Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#224
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#183
Pace81.7#5
Improvement+0.4#153

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#252
First Shot-3.2#274
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#165
Layup/Dunks+5.9#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#208
Freethrows-6.5#362
Improvement-2.2#331

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#181
First Shot+1.2#133
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#278
Layups/Dunks+1.3#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#101
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#138
Freethrows-2.6#311
Improvement+2.7#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 5.0% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 49.1% 75.1% 46.9%
.500 or above in Conference 56.3% 71.0% 55.0%
Conference Champion 3.8% 7.0% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 1.2% 4.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round3.3% 4.8% 3.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 7.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 411 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 337   Northern Illinois W 80-65 83%     1 - 0 +1.5 -2.8 +3.4
  Nov 08, 2024 157   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 27%     1 - 1 -4.8 +2.9 -6.8
  Nov 15, 2024 274   NC Central W 80-75 61%     2 - 1 -1.1 -4.9 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2024 187   @ Winthrop W 89-87 31%     3 - 1 +3.8 +0.8 +2.6
  Nov 17, 2024 221   William & Mary L 87-102 49%     3 - 2 -18.0 -1.4 -14.7
  Nov 23, 2024 348   West Georgia W 64-54 87%     4 - 2 -5.4 -16.3 +10.7
  Nov 30, 2024 72   @ Drake L 47-61 10%     4 - 3 -3.0 -14.8 +10.4
  Dec 04, 2024 62   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 67-82 8%    
  Dec 07, 2024 192   North Florida W 84-83 55%    
  Dec 13, 2024 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-80 16%    
  Dec 17, 2024 207   Gardner-Webb W 79-77 56%    
  Dec 21, 2024 145   @ Texas St. L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 02, 2025 332   Louisiana Monroe W 80-70 82%    
  Jan 04, 2025 214   South Alabama W 74-72 58%    
  Jan 08, 2025 228   @ Georgia St. L 76-79 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 182   @ Marshall L 77-82 32%    
  Jan 16, 2025 286   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 317   @ Old Dominion W 81-78 59%    
  Jan 22, 2025 286   Coastal Carolina W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 182   Marshall W 80-79 54%    
  Jan 30, 2025 126   @ Troy L 74-82 23%    
  Feb 01, 2025 267   @ Southern Miss L 79-80 49%    
  Feb 05, 2025 263   Louisiana W 83-77 69%    
  Feb 13, 2025 116   James Madison L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 317   Old Dominion W 84-75 78%    
  Feb 20, 2025 164   @ Appalachian St. L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 116   @ James Madison L 75-84 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 164   Appalachian St. W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 28, 2025 228   Georgia St. W 79-76 61%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 3.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.6 5.2 1.2 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.7 2.2 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.9 3.2 0.3 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.1 0.6 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.3 1.2 0.1 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 1.7 0.2 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 1.7 0.3 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.8 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.5 8.8 11.2 12.8 14.1 13.5 10.6 8.1 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 77.4% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
14-4 43.2% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.9% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 21.3% 21.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 22.8% 22.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.3% 12.7% 12.7% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
14-4 2.9% 15.0% 15.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.5
13-5 5.1% 10.7% 10.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 4.6
12-6 8.1% 7.6% 7.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 7.4
11-7 10.6% 5.5% 5.5% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.0
10-8 13.5% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.1
9-9 14.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.9
8-10 12.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.6
7-11 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.1
6-12 8.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
4-14 3.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.5 96.6 0.0%