Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#270
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#229
Pace78.0#19
Improvement+0.9#122

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#266
First Shot-5.5#318
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#75
Layup/Dunks+0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#67
Freethrows-3.1#323
Improvement+1.8#49

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#262
First Shot+0.9#140
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#343
Layups/Dunks-6.8#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#48
Freethrows+1.5#95
Improvement-0.8#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.2% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 27.6% 38.6% 19.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.6% 56.0% 44.7%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.2% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 4.1% 7.2%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 1.2%
First Round3.0% 3.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Winthrop (Home) - 43.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 275   Western Carolina W 67-54 62%     1 - 0 +3.8 -15.3 +17.8
  Nov 12, 2024 61   @ Utah L 65-96 6%     1 - 1 -18.8 -7.7 -8.6
  Nov 13, 2024 38   @ BYU L 55-99 4%     1 - 2 -29.2 -14.8 -12.2
  Nov 19, 2024 164   @ Appalachian St. L 53-65 20%     1 - 3 -9.3 -13.0 +2.9
  Nov 23, 2024 342   South Carolina Upstate W 98-74 70%     2 - 3 +12.4 +11.8 -1.0
  Nov 24, 2024 125   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-82 15%     2 - 4 -9.9 -2.9 -7.2
  Dec 03, 2024 187   Winthrop L 78-80 44%    
  Dec 07, 2024 344   @ VMI W 78-75 61%    
  Dec 14, 2024 207   @ Gardner-Webb L 74-81 25%    
  Dec 18, 2024 238   Mercer W 79-78 53%    
  Dec 21, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 67-88 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 338   Stetson W 82-74 76%    
  Jan 04, 2025 189   Florida Gulf Coast L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 09, 2025 119   @ Lipscomb L 71-83 15%    
  Jan 11, 2025 236   @ Austin Peay L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 16, 2025 338   @ Stetson W 79-77 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 23, 2025 192   North Florida L 82-84 44%    
  Jan 25, 2025 218   Jacksonville L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 29, 2025 226   North Alabama W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 348   West Georgia W 79-70 79%    
  Feb 05, 2025 336   @ Central Arkansas W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 119   Lipscomb L 74-80 31%    
  Feb 13, 2025 322   @ Bellarmine W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 212   @ Eastern Kentucky L 75-82 27%    
  Feb 18, 2025 336   Central Arkansas W 78-71 74%    
  Feb 20, 2025 236   Austin Peay W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 24, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 26, 2025 226   @ North Alabama L 74-80 32%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.4 2.7 4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 5.5 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.4 5.9 4.2 0.6 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 5.4 4.3 0.6 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.6 4.8 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.3 6.9 9.9 12.1 13.7 13.4 11.8 9.6 7.0 4.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.2% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 75.6% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 47.7% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.3% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 32.8% 32.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 28.8% 28.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 23.2% 23.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.2% 13.8% 13.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.9
13-5 4.2% 12.9% 12.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.7
12-6 7.0% 8.9% 8.9% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 6.3
11-7 9.6% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.0
10-8 11.8% 3.3% 3.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.4
9-9 13.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.0
8-10 13.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.5
7-11 12.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.9
5-13 6.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 4.3% 4.3
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.8 96.5 0.0%