Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.4 257
Results Rating -4.3 238
Consistency 0.14 104
Pace 74.9 33
Improvement -0.1 191

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C 183 D+ C- B- B- B
Defense D 313 D+ D B- F+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 184 D 53% 299 -1.9 250
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 328 B- 41% 79 -2.9 312
Three Pointers 49% 28 D+ 31% 289 +2.4 95
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 47 D -3.3 297
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 256
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 270 B- 1.10 85 C- 0.30 203
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 193
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 43
Turnovers B- 15.5% 104
Freethrows B- 0.33 110 C+ 73% 169 B- 0.24 109
Total Offense C -0.7 183

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 27% 362 B- 8.9% 74
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 14% 336 C- 5.7% 239
Three Pointers F 69% 361 C- 1.0% 230
Total F 41% 360 B- 4.6% 72


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 41 C- 60% 241 +4.2 319
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 337 C 38% 183 -2.0 33
Three Pointers 41% 190 D+ 36% 275 +1.1 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 348 D+ +2.1 268
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.09 285
Second Chance D- 34.7% 333 C 1.04 190 D 0.36 298
Turnovers from Steals B- 11.0% 66
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 153
Turnovers B- 18.4% 81
Freethrows D- 0.37 342 F+ 76% 349 F+ 0.28 355
Total Defense D -4.7 313

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 64 C+ 11.8% 140
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 153 C 5.1% 147
Three Pointers C+ 81% 114 D 0.1% 342
Total C+ 52% 113 C+ 6.0% 142

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.4 82 16.6 53
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 256 0.20 289
Consistency 0.14 276 0.09 9
Improvement -0.4 209 +0.4 177

