Temple
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.2#110
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#104
Pace72.2#87
Improvement+1.6#111

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#113
First Shot+1.5#127
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#127
Layup/Dunks+0.1#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#325
Freethrows+4.1#10
Improvement+2.0#73

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#143
First Shot+5.1#43
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#363
Layups/Dunks+1.7#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#82
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#171
Freethrows+1.5#77
Improvement-0.4#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 8.6% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.2 12.6
.500 or above 95.1% 99.3% 94.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.5% 98.7% 90.8%
Conference Champion 6.2% 15.5% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.7% 8.6% 4.9%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Texas (Away) - 21.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 37 - 59 - 11
Quad 410 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 81-70 89%     1 - 0 +0.6 -3.1 +3.0
  Nov 08, 2024 267   Monmouth W 103-74 81%     2 - 0 +23.0 +22.4 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2024 193   Drexel W 69-61 76%     3 - 0 +3.9 +1.9 +2.7
  Nov 15, 2024 195   @ Boston College L 69-72 58%     3 - 1 -1.8 +1.5 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 58   Florida St. L 69-78 27%     3 - 2 +0.6 -2.0 +3.0
  Nov 23, 2024 171   Massachusetts W 87-80 64%     4 - 2 +6.6 +10.5 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2024 191   @ La Salle L 75-83 57%     4 - 3 -6.6 -5.0 -0.6
  Dec 07, 2024 42   Villanova L 65-94 21%     4 - 4 -17.4 +1.0 -21.5
  Dec 15, 2024 174   @ Hofstra W 60-42 54%     5 - 4 +20.3 -1.7 +23.5
  Dec 18, 2024 121   Davidson W 62-61 62%     6 - 4 +0.9 -6.3 +7.3
  Dec 21, 2024 109   Rhode Island L 79-85 49%     6 - 5 -2.6 +3.3 -5.5
  Dec 29, 2024 329   Buffalo W 91-71 93%     7 - 5 +6.7 +1.7 +2.7
  Jan 03, 2025 138   Wichita St. W 91-85 66%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +4.9 +8.9 -4.6
  Jan 08, 2025 164   @ East Carolina L 79-80 51%     8 - 6 1 - 1 +1.9 +6.6 -4.7
  Jan 11, 2025 192   @ Rice W 73-70 57%     9 - 6 2 - 1 +4.4 -1.5 +5.8
  Jan 16, 2025 43   Memphis W 88-81 29%     10 - 6 3 - 1 +15.8 +16.1 -0.5
  Jan 19, 2025 148   Tulane W 80-77 68%     11 - 6 4 - 1 +1.4 +12.1 -10.5
  Jan 22, 2025 65   @ North Texas L 63-71 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 229   @ Texas San Antonio W 83-79 65%    
  Jan 29, 2025 224   Charlotte W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 164   East Carolina W 76-70 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 154   @ South Florida L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 09, 2025 43   @ Memphis L 74-85 15%    
  Feb 12, 2025 251   Tulsa W 79-68 85%    
  Feb 16, 2025 108   Florida Atlantic W 82-79 60%    
  Feb 19, 2025 224   @ Charlotte W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 23, 2025 97   @ UAB L 78-83 32%    
  Feb 26, 2025 154   South Florida W 79-74 70%    
  Mar 04, 2025 251   @ Tulsa W 76-71 68%    
  Mar 09, 2025 65   North Texas L 65-68 42%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.2 0.7 0.1 6.2 1st
2nd 0.2 2.5 6.3 4.2 0.9 0.0 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 5.0 10.4 6.0 1.2 0.1 23.1 3rd
4th 0.5 4.8 10.3 6.2 1.0 0.0 22.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 7.2 4.5 0.6 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.3 0.5 9.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 2.5 0.5 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.8 10.5 16.4 20.3 19.7 14.1 7.6 3.1 0.7 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 71.2% 2.2    1.2 0.9 0.1
14-4 29.8% 2.3    0.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
13-5 5.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.2% 6.2 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.7% 19.4% 19.4% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
15-3 3.1% 13.1% 13.1% 11.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.7
14-4 7.6% 11.9% 11.9% 12.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.7
13-5 14.1% 8.9% 8.9% 12.4 0.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 12.8
12-6 19.7% 7.2% 7.2% 12.6 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 18.3
11-7 20.3% 4.0% 4.0% 12.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 19.5
10-8 16.4% 2.7% 2.7% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.9
9-9 10.5% 1.8% 1.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.3
8-10 4.8% 1.7% 1.7% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
7-11 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 1.9
6-12 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.6
5-13 0.1% 0.0 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.4 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 94.3 0.0%