Charlotte
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#235
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#243
Pace62.6#327
Improvement-0.9#227

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#208
First Shot-1.4#216
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#175
Layup/Dunks+2.0#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#330
Freethrows+4.5#3
Improvement-2.5#301

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#251
First Shot+0.7#156
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#357
Layups/Dunks-4.0#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#23
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#101
Freethrows+0.6#132
Improvement+1.7#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 76.9% 49.5% 84.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 22.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 113 - 17
Quad 48 - 411 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 270   Presbyterian W 88-79 66%     1 - 0 +0.7 +22.6 -20.6
  Nov 09, 2024 45   @ Utah St. L 74-103 6%     1 - 1 -15.1 +4.8 -20.1
  Nov 13, 2024 218   Richmond W 65-48 57%     2 - 1 +11.3 -4.6 +17.5
  Nov 19, 2024 257   Gardner-Webb W 60-54 64%     3 - 1 -1.8 -12.3 +11.0
  Nov 23, 2024 323   LIU Brooklyn L 76-79 78%     3 - 2 -15.0 +5.1 -20.2
  Nov 27, 2024 148   East Tennessee St. L 55-75 42%     3 - 3 -21.8 -14.8 -8.2
  Dec 10, 2024 129   @ Davidson L 71-75 22%     3 - 4 +0.3 +16.5 -17.2
  Dec 14, 2024 252   @ Georgia St. W 77-63 44%     4 - 4 +11.5 -0.8 +12.0
  Dec 17, 2024 348   West Georgia W 75-70 85%     5 - 4 -10.3 +0.4 -10.3
  Dec 22, 2024 207   @ Hawaii L 61-78 35%     5 - 5 -17.0 -6.3 -11.8
  Dec 23, 2024 156   Murray St. W 94-90 2OT 33%     6 - 5 +4.5 +9.9 -6.0
  Dec 25, 2024 143   College of Charleston L 81-84 31%     6 - 6 -2.0 +4.8 -6.6
  Dec 31, 2024 144   Tulane L 68-83 41%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -16.5 -10.8 -4.6
  Jan 04, 2025 178   @ Rice L 55-68 29%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -11.4 -6.7 -7.5
  Jan 08, 2025 105   Florida Atlantic L 64-75 30%     6 - 9 0 - 3 -9.5 -8.1 -1.8
  Jan 12, 2025 246   @ Tulsa L 63-69 43%     6 - 10 0 - 4 -8.2 +0.4 -9.6
  Jan 14, 2025 115   @ Wichita St. L 59-68 19%     6 - 11 0 - 5 -3.6 -6.6 +2.4
  Jan 19, 2025 47   Memphis L 68-77 12%     6 - 12 0 - 6 -0.4 -1.7 +1.5
  Jan 22, 2025 176   South Florida W 69-61 48%     7 - 12 1 - 6 +4.5 -0.9 +5.8
  Jan 29, 2025 155   @ Temple L 89-90 2OT 25%     7 - 13 1 - 7 +2.0 +0.4 +1.9
  Feb 01, 2025 104   @ UAB L 78-96 16%     7 - 14 1 - 8 -11.3 +7.6 -20.0
  Feb 04, 2025 115   Wichita St. L 58-66 34%     7 - 15 1 - 9 -7.7 -6.5 -2.2
  Feb 08, 2025 178   Rice W 78-75 48%     8 - 15 2 - 9 -0.5 +13.0 -13.1
  Feb 10, 2025 105   @ Florida Atlantic L 75-87 16%     8 - 16 2 - 10 -5.4 +1.2 -6.3
  Feb 15, 2025 150   East Carolina L 59-75 42%     8 - 17 2 - 11 -17.9 -3.9 -17.1
  Feb 19, 2025 155   Temple W 78-72 OT 42%     9 - 17 3 - 11 +4.0 +1.9 +2.1
  Feb 26, 2025 144   @ Tulane L 66-74 23%    
  Mar 02, 2025 150   @ East Carolina L 66-73 23%    
  Mar 06, 2025 71   @ North Texas L 54-68 8%    
  Mar 09, 2025 208   Texas San Antonio W 75-74 55%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.9 0.2 1.1 9th
10th 2.5 2.9 0.1 5.5 10th
11th 1.0 12.4 1.2 0.0 14.7 11th
12th 1.9 24.7 8.3 0.0 35.0 12th
13th 24.1 19.3 0.4 43.7 13th
Total 26.0 45.0 23.6 5.0 0.4 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.4% 0.4
6-12 5.0% 5.0
5-13 23.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 23.6
4-14 45.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 45.0
3-15 26.0% 26.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.4%