11 9 - 5 -5.3 +3.1 -8.2
  Feb 18, 2025 344   Central Arkansas W 89-72 85%     15 - 11 10 - 5 +2.2 +13.8 -10.8
  Feb 20, 2025 276   Austin Peay L 78-92 69%     15 - 12 10 - 6 -23.0 -2.4 -19.9
  Feb 24, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 80-74 72%    
  Feb 26, 2025 134   @ North Alabama L 73-81 21%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.6 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.9 5.0 3rd
4th 3.0 8.0 10.9 4th
5th 1.0 42.7 1.9 45.6 5th
6th 21.1 16.8 37.9 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 22.1 62.5 15.4 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 15.4% 5.1% 5.1% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 14.6
11-7 62.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.5 0.0 1.3 1.2 60.0
10-8 22.1% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.2 0.4 21.6
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.7 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 14.9 1.3 19.0 65.8 13.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.3%
Lose Out 13.7%