Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#257
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#260
Pace72.5#68
Improvement-2.6#296

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#217
First Shot-0.3#185
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#260
Layup/Dunks+3.5#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#274
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#270
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement+0.6#154

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#289
First Shot-3.1#273
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#245
Layups/Dunks-2.4#275
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#123
Freethrows-1.7#298
Improvement-3.2#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 1.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 5.0% 20.9% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.4% 3.0% 2.2%
First Round1.7% 2.8% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 23.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 812 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 5   @ Tennessee L 64-80 1%     0 - 1 +6.5 +7.5 -1.6
  Nov 08, 2024 310   @ NC Central W 88-82 53%     1 - 1 -0.1 +6.6 -7.0
  Nov 11, 2024 52   @ Pittsburgh L 64-83 5%     1 - 2 -5.8 -6.7 +1.7
  Nov 15, 2024 175   Elon W 80-79 43%     2 - 2 -2.4 +9.6 -11.9
  Nov 19, 2024 235   @ Charlotte L 54-60 36%     2 - 3 -7.5 -15.3 +7.3
  Nov 26, 2024 213   SE Louisiana W 73-69 40%     3 - 3 +1.4 -3.0 +4.3
  Nov 27, 2024 293   Bethune-Cookman W 79-64 58%     4 - 3 +7.7 -0.1 +6.9
  Nov 29, 2024 140   @ Belmont L 74-83 20%     4 - 4 -5.3 -6.4 +1.7
  Dec 04, 2024 142   @ Wofford L 64-88 20%     4 - 5 -20.4 -5.0 -16.8
  Dec 07, 2024 310   NC Central L 77-78 72%     4 - 6 -12.2 -4.7 -7.4
  Dec 14, 2024 231   Queens L 83-85 54%     4 - 7 -8.4 +7.7 -16.1
  Dec 17, 2024 248   @ Georgia Southern L 81-86 39%     4 - 8 -7.3 +0.7 -7.6
  Dec 21, 2024 150   @ East Carolina W 84-79 21%     5 - 8 +8.2 +9.9 -1.8
  Jan 02, 2025 285   @ Charleston Southern L 63-72 47%     5 - 9 0 - 1 -13.4 -13.9 +0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 270   Presbyterian W 63-61 61%     6 - 9 1 - 1 -6.3 -9.2 +3.1
  Jan 08, 2025 196   Winthrop W 89-83 47%     7 - 9 2 - 1 +1.4 +10.0 -8.8
  Jan 11, 2025 96   @ High Point L 55-96 12%     7 - 10 2 - 2 -33.4 -20.4 -12.0
  Jan 15, 2025 177   @ Radford L 75-79 25%     7 - 11 2 - 3 -2.4 +4.3 -6.8
  Jan 18, 2025 345   South Carolina Upstate W 97-68 82%     8 - 11 3 - 3 +14.1 +9.7 +2.6
  Jan 22, 2025 184   UNC Asheville L 53-61 44%     8 - 12 3 - 4 -11.8 -19.8 +7.3
  Jan 29, 2025 200   Longwood W 92-87 48%     9 - 12 4 - 4 +0.3 +9.8 -9.8
  Feb 01, 2025 196   @ Winthrop L 93-96 29%     9 - 13 4 - 5 -2.5 +10.6 -12.8
  Feb 06, 2025 184   @ UNC Asheville L 70-78 27%     9 - 14 4 - 6 -6.7 -2.2 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2025 285   Charleston Southern L 72-79 66%     9 - 15 4 - 7 -16.5 +4.2 -21.6
  Feb 15, 2025 345   @ South Carolina Upstate W 96-87 67%     10 - 15 5 - 7 -0.8 +10.0 -11.5
  Feb 19, 2025 200   @ Longwood L 77-90 29%     10 - 16 5 - 8 -12.6 +0.2 -12.2
  Feb 22, 2025 96   High Point L 76-84 24%    
  Feb 26, 2025 177   Radford L 72-74 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 270   @ Presbyterian L 72-74 40%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 1.6 4th
5th 0.6 8.5 3.0 12.1 5th
6th 8.9 14.7 0.5 24.1 6th
7th 15.6 32.0 2.1 49.7 7th
8th 11.1 1.4 12.5 8th
9th 9th
Total 26.7 42.9 25.4 5.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 5.0% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.1 0.2 4.7
7-9 25.4% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 1.0 24.4
6-10 42.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.0 41.9
5-11 26.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.4 26.3
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.6 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.7 33.3 66.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%
Lose Out 6.6%