IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.3	#238
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.1	#253

Pace	72.5	#87
Improvement	-3.9	#350

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#213

First Shot	+0.5	#165
After Offensive Rebound	-2.0	#290

Layup/Dunks	+3.5	#59
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.2	#245
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.2	#238
Freethrows	+0.3	#160

Improvement	-0.8	#247

Defense
Total Defense	-2.7	#255

First Shot	-2.0	#238
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.7	#246

Layups/Dunks	-2.9	#288
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.5	#145
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.6	#117
Freethrows	-1.3	#272

Improvement	-3.2	#352

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.9%	7.3%	5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.3	15.6

.500 or above	17.0%	29.8%	12.7%
.500 or above in Conference	49.0%	56.1%	46.6%
Conference Champion	5.5%	7.2%	4.9%
Last Place in Conference	8.4%	6.1%	9.2%

First Four	2.6%	2.2%	2.7%
First Round	4.8%	6.4%	4.3%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 6	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	3	@ Tennessee	L	64-80	1%	0 - 1			+7.5	+7.2	-0.4
Nov 08, 2024	276	@ NC Central	W	88-82	46%	1 - 1			+2.8	+8.7	-6.2
Nov 11, 2024	33	@ Pittsburgh	L	64-83	4%	1 - 2			-3.6	-4.3	+1.5
Nov 15, 2024	179	Elon	W	80-79	49%	2 - 2			-2.9	+9.7	-12.6
Nov 19, 2024	193	@ Charlotte	L	54-60	29%	2 - 3			-4.4	-14.4	+9.5
Nov 26, 2024	228	SE Louisiana	W	73-69	47%	3 - 3			+0.4	-1.0	+1.3
Nov 27, 2024	262	Bethune-Cookman	W	79-64	55%	4 - 3			+9.5	+1.4	+7.2
Nov 29, 2024	133	@ Belmont	L	74-83	20%	4 - 4			-4.3	-4.6	+0.9
Dec 04, 2024	155	@ Wofford	L	64-88	24%	4 - 5			-21.0	-5.7	-16.8
Dec 07, 2024	276	NC Central	L	77-78	69%	4 - 6			-10.2	-3.1	-7.1
Dec 14, 2024	270	Queens	L	83-85	67%	4 - 7			-10.7	+7.4	-18.2
Dec 17, 2024	234	@ Georgia Southern	L	81-86	37%	4 - 8			-5.8	+2.5	-7.9
Dec 21, 2024	159	@ East Carolina	L	68-75	25%
Jan 02, 2025	301	@ Charleston Southern	W	76-75	51%
Jan 04, 2025	250	Presbyterian	W	76-72	63%
Jan 08, 2025	187	Winthrop	W	80-79	50%
Jan 11, 2025	135	@ High Point	L	72-81	21%
Jan 15, 2025	204	@ Radford	L	69-74	31%
Jan 18, 2025	338	South Carolina Upstate	W	85-75	82%
Jan 22, 2025	166	UNC Asheville	L	76-77	47%
Jan 29, 2025	172	Longwood	L	74-75	47%
Feb 01, 2025	187	@ Winthrop	L	77-83	29%
Feb 05, 2025	166	@ UNC Asheville	L	73-80	27%
Feb 08, 2025	301	Charleston Southern	W	78-72	72%
Feb 15, 2025	338	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	82-78	64%
Feb 19, 2025	172	@ Longwood	L	71-78	28%
Feb 22, 2025	135	High Point	L	75-78	40%
Feb 26, 2025	204	Radford	W	72-71	53%
Mar 01, 2025	250	@ Presbyterian	L	73-75	42%
Projected Record						12 - 17	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.4	1.4	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0		5.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	3.1	3.2	1.0	0.2	0.0				8.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	4.4	4.6	1.1	0.1	0.0					11.0	3rd
4th								0.7	4.9	6.0	1.4	0.1							13.2	4th
5th						0.0	0.8	5.4	7.2	2.0	0.1								15.4	5th
6th					0.0	1.0	5.3	7.6	2.4	0.1									16.5	6th
7th				0.1	1.3	5.1	6.4	2.2	0.1										15.3	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	1.5	3.6	3.9	1.3	0.1											10.5	8th
9th	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.6	1.1	0.4	0.0												4.4	9th

Total	0.0	0.3	1.2	3.1	6.1	10.4	13.8	16.0	15.4	13.2	9.6	5.9	3.0	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	98.6%	0.4		0.4	0.0
13-3	87.4%	1.2		1.0	0.2	0.0
12-4	63.3%	1.9		0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0
11-5	24.4%	1.4		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-6	4.2%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	5.5%	5.5		2.7	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																		0.0					0.0
15-1	0.1%		31.9%	31.9%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
14-2	0.4%		23.0%	23.0%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3
13-3	1.4%		21.9%	21.9%		14.3														0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.1
12-4	3.0%		18.4%	18.4%		14.6														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	2.4
11-5	5.9%		15.0%	15.0%		15.2															0.1	0.5	0.3	5.0
10-6	9.6%		9.9%	9.9%		15.4															0.0	0.5	0.4	8.6
9-7	13.2%		7.6%	7.6%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.8	12.2
8-8	15.4%		5.8%	5.8%		16.0																0.0	0.9	14.5
7-9	16.0%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.6	15.4
6-10	13.8%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.3	13.4
5-11	10.4%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
4-12	6.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
3-13	3.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
2-14	1.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.2
1-15	0.3%																							0.3
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	15.5													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.6	94.1		0.0%