Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#94
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#26
Pace69.7#168
Improvement-2.4#354

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#96
First Shot+2.3#103
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#129
Layup/Dunks+4.8#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#254
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#312
Freethrows+3.9#29
Improvement-3.6#364

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#103
First Shot+7.3#17
After Offensive Rebounds-4.8#354
Layups/Dunks-0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#84
Freethrows+3.1#42
Improvement+1.2#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.1% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.6% 16.1% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.3% 6.3% 2.2%
Average Seed 10.5 10.4 10.9
.500 or above 89.8% 94.9% 84.2%
.500 or above in Conference 75.0% 80.0% 69.4%
Conference Champion 10.2% 12.6% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 1.3% 2.4%
First Four2.1% 2.9% 1.2%
First Round11.5% 14.6% 8.0%
Second Round3.8% 5.1% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.5% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Neutral) - 52.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 38 - 412 - 10
Quad 48 - 120 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 122   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 49%     1 - 0 +12.8 +9.1 +2.6
  Nov 09, 2024 155   Montana St. W 89-69 79%     2 - 0 +17.2 +14.7 +2.6
  Nov 14, 2024 118   Northern Iowa W 79-73 69%     3 - 0 +6.3 +6.6 -0.2
  Nov 18, 2024 261   Monmouth W 70-66 89%     4 - 0 -4.1 -7.7 +3.6
  Nov 22, 2024 101   Saint Louis W 77-76 52%    
  Nov 28, 2024 90   Minnesota L 66-67 49%    
  Dec 04, 2024 350   Alcorn St. W 81-60 98%    
  Dec 07, 2024 188   East Tennessee St. W 78-68 81%    
  Dec 14, 2024 111   @ DePaul L 73-74 45%    
  Dec 17, 2024 215   UMKC W 76-65 84%    
  Dec 21, 2024 66   Kansas St. W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 03, 2025 113   @ Temple L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 06, 2025 121   South Florida W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 278   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-72 77%    
  Jan 14, 2025 142   Charlotte W 70-63 74%    
  Jan 18, 2025 145   East Carolina W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 23, 2025 33   @ Memphis L 72-82 20%    
  Jan 26, 2025 147   @ Tulsa W 78-76 56%    
  Jan 29, 2025 83   North Texas W 65-63 56%    
  Feb 04, 2025 142   @ Charlotte W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 09, 2025 121   @ South Florida L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 12, 2025 278   Texas San Antonio W 84-69 89%    
  Feb 16, 2025 33   Memphis L 75-79 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 75   @ Florida Atlantic L 76-81 33%    
  Feb 23, 2025 146   Tulane W 78-70 74%    
  Feb 27, 2025 103   UAB W 76-72 63%    
  Mar 03, 2025 83   @ North Texas L 62-66 35%    
  Mar 06, 2025 171   @ Rice W 72-69 61%    
  Mar 09, 2025 147   Tulsa W 81-73 75%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.1 10.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.0 3.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.6 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.6 0.8 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.5 1.2 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.7 1.5 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.2 6.7 9.3 11.4 13.2 13.5 12.5 10.0 7.2 4.4 2.0 0.8 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.7% 0.8    0.7 0.0
16-2 90.7% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 70.8% 3.1    1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 40.1% 2.9    1.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
13-5 13.3% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 5.7 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 94.7% 64.9% 29.8% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.0%
17-1 0.8% 87.2% 36.8% 50.3% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 79.7%
16-2 2.0% 71.7% 32.4% 39.3% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 58.2%
15-3 4.4% 52.4% 25.7% 26.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 35.9%
14-4 7.2% 31.6% 19.3% 12.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.9 15.3%
13-5 10.0% 20.4% 15.6% 4.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.0 7.9 5.6%
12-6 12.5% 12.2% 11.2% 1.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 10.9 1.1%
11-7 13.5% 7.0% 6.7% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 12.5 0.3%
10-8 13.2% 5.0% 4.9% 0.1% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.6 0.1%
9-9 11.4% 2.8% 2.7% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.1 0.0%
8-10 9.3% 1.8% 1.8% 12.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.1
7-11 6.7% 1.3% 1.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7
6-12 4.2% 0.8% 0.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
5-13 2.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
4-14 1.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.3
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.6% 8.7% 3.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 5.0 3.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 87.4 4.3%