LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#323
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#312
Pace64.2#289
Improvement+1.5#119

Offense
Total Offense-9.7#359
First Shot-7.7#351
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#301
Layup/Dunks-1.9#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#300
Freethrows-2.7#322
Improvement-2.5#296

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#165
First Shot+1.0#142
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#257
Layups/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#9
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#89
Freethrows-3.1#350
Improvement+4.0#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.6% 12.0% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 11.9% 18.6% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.2% 11.4% 11.1%
First Round4.7% 5.0% 4.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Away) - 54.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 413 - 1214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 25   @ Mississippi L 60-90 1%     0 - 1 -12.6 -6.6 -4.4
  Nov 11, 2024 294   @ Air Force W 63-54 33%     1 - 1 +4.2 -0.1 +5.9
  Nov 15, 2024 158   @ California Baptist L 77-90 13%     1 - 2 -10.2 +8.8 -19.6
  Nov 20, 2024 275   Columbia L 72-80 48%     1 - 3 -16.9 -8.4 -8.5
  Nov 23, 2024 235   @ Charlotte W 79-76 22%     2 - 3 +1.5 +7.7 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2024 196   @ Winthrop L 65-87 17%     2 - 4 -21.5 -10.9 -10.0
  Nov 29, 2024 298   @ Lafayette L 56-75 34%     2 - 5 -24.1 -15.0 -9.7
  Nov 30, 2024 299   Binghamton L 70-75 OT 43%     2 - 6 -12.7 -9.7 -2.7
  Dec 01, 2024 319   Niagara L 52-60 49%     2 - 7 -17.2 -18.7 +0.3
  Dec 11, 2024 225   @ Umass Lowell L 62-69 21%     2 - 8 -7.9 -15.5 +7.7
  Dec 14, 2024 15   @ Missouri L 61-88 1%     2 - 9 -6.8 -1.1 -7.3
  Dec 18, 2024 258   Mount St. Mary's L 72-80 44%     2 - 10 -15.9 -5.0 -10.7
  Dec 21, 2024 279   Lehigh L 59-60 49%     2 - 11 -10.1 -15.9 +5.8
  Jan 03, 2025 357   Le Moyne W 78-62 75%     3 - 11 1 - 0 -0.4 +3.1 -1.8
  Jan 05, 2025 360   Chicago St. W 53-39 80%     4 - 11 2 - 0 -4.3 -18.9 +16.6
  Jan 10, 2025 324   @ Stonehill W 70-60 41%     5 - 11 3 - 0 +2.8 +0.4 +3.5
  Jan 12, 2025 197   @ Central Connecticut St. W 54-52 18%     6 - 11 4 - 0 +2.5 -4.6 +7.5
  Jan 18, 2025 331   St. Francis (PA) W 64-51 64%     7 - 11 5 - 0 -0.1 -6.9 +8.7
  Jan 20, 2025 350   Mercyhurst W 72-63 OT 72%     8 - 11 6 - 0 -6.4 -9.6 +3.0
  Jan 24, 2025 331   @ St. Francis (PA) L 64-74 44%     8 - 12 6 - 1 -18.0 -10.9 -7.5
  Jan 26, 2025 350   @ Mercyhurst L 80-85 2OT 53%     8 - 13 6 - 2 -15.3 -10.8 -3.8
  Jan 30, 2025 197   Central Connecticut St. L 50-63 32%     8 - 14 6 - 3 -17.6 -19.5 +1.2
  Feb 01, 2025 360   @ Chicago St. L 67-73 OT 64%     8 - 15 6 - 4 -19.2 -10.8 -8.3
  Feb 06, 2025 347   @ Wagner W 60-47 53%     9 - 15 7 - 4 +2.9 +2.4 +4.3
  Feb 08, 2025 324   Stonehill W 62-59 61%     10 - 15 8 - 4 -9.3 -8.1 -0.7
  Feb 15, 2025 318   Fairleigh Dickinson W 62-58 59%     11 - 15 9 - 4 -7.8 -11.5 +4.0
  Feb 22, 2025 357   @ Le Moyne W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 27, 2025 347   Wagner W 60-54 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 318   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 64-67 38%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.2 1.3 1st
2nd 6.2 34.3 40.8 14.8 96.1 2nd
3rd 2.6 2.6 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 8.8 34.3 40.9 16.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 7.2% 1.2    0.1 1.1
11-5 0.4% 0.2    0.2
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.1 1.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 16.0% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5 13.5
11-5 40.9% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 5.0 36.0
10-6 34.3% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 3.6 30.7
9-7 8.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.6 8.3
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.6 88.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.5% 100.0% 16.0 0.8 99.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.2%
Lose Out 4.0%