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 267 255 242
Results Rating Rank 246 242 217
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 n/a
.500 or above 27% 100% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 2% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 73 - 8
Quad 413 - 815 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 234 @East Carolina L 89 - 92 33% -2  20% 0 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 C B+ C D- -7 C- F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 246 UNC Asheville W 93 - 90 59% -1  38% 1 - 1 C- -5 C+ +2 C F A D- -7 F+ F A
 Tue, Nov 11 264 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95 - 94 40% +3  75% 2 - 1 C- -2 A +14 A+ D- B- F -16 D- F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 148 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 68 19% +1  46% 2 - 2 C+ +2 F -11 F B- D A+ +12 A C- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 75 @Florida St. L 72 - 98 7% -14  0% 2 - 3 F+ -15 F -10 D- F C- C -1 C C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 217 Youngstown St. L 61 - 67 42% -4  10% 2 - 4 D -9 F -13 F F C- B- +3 C- F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 335 Texas San Antonio L 64 - 77 73% +1  69% 2 - 5 F -25 F -20 F D+ C- D+ -4 B D+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 288 Houston Christian W 80 - 62 68% +6  91% 3 - 5 B- +8 C+ +4 C+ C- A+ B +5 C+ C+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 221 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 69 55% +4  75% 4 - 5 C +1 B +6 A- B- B- D+ -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 360 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 84 81% +3  62% 5 - 5 D -11 C -0 D D- A F -11 F D C
 Sat, Dec 13 303 @West Georgia W 91 - 85 51% +9  99% 6 - 5 C +0 B+ +9 C A+ C+ F+ -9 D+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 304 Georgia St. W 90 - 67 72% +8  78% 7 - 5 1 - 0 B+ +11 A+ +15 D- A A+ C- -2 F B A-
 Sat, Dec 20 198 James Madison W 96 - 92 OT 49% -3  14% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 B +7 D+ D+ A D- -8 B F C
 Thu, Jan 1 228 @Coastal Carolina W 82 - 81 OT 33% +3  68% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +0 C+ +2 D B C- C- -2 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 3 248 @Old Dominion W 93 - 86 36% +13  98% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B- +5 C+ +3 C+ C+ C+ C+ +1 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 187 @South Alabama L 71 - 87 26% -9  4% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -15 D -5 F+ D A- F+ -9 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 15 248 Old Dominion W 87 - 84 59% -2  34% 11 - 6 5 - 1 C- -5 B +6 A C- C- F -11 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 17 228 Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 OT 55% +2  59% 11 - 7 5 - 2 D -11 D -5 F B- A+ D -6 B C- A
 Thu, Jan 22 147 Arkansas St. L 68 - 85 37% -9  4% 11 - 8 5 - 3 F -19 F -13 F A D+ D+ -5 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 151 Troy L 78 - 83 39% -4  7% 11 - 9 5 - 4 D+ -8 B+ +9 B- A+ A F -17 D F A-
 Fri, Jan 30 354 @Louisiana Monroe W 79 - 76 72% +2  61% 12 - 9 6 - 4 D -8 F+ -8 F D F+ C -0 D- D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 298 @Louisiana L 60 - 69 49% -6  1% 12 - 10 6 - 5 D- -14 F+ -9 F D+ F D- -7 F D+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 233 Texas St. L 71 - 77 56% -3  37% 12 - 11 6 - 6 D- -13 D -6 D+ D- A- D- -7 B F C
 Wed, Feb 11 172 Appalachian St. L 65 - 81 44% -8  0% 12 - 12 6 - 7 F -20 D- -7 C- F F F -14 D- D C-
 Sat, Feb 14 189 Marshall W 101 - 87 48% +11  83% 13 - 12 7 - 7 B +9 A- +10 A+ D+ C C- -2 C+ A D+
 Thu, Feb 19 304 @Georgia St. L 64 - 66 51% -4  7% 13 - 13 7 - 8 D+ -8 F -11 F F A+ B- +3 B+ D F+
 Sat, Feb 21 172 @Appalachian St. L 74 - 89 24% -3  22% 13 - 14 7 - 9 D- -13 C +0 C+ F+ D- F -13 F D C+
 Wed, Feb 25 198 @James Madison L 66 - 82 27% -1  59% 13 - 15 7 - 10 F+ -15 F -10 F C- C D -5 F A+ A+
 Fri, Feb 27 189 @Marshall W 99 - 82 26% +1  51% 14 - 15 8 - 10 A +18 A+ +18 A- A+ A+ C -1 D D B
 Wed, Mar 4 248 Old Dominion W 88 - 84 48% +4  91% 15 - 15 C -1 A- +11 A+ C D+ F -12 F C+ C
 Thu, Mar 5 147 Arkansas St. L 83 - 89 27%
