IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.2	#332
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.6	#310

Pace	70.6	#132
Improvement	+0.0	#179

Offense
Total Offense	-5.7	#331

First Shot	-3.5	#282
After Offensive Rebound	-2.2	#302

Layup/Dunks	+1.4	#132
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.3	#255
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.9	#268
Freethrows	-0.7	#224

Improvement	-0.3	#203

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#309

First Shot	-2.4	#256
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.0	#321

Layups/Dunks	-2.1	#256
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.7	#127
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.3	#175
Freethrows	-1.3	#273

Improvement	+0.3	#157

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.1%	13.3%	8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	16.5%	36.3%	15.9%
.500 or above in Conference	58.0%	70.9%	57.6%
Conference Champion	7.9%	12.2%	7.7%
Last Place in Conference	9.7%	6.0%	9.8%

First Four	7.6%	11.9%	7.5%
First Round	3.6%	6.1%	3.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 11	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	95	@ Syracuse	L	82-86	5%	0 - 1			+4.7	+4.2	+0.9
Nov 06, 2024	158	Cal St. Northridge	L	75-97	25%	0 - 2			-25.1	-6.0	-16.9
Nov 13, 2024	11	@ Connecticut	L	49-90	1%	0 - 3			-21.0	-12.8	-13.2
Nov 16, 2024	89	@ St. Bonaventure	L	52-71	5%	0 - 4			-9.6	-9.6	-1.7
Nov 22, 2024	324	Tennessee Martin	W	65-53	47%	1 - 4			+2.7	-13.2	+15.6
Nov 23, 2024	186	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	61-82	14%	1 - 5			-19.3	-9.5	-10.2
Nov 25, 2024	227	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	77-97	18%	1 - 6			-20.5	-2.5	-16.6
Nov 29, 2024	293	@ Manhattan	W	81-77	28%	2 - 6			-0.1	-0.8	+0.5
Dec 03, 2024	299	Army	L	100-103 3OT	51%	2 - 7			-13.4	-6.3	-6.2
Dec 07, 2024	314	Binghamton	L	62-72	55%	2 - 8			-21.6	-9.8	-12.8
Dec 18, 2024	312	@ Dartmouth	W	80-76	32%	3 - 8			-1.4	+2.8	-4.4
Dec 22, 2024	83	@ Notre Dame	L	60-80	3%
Dec 29, 2024	320	@ Niagara	L	68-72	34%
Jan 03, 2025	340	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	70-72	43%
Jan 10, 2025	334	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-78	61%
Jan 12, 2025	358	Mercyhurst	W	72-65	74%
Jan 18, 2025	360	@ Chicago St.	W	72-71	54%
Jan 20, 2025	322	Stonehill	W	71-69	57%
Jan 24, 2025	221	Central Connecticut St.	L	65-69	35%
Jan 30, 2025	334	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	78-81	39%
Feb 01, 2025	309	@ Wagner	L	59-64	33%
Feb 06, 2025	336	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	72-74	42%
Feb 08, 2025	358	@ Mercyhurst	W	69-68	53%
Feb 13, 2025	309	Wagner	W	62-61	54%
Feb 15, 2025	360	Chicago St.	W	75-68	74%
Feb 20, 2025	336	St. Francis (PA)	W	75-71	64%
Feb 22, 2025	340	LIU Brooklyn	W	73-69	65%
Feb 27, 2025	221	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	62-72	18%
Mar 01, 2025	322	@ Stonehill	L	68-72	36%
Projected Record						11 - 18	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.5	1.9	2.6	1.8	0.8	0.2	0.0		7.9	1st
2nd									0.1	1.5	4.9	5.0	2.2	0.4	0.0				14.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.7	6.3	5.1	1.5	0.1	0.0					14.8	3rd
4th							0.0	1.4	6.8	5.3	1.0	0.0							14.6	4th
5th						0.0	0.9	5.8	5.8	1.0	0.0								13.6	5th
6th					0.0	0.6	4.5	5.8	1.2	0.0									12.1	6th
7th				0.0	0.6	3.3	5.0	1.1	0.0										10.1	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.6	2.5	3.3	1.3	0.1											7.8	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.6	1.7	0.7	0.0												5.1	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.8	2.3	4.8	8.0	11.7	14.2	15.6	14.2	11.5	8.5	4.9	2.3	0.8	0.2	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2
14-2	96.0%	0.8		0.7	0.1
13-3	80.8%	1.8		1.3	0.5	0.0
12-4	52.2%	2.6		1.3	1.1	0.2	0.0
11-5	22.8%	1.9		0.6	0.8	0.5	0.1
10-6	4.1%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	7.9%	7.9		4.1	2.7	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																				0.0	0.0		0.0
15-1	0.2%		33.3%	33.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2
14-2	0.8%		28.5%	28.5%		15.9																0.0	0.2	0.6
13-3	2.3%		21.6%	21.6%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.5	1.8
12-4	4.9%		20.5%	20.5%		16.0																0.0	1.0	3.9
11-5	8.5%		15.2%	15.2%		16.0																0.0	1.3	7.2
10-6	11.5%		12.3%	12.3%		16.0																0.0	1.4	10.1
9-7	14.2%		8.8%	8.8%		16.0																	1.3	13.0
8-8	15.6%		6.7%	6.7%		16.0																	1.0	14.5
7-9	14.2%		5.0%	5.0%		16.0																	0.7	13.5
6-10	11.7%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.4	11.3
5-11	8.0%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	7.8
4-12	4.8%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
3-13	2.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
2-14	0.8%																							0.8
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.1%	8.1%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.1	8.0	91.9		0.0%