IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.2	#83
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.6	#33
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.8	#80

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.3	#84

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.7%	0.8%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	2.6%	3.0%	0.6%
Top 6 Seed	5.8%	6.6%	1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.5%	26.0%	9.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	22.2%	24.6%	9.4%
Average Seed	8.3	8.2	9.0

.500 or above	55.4%	60.1%	29.6%
.500 or above in Conference	39.7%	42.6%	23.9%
Conference Champion	1.8%	2.0%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	9.6%	8.1%	17.4%

First Four	4.6%	5.0%	2.7%
First Round	21.1%	23.4%	8.5%
Second Round	11.2%	12.5%	4.2%
Sweet Sixteen	3.9%	4.4%	1.3%
Elite Eight	1.5%	1.7%	0.4%
Final Four	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 84.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 2	4 - 5	7 - 12
Quad 3	5 - 2	12 - 15
Quad 4	4 - 1	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	174	Northern Kentucky	W	80-69	85%
Nov 09, 2024	211	Rice	W	79-69	82%
Nov 12, 2024	221	Tarleton St.	W	80-67	89%
Nov 15, 2024	25	Florida	L	81-83	43%
Nov 19, 2024	155	Hofstra	W	78-68	81%
Nov 22, 2024	130	Temple	W	77-72	67%
Nov 24, 2024	116	Massachusetts	W	78-74	65%
Dec 03, 2024	54	@ LSU	L	75-80	32%
Dec 07, 2024	49	@ North Carolina St.	L	73-79	32%
Dec 14, 2024	175	Tulane	W	87-79	75%
Dec 17, 2024	189	Winthrop	W	81-70	83%
Dec 21, 2024	50	Louisville	W	79-78	52%
Jan 04, 2025	56	Syracuse	W	81-80	53%
Jan 07, 2025	36	@ Miami (FL)	L	74-81	27%
Jan 11, 2025	43	@ Clemson	L	71-77	30%
Jan 15, 2025	52	Pittsburgh	W	74-73	52%
Jan 18, 2025	80	Georgia Tech	W	77-74	60%
Jan 22, 2025	109	@ California	W	77-76	51%
Jan 25, 2025	93	@ Stanford	L	77-79	43%
Jan 29, 2025	74	Virginia Tech	W	77-74	58%
Feb 01, 2025	114	@ Boston College	W	75-74	52%
Feb 04, 2025	66	Notre Dame	W	71-69	56%
Feb 12, 2025	41	@ Wake Forest	L	74-81	29%
Feb 15, 2025	43	Clemson	L	73-74	49%
Feb 19, 2025	36	Miami (FL)	L	77-78	47%
Feb 22, 2025	50	@ Louisville	L	76-81	33%
Feb 24, 2025	7	North Carolina	L	77-83	30%
Mar 01, 2025	4	@ Duke	L	67-81	12%
Mar 04, 2025	57	@ Virginia	L	61-66	34%
Mar 07, 2025	78	SMU	W	78-75	59%
Projected Record						16 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.8	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0			3.0	2nd
3rd													0.2	0.9	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.0					3.8	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.9	2.0	1.2	0.2	0.0						4.4	4th
5th											0.0	0.6	2.1	1.7	0.3	0.0							4.9	5th
6th											0.2	2.1	2.2	0.6	0.0								5.2	6th
7th										0.1	1.3	2.9	1.2	0.1	0.0								5.5	7th
8th									0.0	0.5	2.8	2.1	0.2										5.7	8th
9th									0.2	1.9	3.2	0.7	0.0										5.9	9th
10th								0.0	1.0	3.5	1.7	0.1											6.4	10th
11th							0.0	0.3	2.8	2.9	0.5	0.0											6.4	11th
12th						0.0	0.1	1.6	3.7	1.2	0.0												6.7	12th
13th						0.0	0.9	3.5	2.3	0.2													6.9	13th
14th					0.0	0.5	2.7	3.1	0.6	0.0													7.0	14th
15th				0.0	0.4	2.0	3.4	1.2	0.1														7.1	15th
16th			0.0	0.4	1.7	3.1	1.7	0.2	0.0													7.1	16th
17th		0.0	0.5	1.7	2.5	1.6	0.3	0.0	0.0													6.7	17th
18th	0.2	0.9	1.5	1.8	1.0	0.3	0.0															5.7	18th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.0	3.9	5.6	7.5	9.2	10.1	10.6	10.3	9.7	8.6	6.9	5.4	3.8	2.5	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	97.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	88.4%	0.3		0.2	0.0
17-3	61.1%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
16-4	35.3%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	10.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	1.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.8%	1.8		0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	28.6%	71.4%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	33.2%	66.8%	2.2		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
18-2	0.3%		100.0%	21.2%	78.8%	2.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
17-3	0.8%		99.7%	19.8%	79.9%	3.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.6%
16-4	1.5%		99.8%	16.4%	83.4%	4.8		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.8%
15-5	2.5%		97.3%	10.3%	87.0%	6.1		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		97.0%
14-6	3.8%		92.9%	6.6%	86.3%	7.5		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0					0.3		92.4%
13-7	5.4%		78.9%	3.7%	75.1%	8.6			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.0					1.2		78.0%
12-8	6.9%		60.8%	2.5%	58.3%	9.4				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.9	1.2	1.0	0.2	0.0				2.7		59.8%
11-9	8.6%		39.7%	1.4%	38.3%	10.1					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.3	0.2					5.2		38.8%
10-10	9.7%		23.0%	0.8%	22.2%	10.6						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.1	0.3	0.0				7.5		22.3%
9-11	10.3%		5.6%	0.4%	5.3%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0				9.7		5.3%
8-12	10.6%		1.0%	0.2%	0.8%	11.2										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				10.5		0.8%
7-13	10.1%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	11.5												0.0	0.0	0.0				10.1		0.1%
6-14	9.2%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0													0.0				0.0	9.2
5-15	7.5%																							7.5
4-16	5.6%																							5.6
3-17	3.9%																							3.9
2-18	2.0%																							2.0
1-19	0.9%																							0.9
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		23.5%	1.7%	21.9%	8.3		0.2	0.4	0.7	1.2	1.4	1.7	2.2	2.7	3.3	4.1	4.5	0.9	0.0			0.0	76.5		22.2%