Totals 15 - 16 8 - 10 -5 C -1 D- D B D -5 D+ C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D B- D+ D 38% 24% 49% B D+ D+ B- C- B- B- C+ B- D C- C D+ D+ 44% 15% 41% D- D+ D- C D B- D- F+ F+
1.08 53% 41% 31% -3 +1 0.97 27% 1.1 .30 16% .33 73% .24 1.15 60% 38% 36% +2 +1 1.09 35% 1.0 .36 18% .37 76% .25
Nov
4
East Carolina C+ D D B- D+ 55% 11% 35% A+ C B B+ B+ C A+ F A D- F+ B A+ C 45% 22% 33% D- C- F F F C- F A- F
1.11 53% 33% 37% -2 +2 1.04 35% 1.3 .45 17% .45 60% .27 1.14 64% 33% 22% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.2 .54 16% .61 63% .39
Nov
8
UNC Asheville C+ D A+ D+ C 47% 14% 39% B- C C- F F A A+ B A+ D- D+ F A+ F+ 40% 37% 23% D F+ C- F F A F+ F F
1.16 52% 75% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 11% .55 72% .39 1.12 62% 63% 25% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.4 .45 22% .38 83% .32
Nov
11
Florida Gulf Coast A A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 6% 60% B A+ F B- D- B- D- F F F C+ F D- D- 39% 20% 41% F+ D- F B F C+ A A+ A+
1.30 72% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.45 21% 1.2 .24 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 50% 38% +4 0 1.10 55% 1.0 .53 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
18
Georgia Tech F F D+ C+ F 36% 5% 58% A F B- C+ B- D D F F A+ F A- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% D- A F A C- A+ F B+ F
0.88 20% 33% 34% -14 +2 0.78 33% 1.1 .37 19% .25 53% .13 0.90 71% 29% 16% -9 +1 0.86 41% 0.9 .38 29% .56 67% .38
Nov
21
Florida St. F F+ B F F 30% 13% 57% B D- F F F C- A A+ A+ C D+ A+ C- C 28% 3% 68% C- C B+ F C C- F A D-
0.87 47% 43% 28% -8 0 0.88 21% 0.7 .14 20% .36 88% .32 1.18 65% 0% 34% +1 +2 1.07 29% 1.3 .38 13% .40 66% .26
Nov
24
Youngstown St. F F A+ F F 41% 12% 47% B F D- F F C- D- A+ C- B- C+ F C C- 39% 10% 51% D+ C- F F+ F A+ F C- F
0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24 0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27
Nov
25
Texas San Antonio F F F F F 27% 10% 63% C F F A+ D+ C- A+ F A+ D+ B+ A B+ B 35% 22% 43% B- B D- C+ D+ F+ F B+ F
0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 +1 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36 1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 -1 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39
Nov
29
Houston Christian C+ C- F A C 46% 9% 44% B C+ C C- C- A+ C+ F D- B C+ A+ A- B 52% 9% 39% F C+ C- B C+ A C- B- C
1.20 60% 20% 42% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 12% .31 56% .17 0.93 54% 25% 28% -7 +3 0.93 30% 0.8 .24 22% .29 67% .19
Dec
3
Louisiana Tech B A+ A+ F B+ 35% 6% 59% B+ A- D- A+ B- B- C B+ B- D+ D- F B- F 45% 14% 41% F+ F A+ A+ A+ D D+ A+ C+
1.15 76% 67% 28% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.5 .40 16% .32 78% .25 1.03 64% 71% 30% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.6 .13 16% .30 53% .16
Dec
6
Gardner-Webb C F A+ B+ D- 51% 7% 42% A D F A+ D- A A+ F+ A F C A+ F F+ 60% 6% 33% F F C- F+ D C F F F
1.18 50% 50% 39% 0 +3 1.07 23% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .28 1.12 55% 0% 44% +1 +3 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 20% .47 82% .38
Dec
13
West Georgia B+ D+ A+ C C- 45% 5% 49% B+ C B A+ A+ C+ B- A- B+ F+ C A- D+ C- 38% 27% 35% D- D+ F F+ F A+ F F F
1.25 56% 67% 33% 0 +2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 14% .37 78% .29 1.17 56% 31% 35% -2 -1 0.96 49% 1.2 .57 23% .36 95% .34
Dec
18
Georgia St. A+ F F A- F 40% 2% 58% A D- A B- A A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ C- F 29% 15% 56% F F D+ A+ B A- B- A- B+
1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52 1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19
Dec
20
James Madison B D- A+ F D 51% 8% 41% A D+ D+ C- D+ A A+ B+ A+ D- C F A+ A- 54% 8% 38% F B F D+ F C F D F
1.22 50% 80% 25% -6 +2 0.95 27% 1.0 .27 8% .54 77% .41 1.17 59% 50% 21% -6 +3 0.96 45% 1.1 .50 18% .59 74% .43
Jan
1
Coastal Carolina C+ C- A F D 29% 31% 40% C- D C A B C- A+ B- A+ C- B A+ D+ A- 35% 35% 30% B- A- F D+ F C F D- F
1.07 53% 50% 22% -5 -2 0.88 29% 1.3 .36 13% .48 75% .36 1.06 50% 20% 35% -9 -2 0.81 41% 1.0 .41 16% .42 78% .33
Jan
3
Old Dominion C+ C B C C+ 46% 21% 32% C+ C+ C B- C+ C+ A A- A+ C+ B A- A A 38% 28% 34% C- A D+ C- D+ F D- F+ F
