LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#341
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#307
Pace70.9#126
Improvement-3.3#347

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#349
First Shot-5.4#314
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#251
Layup/Dunks-0.2#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#294
Freethrows-2.8#315
Improvement-2.9#352

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#315
First Shot-3.7#289
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#243
Layups/Dunks-3.0#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#43
Freethrows-6.3#362
Improvement-0.4#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 10.4% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 11.1% 27.6% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 62.3% 49.0%
Conference Champion 6.8% 11.7% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.5% 7.6% 13.0%
First Four6.8% 9.5% 6.6%
First Round2.7% 4.0% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 8.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 410 - 1311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 40   @ Mississippi L 60-90 2%     0 - 1 -15.5 -10.9 -3.1
  Nov 11, 2024 278   @ Air Force W 63-54 22%     1 - 1 +5.6 -0.8 +8.0
  Nov 15, 2024 184   @ California Baptist L 77-90 11%     1 - 2 -11.1 +7.1 -18.7
  Nov 20, 2024 163   Columbia L 72-80 22%     1 - 3 -11.2 -5.5 -5.8
  Nov 23, 2024 198   @ Charlotte W 79-76 12%     2 - 3 +4.4 +9.4 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2024 187   @ Winthrop L 65-87 11%     2 - 4 -20.2 -7.5 -12.1
  Nov 29, 2024 235   @ Lafayette L 56-75 16%     2 - 5 -19.9 -13.2 -7.3
  Nov 30, 2024 320   Binghamton L 70-75 OT 41%     2 - 6 -14.1 -11.3 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2024 304   Niagara L 52-60 35%     2 - 7 -15.5 -16.7 +0.0
  Dec 11, 2024 160   @ Umass Lowell L 69-83 9%    
  Dec 14, 2024 57   @ Missouri L 62-86 1%    
  Dec 18, 2024 259   Mount St. Mary's L 70-73 38%    
  Dec 21, 2024 287   Lehigh L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 03, 2025 329   Le Moyne W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 05, 2025 357   Chicago St. W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 10, 2025 334   @ Stonehill L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 12, 2025 262   @ Central Connecticut St. L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 16, 2025 339   St. Francis (PA) W 74-72 59%    
  Jan 20, 2025 358   Mercyhurst W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 24, 2025 339   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 26, 2025 358   @ Mercyhurst W 67-66 50%    
  Jan 30, 2025 262   Central Connecticut St. L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 357   @ Chicago St. W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 06, 2025 293   @ Wagner L 57-64 25%    
  Feb 08, 2025 334   Stonehill W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 15, 2025 343   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-78 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 329   @ Le Moyne L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 293   Wagner L 60-61 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 343   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 78-81 41%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.4 4.2 1.1 0.1 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 6.2 5.2 1.0 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.8 5.8 1.2 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.0 6.2 1.5 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.3 5.8 1.5 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.7 4.0 1.5 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 2.0 0.7 0.0 7.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.5 6.7 9.8 13.3 14.6 14.8 13.0 9.5 6.7 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 96.3% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 86.8% 1.5    1.1 0.3 0.0
12-4 59.1% 2.1    1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0
11-5 27.1% 1.8    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
10-6 5.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 34.9% 34.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
14-2 0.6% 39.3% 39.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.4
13-3 1.7% 29.9% 29.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 1.2
12-4 3.6% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.7 3.0
11-5 6.7% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 1.1 5.6
10-6 9.5% 10.9% 10.9% 16.0 1.0 8.5
9-7 13.0% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 1.2 11.8
8-8 14.8% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 1.0 13.8
7-9 14.6% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.6 14.0
6-10 13.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 12.9
5-11 9.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.6
4-12 6.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.6
3-13 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-14 1.4% 1.4
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%