Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#252
Expected Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Pace72.5#67
Improvement+3.2#58

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#184
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#150
Layup/Dunks-0.7#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#283
Freethrows-0.2#180
Improvement+5.5#12

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#316
First Shot-3.3#282
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#301
Layups/Dunks-2.8#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#252
Freethrows+1.8#66
Improvement-2.4#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 1.5% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 43.7% 71.4% 19.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 46.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 411 - 613 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 261   Ball St. W 71-66 61%     1 - 0 -3.0 -6.0 +3.1
  Nov 08, 2024 28   @ Mississippi St. L 66-101 3%     1 - 1 -17.7 -2.8 -12.6
  Nov 13, 2024 124   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-72 18%     1 - 2 -0.4 -7.0 +6.9
  Nov 22, 2024 310   NC Central W 93-79 72%     2 - 2 +2.8 +19.5 -15.6
  Nov 26, 2024 276   Austin Peay L 50-62 55%     2 - 3 -18.5 -18.8 -1.2
  Nov 27, 2024 246   Tulsa W 74-71 49%     3 - 3 -1.8 +0.0 -1.8
  Nov 29, 2024 17   @ Kentucky L 76-105 2%     3 - 4 -9.5 -0.1 -6.1
  Dec 06, 2024 131   Kennesaw St. L 77-81 34%     3 - 5 -4.9 +0.4 -5.1
  Dec 14, 2024 235   Charlotte L 63-77 56%     3 - 6 -20.5 -15.2 -5.1
  Dec 17, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 59-100 1%     3 - 7 -14.9 -6.6 -5.8
  Dec 21, 2024 118   @ Troy L 57-77 17%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -14.7 -8.1 -7.9
  Dec 28, 2024 256   Mercer L 68-71 60%     3 - 9 -10.8 -8.1 -2.7
  Jan 02, 2025 133   South Alabama L 51-77 35%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -27.0 -13.2 -17.2
  Jan 04, 2025 289   Louisiana W 94-70 67%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +14.4 +14.6 -1.0
  Jan 08, 2025 248   Georgia Southern W 82-78 OT 59%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -3.4 -6.1 +2.1
  Jan 11, 2025 312   Coastal Carolina W 79-74 73%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -6.6 +4.6 -10.8
  Jan 15, 2025 202   @ Texas St. L 80-94 30%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -13.7 +4.9 -18.5
  Jan 18, 2025 97   @ Arkansas St. L 59-85 12%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -18.5 -10.6 -7.1
  Jan 23, 2025 190   Marshall L 79-92 47%     6 - 13 3 - 5 -17.2 +5.6 -23.0
  Jan 25, 2025 138   James Madison L 79-86 36%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -8.3 +7.4 -16.0
  Jan 30, 2025 190   @ Marshall W 85-81 28%     7 - 14 4 - 6 +4.9 +10.0 -5.3
  Feb 01, 2025 141   @ Appalachian St. L 76-80 20%     7 - 15 4 - 7 -0.3 +9.6 -9.9
  Feb 05, 2025 336   Louisiana Monroe W 97-64 80%     8 - 15 5 - 7 +19.0 +20.3 -0.8
  Feb 08, 2025 352   @ Buffalo W 80-75 70%     9 - 15 -5.6 -7.0 +0.7
  Feb 13, 2025 286   Old Dominion W 97-75 67%     10 - 15 6 - 7 +12.5 +16.3 -4.4
  Feb 15, 2025 141   Appalachian St. W 70-65 36%     11 - 15 7 - 7 +3.6 +8.2 -4.0
  Feb 20, 2025 138   @ James Madison L 63-83 20%     11 - 16 7 - 8 -16.2 -4.1 -13.8
  Feb 22, 2025 286   @ Old Dominion L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 312   @ Coastal Carolina W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 28, 2025 248   @ Georgia Southern L 78-81 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 1.9 5.3 7.2 6th
7th 10.2 27.1 4.8 42.1 7th
8th 0.5 18.6 4.3 23.4 8th
9th 3.9 9.8 0.2 13.8 9th
10th 7.6 1.5 9.1 10th
11th 4.2 0.0 4.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 16.3 40.1 33.5 10.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 10.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.1 0.1 10.0
9-9 33.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 33.2
8-10 40.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 39.9
7-11 16.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.2
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 5.5%