1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34 1.06 52% 28% 27% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28
Jan
10
South Alabama D D F F F 24% 2% 75% B F+ D- B D A- A+ F+ A F+ D F F F 53% 27% 20% B- F F A+ B A+ F C+ F
0.98 54% 0% 27% -10 +1 0.85 24% 1.2 .28 14% .35 68% .24 1.20 63% 50% 60% +13 0 1.29 30% 0.8 .22 19% .43 64% .27
Jan
15
Old Dominion B D A+ A+ A- 44% 12% 44% B+ A C+ D C- C- A+ F+ A- F B- C- F F 40% 15% 45% F F F A D+ C- B A B+
1.22 55% 50% 45% +7 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32 1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17
Jan
17
Coastal Carolina D F C F F 37% 18% 46% A F C+ C+ B- A+ A+ F C+ D A F A+ C+ 19% 38% 43% A+ B F A- C- A F F F
1.01 38% 40% 27% -12 0 0.79 30% 1.1 .32 7% .40 57% .23 1.07 44% 50% 25% -4 -4 0.87 34% 0.8 .26 20% .64 82% .52
Jan
22
Arkansas St. F D- F F F 43% 6% 51% A F B+ A A D+ A D- B+ D+ B- F F F 47% 8% 45% F F A- A+ A+ B+ F+ F F
0.91 52% 0% 11% -22 +2 0.62 33% 1.3 .42 16% .42 65% .27 1.14 54% 75% 43% +7 +2 1.22 31% 0.7 .22 23% .40 83% .33
Jan
24
Troy B+ B- A+ D- C+ 31% 8% 61% B B- D+ A+ A+ A B- B+ B F C+ D D+ 50% 0% 50% F D F F F A- F C- F
1.22 60% 100% 30% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.8 .52 13% .31 76% .23 1.30 55% 36% 0 +3 1.09 50% 1.2 .59 20% .47 75% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30
Louisiana Monroe F+ D+ A+ F F 35% 23% 42% D- F F A- D F+ A+ A- A+ C D- B- B- D 43% 18% 39% D D- D- C+ D+ B+ F F F
1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43 1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37
Jan
31
Louisiana F+ F F+ C F 38% 21% 42% D F C- C- D+ F F+ A+ C- D- C- F+ F F 39% 28% 33% F F B F D+ C- D D+ D
0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27 1.11 56% 46% 47% +7 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19
Feb
4
Texas St. D D A+ F+ D+ 39% 14% 47% C D+ F A+ D- A- B C+ B D- B+ B+ A+ A 57% 18% 24% F B F F F C F F F
1.02 53% 71% 30% 0 +1 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 14% .37 73% .27 1.11 50% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 39% 1.4 .55 19% .39 91% .35
Feb
11
Appalachian St. D- D F B- D+ 42% 9% 49% A- C- C+ F F F F D F F D B- B- D 49% 7% 44% F D- F C+ D C- F F F
0.98 50% 0% 36% -5 +2 0.95 32% 0.5 .15 18% .17 67% .11 1.22 64% 33% 30% 0 +3 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 15% .50 71% .36
Feb
14
Marshall A- B- F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% A A+ D+ D+ D+ C A+ A A+ C- A F+ D+ B- 34% 19% 47% D- C+ B A+ A D+ F F F
1.30 63% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 17% .50 81% .40 1.12 50% 45% 37% +1 0 1.03 27% 0.8 .22 15% .38 80% .31
Feb
19
Georgia St. F F F F+ F 38% 7% 55% B+ F F D F A+ F+ D- F+ B- A+ B+ B A- 32% 30% 38% C B+ D C- D F+ D+ F F
0.93 43% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 9% .24 67% .16 0.96 39% 29% 29% -12 -2 0.75 31% 1.1 .33 13% .32 95% .30
Feb
21
Appalachian St. C B- F B C+ 28% 11% 61% C+ C+ D F F+ D- C A+ B+ F F A+ C- F 40% 13% 47% D F D D D C+ F F F
1.04 60% 0% 36% -2 0 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 17% .27 88% .24 1.25 83% 17% 33% +7 +1 1.18 33% 1.1 .37 17% .63 78% .49
Feb
25
James Madison F A+ F+ F F 28% 19% 53% D+ F F+ A C- C D- C D D F A+ F F 49% 12% 40% F+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.94 73% 30% 18% -10 0 0.81 23% 1.2 .28 13% .29 72% .21 1.16 76% 0% 53% +16 +2 1.37 27% 0.5 .14 24% .49 81% .39
Feb
27
Marshall A+ B F A+ B+ 42% 15% 44% B+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A- C F+ D+ C+ D+ 41% 24% 35% D- D A F D B F B F
1.38 65% 13% 46% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.8 .58 11% .38 83% .31 1.14 71% 42% 33% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 20% .40 70% .28
Mar
4
Old Dominion A- A+ F A+ A+ 40% 13% 47% B A+ C+ C- C D+ A+ A- A+ F B+ A+ F F 32% 18% 50% D- F D A+ C+ C F F F
1.27 78% 17% 43% +11 +1 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 16% .52 80% .41 1.22 50% 11% 52% +6 0 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 16% .43 84% .36




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 99.5
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.4 99.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 15.4 3.8 50.0 46.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.6%
Lose Out 73.3%