IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.1	#95
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.0	#139

Pace	63.0	#315
Improvement	-4.6	#336

Offense
Total Offense	+3.9	#80

First Shot	+5.3	#52
After Offensive Rebound	-1.4	#271

Layup/Dunks	+2.3	#99
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.4	#94
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.6	#126
Freethrows	+0.1	#166

Improvement	-3.9	#338

Defense
Total Defense	+1.2	#137

First Shot	+1.7	#120
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.6	#238

Layups/Dunks	+2.6	#80
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.3	#294
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.3	#213
Freethrows	+0.7	#128

Improvement	-0.7	#227

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.5	15.0

.500 or above	1.3%	3.0%	0.1%
.500 or above in Conference	0.5%	1.2%	0.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.1%	0.0%	0.2%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Home) - 41.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 4	0 - 4
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 2	3 - 7	3 - 14
Quad 3	4 - 5	7 - 18
Quad 4	7 - 1	14 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf	Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	324	Stonehill	W	89-60	94%	1 - 0		+16.7	+11.7	+5.9
Nov 11, 2024	352	Buffalo	W	86-77	96%	2 - 0		-6.7	-1.1	-6.4
Nov 16, 2024	73	@ Georgetown	W	84-63	31%	3 - 0		+31.3	+26.5	+6.7
Nov 19, 2024	278	North Dakota	W	75-58	90%	4 - 0		+8.0	-3.8	+12.4
Nov 22, 2024	175	Elon	L	77-84	79%	4 - 1		-10.4	+8.9	-19.9
Nov 26, 2024	63	Rutgers	L	84-85 OT	37%	4 - 2		+7.4	+10.3	-2.8
Nov 27, 2024	3	Houston	L	54-65	6%	4 - 3		+11.4	+0.1	+9.7
Nov 30, 2024	31	Creighton	L	76-80	19%	4 - 4		+10.5	+10.6	-0.1
Dec 03, 2024	44	@ Georgia	L	48-69	20%	4 - 5		-6.8	-7.4	-3.5
Dec 07, 2024	108	Syracuse	W	69-64	66%	5 - 5	1 - 0	+6.0	-2.2	+8.3
Dec 11, 2024	206	Dartmouth	W	77-65	83%	6 - 5		+7.0	+5.9	+1.4
Dec 22, 2024	357	Le Moyne	W	91-62	97%	7 - 5		+12.6	+7.3	+5.2
Dec 31, 2024	99	@ Georgia Tech	L	75-86	41%	7 - 6	1 - 1	-3.6	+13.9	-18.5
Jan 04, 2025	40	North Carolina	L	73-74	33%	7 - 7	1 - 2	+8.6	+6.3	+2.2
Jan 08, 2025	103	@ North Carolina St.	L	65-66	43%	7 - 8	1 - 3	+5.8	+6.8	-1.2
Jan 11, 2025	2	@ Duke	L	78-86	4%	7 - 9	1 - 4	+18.1	+23.3	-5.9
Jan 13, 2025	174	Boston College	W	78-60	78%	8 - 9	2 - 4	+14.8	+15.6	+2.0
Jan 18, 2025	108	@ Syracuse	L	69-77	46%	8 - 10	2 - 5	-2.0	-1.4	-0.6
Jan 25, 2025	93	@ Virginia	W	74-59	40%	9 - 10	3 - 5	+22.7	+19.3	+6.4
Jan 28, 2025	99	Georgia Tech	W	71-68	61%	10 - 10	4 - 5	+5.3	+9.3	-3.6
Feb 01, 2025	152	@ Miami (FL)	L	57-63	58%	10 - 11	4 - 6	-2.9	-6.8	+2.6
Feb 04, 2025	82	@ Florida St.	L	60-67	34%	10 - 12	4 - 7	+2.4	-5.5	+7.9
Feb 08, 2025	128	Virginia Tech	L	63-65	72%	10 - 13	4 - 8	-2.8	-7.3	+4.4
Feb 12, 2025	174	@ Boston College	W	97-94 2OT	62%	11 - 13	5 - 8	+4.9	+12.2	-7.7
Feb 16, 2025	21	Louisville	L	60-75	22%	11 - 14	5 - 9	-1.8	-2.2	-0.7
Feb 19, 2025	37	SMU	L	73-97	32%	11 - 15	5 - 10	-14.0	+1.5	-14.9
Feb 22, 2025	52	Pittsburgh	L	70-73	41%
Feb 26, 2025	23	@ Clemson	L	61-74	10%
Mar 01, 2025	55	@ Wake Forest	L	64-72	21%
Mar 05, 2025	88	Stanford	W	72-71	57%
Mar 08, 2025	112	California	W	75-71	67%
Projected Record						13 - 18	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																								1st
2nd																								2nd
3rd																								3rd
4th																								4th
5th																								5th
6th																								6th
7th										0.2	0.2												0.5	7th
8th									0.1	1.3	0.2												1.6	8th
9th								0.0	2.4	2.6	0.1												5.0	9th
10th								0.7	8.8	1.4													10.8	10th
11th								7.4	9.2	0.3													16.8	11th
12th							0.7	16.7	2.6														20.0	12th
13th							5.5	10.8	0.2														16.5	13th
14th						0.3	12.7	2.0															15.0	14th
15th						4.3	6.8	0.1															11.2	15th
16th						2.1	0.4															2.5	16th
17th						0.1																0.1	17th
18th																							18th

Total						6.7	26.2	37.6	23.3	5.8	0.5												Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10	0.5%																					0.5
9-11	5.8%																					5.8
8-12	23.3%	0.0%	0.0%		12.0												0.0					23.3
7-13	37.6%	0.1%	0.1%		14.0														0.0			37.6
6-14	26.2%	0.0%	0.0%		15.0															0.0		26.2
5-15	6.7%																					6.7
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20

Total	100%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	13.8												0.0		0.0	0.0		100.0	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	5.2%