Winthrop
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#194
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#193
Pace78.3#14
Improvement-1.5#249

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#154
First Shot-0.5#191
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#109
Layup/Dunks+2.8#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#351
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#282
Freethrows+3.5#23
Improvement+2.5#57

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#250
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#324
Layups/Dunks+0.2#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#281
Freethrows-0.2#196
Improvement-4.0#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 16.2% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 81.4% 94.4% 77.9%
.500 or above in Conference 74.4% 91.6% 69.8%
Conference Champion 6.6% 19.4% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 1.4%
First Four0.5% 0.2% 0.6%
First Round11.7% 16.1% 10.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 21.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 241   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-67 70%     1 - 0 +8.0 +0.2 +6.2
  Nov 11, 2024 133   @ Virginia Tech L 52-58 28%     1 - 1 -1.6 -14.0 +11.8
  Nov 15, 2024 193   William & Mary W 86-85 60%     2 - 1 -3.2 -2.0 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2024 272   Georgia Southern L 87-89 76%     2 - 2 -10.8 -7.1 -3.3
  Nov 17, 2024 305   NC Central W 77-75 80%     3 - 2 -8.6 -1.6 -7.0
  Nov 22, 2024 23   @ Louisville L 61-76 5%     3 - 3 +2.5 -11.3 +15.4
  Nov 25, 2024 314   LIU Brooklyn W 87-65 82%     4 - 3 +10.7 +9.6 +0.4
  Dec 03, 2024 209   @ Queens W 86-78 43%     5 - 3 +8.1 +5.1 +2.3
  Dec 07, 2024 293   Coastal Carolina W 96-89 79%     6 - 3 -3.2 +16.6 -19.7
  Dec 17, 2024 58   @ Florida St. L 64-82 10%     6 - 4 -5.7 -7.4 +3.2
  Dec 21, 2024 233   Mercer W 102-97 69%     7 - 4 -1.7 +7.6 -10.3
  Dec 29, 2024 56   @ Indiana L 68-77 10%     7 - 5 +3.6 +0.4 +3.4
  Jan 02, 2025 339   South Carolina Upstate W 95-76 88%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +4.9 +12.5 -8.2
  Jan 04, 2025 205   @ Radford L 67-87 42%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -19.6 -3.3 -17.3
  Jan 08, 2025 243   @ Gardner-Webb L 83-89 51%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -7.8 +6.7 -14.4
  Jan 11, 2025 196   Longwood W 95-76 60%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +14.7 +15.0 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2025 279   Charleston Southern W 102-97 3OT 77%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -4.3 -3.2 -2.5
  Jan 18, 2025 188   @ UNC Asheville L 84-93 38%     10 - 8 3 - 3 -7.6 +1.9 -8.9
  Jan 25, 2025 106   @ High Point L 80-88 21%    
  Jan 29, 2025 275   Presbyterian W 80-73 77%    
  Feb 01, 2025 243   Gardner-Webb W 84-79 71%    
  Feb 05, 2025 279   @ Charleston Southern W 80-77 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 339   @ South Carolina Upstate W 88-81 74%    
  Feb 12, 2025 205   Radford W 77-74 63%    
  Feb 15, 2025 106   High Point L 82-85 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 275   @ Presbyterian W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 196   @ Longwood L 79-81 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 188   UNC Asheville W 85-83 58%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.9 2.5 0.5 6.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 6.2 4.7 0.6 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 8.2 8.5 1.3 0.0 19.0 3rd
4th 0.7 7.4 11.3 2.3 0.1 21.8 4th
5th 0.5 5.5 10.5 2.3 0.1 18.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 6.8 2.4 0.1 12.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 3.5 1.7 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.7 7.5 14.7 21.4 22.8 17.7 8.9 3.1 0.5 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
12-4 81.4% 2.5    1.4 1.0 0.1
11-5 32.7% 2.9    0.6 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.6% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 2.4 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.5% 30.0% 30.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
12-4 3.1% 25.4% 25.4% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 2.3
11-5 8.9% 21.3% 21.3% 14.4 0.1 1.0 0.8 0.0 7.0
10-6 17.7% 15.4% 15.4% 14.7 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.1 15.0
9-7 22.8% 11.6% 11.6% 15.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.4 20.1
8-8 21.4% 10.0% 10.0% 15.3 0.2 1.3 0.7 19.2
7-9 14.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.6 0.4 0.7 13.6
6-10 7.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.2
5-11 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 2.6
4-12 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 0.5 2.9 6.1 2.3 88.2 0.0%