Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#160
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#236
Pace82.7#4
Improvement+1.0#73

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#111
First Shot+0.6#155
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#82
Layup/Dunks-7.8#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#18
Freethrows+4.2#22
Improvement+0.2#137

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#251
First Shot-2.1#247
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#207
Layups/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.8#25
Freethrows-10.0#363
Improvement+0.8#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.1% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.8
.500 or above 36.0% 42.9% 20.1%
.500 or above in Conference 47.1% 51.8% 36.3%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.0% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 8.6% 15.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round5.1% 5.9% 3.3%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Home) - 69.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 52 - 7
Quad 35 - 77 - 14
Quad 46 - 213 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 181   @ California Baptist L 84-88 42%     0 - 1 -2.0 +5.4 -7.2
  Nov 16, 2024 281   Presbyterian W 85-67 81%     1 - 1 +8.9 +7.9 +1.7
  Nov 20, 2024 209   Abilene Christian W 83-78 70%    
  Nov 24, 2024 42   Rutgers L 76-84 23%    
  Nov 28, 2024 57   UC Irvine L 75-84 20%    
  Nov 29, 2024 134   Towson L 73-75 44%    
  Nov 30, 2024 123   Kent St. L 77-80 40%    
  Dec 06, 2024 223   @ Georgia St. W 82-81 50%    
  Dec 18, 2024 99   @ Santa Clara L 81-89 23%    
  Dec 21, 2024 251   @ San Jose St. W 79-77 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 184   Jacksonville St. W 78-74 65%    
  Jan 09, 2025 165   @ Middle Tennessee L 78-81 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 122   @ Western Kentucky L 85-91 30%    
  Jan 16, 2025 115   Sam Houston St. L 83-84 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 87   Louisiana Tech L 77-80 38%    
  Jan 23, 2025 153   @ New Mexico St. L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 203   @ UTEP L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 81   Liberty L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 273   Florida International W 89-80 77%    
  Feb 06, 2025 122   Western Kentucky W 88-87 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 165   Middle Tennessee W 81-78 61%    
  Feb 13, 2025 87   @ Louisiana Tech L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 115   @ Sam Houston St. L 80-87 29%    
  Feb 20, 2025 203   UTEP W 83-78 67%    
  Feb 22, 2025 153   New Mexico St. W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 273   @ Florida International W 86-83 59%    
  Mar 02, 2025 81   @ Liberty L 70-80 19%    
  Mar 08, 2025 184   @ Jacksonville St. L 75-77 44%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.7 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.0 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 3.2 0.6 0.1 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.5 4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 3.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.4 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.3 5.5 8.2 10.0 11.5 12.0 11.7 10.5 8.9 6.6 4.4 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 97.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 83.1% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 53.8% 1.5    0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.5% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 58.1% 47.3% 10.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.5%
16-2 0.6% 36.3% 33.3% 3.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 4.4%
15-3 1.4% 26.2% 25.3% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.1 1.2%
14-4 2.8% 23.3% 23.2% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.1%
13-5 4.4% 16.5% 16.5% 12.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 3.6
12-6 6.6% 11.2% 11.2% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.9
11-7 8.9% 8.1% 8.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.2
10-8 10.5% 6.1% 6.1% 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.9
9-9 11.7% 4.5% 4.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.1
8-10 12.0% 2.6% 2.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.7
7-11 11.5% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.3
6-12 10.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.9
5-13 8.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.3% 5.2% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.5 94.7 0.1%