Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#117
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#118
Pace70.2#117
Improvement-2.5#295

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#148
First Shot+2.6#105
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#279
Layup/Dunks+7.3#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#338
Freethrows+2.6#45
Improvement-2.3#286

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#116
First Shot+5.4#45
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#355
Layups/Dunks+1.3#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#169
Freethrows+3.6#7
Improvement-0.3#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.3% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.3 13.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 46.4% 85.7% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.9% 3.3% 2.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Away) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 24 - 24 - 5
Quad 37 - 511 - 10
Quad 48 - 418 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 140   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 46%     1 - 0 +10.8 +8.0 +1.6
  Nov 09, 2024 185   Montana St. W 89-69 75%     2 - 0 +15.9 +15.0 +1.1
  Nov 14, 2024 103   Northern Iowa W 79-73 55%     3 - 0 +7.6 +8.4 -0.7
  Nov 18, 2024 257   Monmouth W 70-66 84%     4 - 0 -3.9 -8.0 +4.0
  Nov 22, 2024 100   Saint Louis W 88-63 43%     5 - 0 +29.7 +8.8 +18.4
  Nov 28, 2024 83   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 35%     6 - 0 +8.7 -3.0 +11.6
  Nov 29, 2024 4   Florida L 51-88 4%     6 - 1 -14.5 -11.4 -3.8
  Dec 04, 2024 317   Alcorn St. W 78-54 91%     7 - 1 +12.0 +0.1 +11.9
  Dec 07, 2024 146   East Tennessee St. W 96-87 68%     8 - 1 +7.1 +14.6 -8.3
  Dec 14, 2024 123   @ DePaul L 72-91 41%     8 - 2 -13.8 -0.1 -13.3
  Dec 17, 2024 235   UMKC L 64-74 82%     8 - 3 -16.9 -6.1 -11.4
  Dec 21, 2024 59   Kansas St. W 84-65 34%     9 - 3 +26.0 +15.9 +10.0
  Jan 03, 2025 162   @ Temple L 85-91 51%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -3.3 +3.4 -6.2
  Jan 06, 2025 182   South Florida L 72-91 74%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -23.0 -2.0 -20.8
  Jan 11, 2025 190   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-88 57%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -12.0 +2.3 -14.5
  Jan 14, 2025 236   Charlotte W 68-59 82%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +2.0 -4.9 +7.4
  Jan 18, 2025 154   East Carolina L 72-75 69%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -5.3 +0.9 -6.4
  Jan 23, 2025 49   @ Memphis L 53-61 15%     10 - 8 1 - 5 +6.1 -10.5 +16.4
  Jan 26, 2025 262   @ Tulsa L 77-84 71%     10 - 9 1 - 6 -9.8 +10.5 -20.9
  Jan 29, 2025 70   North Texas L 54-58 41%     10 - 10 1 - 7 +1.3 -3.4 +3.9
  Feb 04, 2025 236   @ Charlotte W 66-58 67%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +6.4 -0.1 +7.5
  Feb 09, 2025 182   @ South Florida W 75-70 56%     12 - 10 3 - 7 +6.4 +5.0 +1.4
  Feb 12, 2025 190   Texas San Antonio W 69-64 76%     13 - 10 4 - 7 +0.6 -9.0 +9.5
  Feb 16, 2025 49   Memphis W 84-79 OT 29%     14 - 10 5 - 7 +13.7 +8.3 +4.9
  Feb 20, 2025 108   @ Florida Atlantic W 75-68 37%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +13.3 +10.3 +3.7
  Feb 23, 2025 147   Tulane W 78-67 68%     16 - 10 7 - 7 +9.1 +8.1 +1.6
  Feb 27, 2025 102   UAB L 72-80 54%     16 - 11 7 - 8 -6.2 -5.6 -0.5
  Mar 03, 2025 70   @ North Texas L 66-68 23%     16 - 12 7 - 9 +8.7 +11.7 -3.4
  Mar 06, 2025 183   @ Rice W 73-71 54%    
  Mar 09, 2025 262   Tulsa W 76-65 85%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 22.3 22.3 6th
7th 2.0 38.1 24.1 64.2 7th
8th 4.8 8.7 13.5 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 6.8 46.8 46.4 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 46.4% 3.3% 3.3% 12.1 0.0 1.3 0.3 44.9
8-10 46.8% 2.6% 2.6% 13.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 45.6
7-11 6.8% 2.5% 2.5% 13.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.7
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 12.1 2.0 81.7 16.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.4%
Lose Out 2.1%