Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#126
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace59.0#358
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.5% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 12.3
.500 or above 61.1% 64.7% 34.6%
.500 or above in Conference 51.7% 54.0% 34.5%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.3% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 6.4% 14.2%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round4.8% 5.2% 1.9%
Second Round1.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 88.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 36 - 67 - 12
Quad 49 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 303   Presbyterian W 71-58 88%    
  Nov 09, 2024 81   @ Utah St. L 63-71 23%    
  Nov 13, 2024 133   Richmond W 65-62 61%    
  Nov 19, 2024 246   Gardner-Webb W 71-62 79%    
  Nov 23, 2024 352   LIU Brooklyn W 76-58 95%    
  Nov 27, 2024 170   East Tennessee St. W 67-61 69%    
  Dec 10, 2024 135   @ Davidson L 61-64 41%    
  Dec 14, 2024 204   @ Georgia St. W 67-66 54%    
  Dec 17, 2024 351   West Georgia W 74-56 94%    
  Dec 22, 2024 192   @ Hawaii W 63-62 52%    
  Dec 31, 2024 175   Tulane W 74-68 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 211   @ Rice W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 08, 2025 97   Florida Atlantic L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 148   @ Tulsa L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 14, 2025 105   @ Wichita St. L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 19, 2025 42   Memphis L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 22, 2025 102   South Florida L 65-66 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 130   @ Temple L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 88   @ UAB L 63-71 26%    
  Feb 04, 2025 105   Wichita St. W 66-65 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 211   Rice W 69-61 74%    
  Feb 10, 2025 97   @ Florida Atlantic L 63-70 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 137   East Carolina W 65-61 62%    
  Feb 19, 2025 130   Temple W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 26, 2025 175   @ Tulane L 71-72 49%    
  Mar 02, 2025 137   @ East Carolina L 62-64 43%    
  Mar 06, 2025 86   @ North Texas L 54-62 26%    
  Mar 09, 2025 232   Texas San Antonio W 74-65 76%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 4.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.9 0.9 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.5 1.3 0.0 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.4 1.9 0.1 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.0 5.0 7.0 9.2 10.4 11.3 11.2 10.8 9.4 7.5 5.5 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.9% 0.4    0.3 0.0
16-2 89.7% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 64.4% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 32.9% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 12.7% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 89.6% 32.3% 57.2% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.6%
17-1 0.4% 72.5% 40.5% 32.0% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 53.8%
16-2 1.1% 55.8% 26.3% 29.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 40.1%
15-3 2.2% 38.3% 23.1% 15.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 19.8%
14-4 3.6% 19.4% 15.3% 4.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.9 4.8%
13-5 5.5% 13.8% 12.8% 1.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 1.1%
12-6 7.5% 8.2% 7.9% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.9 0.3%
11-7 9.4% 5.1% 5.0% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.9 0.1%
10-8 10.8% 3.2% 3.2% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.5
9-9 11.2% 1.7% 1.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.0
8-10 11.3% 1.0% 1.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
7-11 10.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
6-12 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
5-13 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.0
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.1% 4.0% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 94.9 1.1%