Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#275
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#289
Pace63.4#314
Improvement-2.1#281

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#235
First Shot-4.3#296
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#81
Layup/Dunks-2.8#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#211
Freethrows-1.4#273
Improvement-2.5#309

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#287
First Shot-3.4#285
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#228
Layups/Dunks-2.8#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement+0.3#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 1.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 11.8% 16.6% 4.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 14.6% 35.7%
First Four1.8% 2.0% 1.4%
First Round1.4% 1.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 61.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 47 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 226   @ Charlotte L 79-88 30%     0 - 1 -10.1 +16.1 -27.5
  Nov 08, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 8%     0 - 2 -0.2 +5.6 -6.1
  Nov 13, 2024 131   Wofford W 71-68 29%     1 - 2 +2.2 +2.9 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 182   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 22%     1 - 3 -16.3 -2.7 -14.3
  Nov 21, 2024 251   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 35%     2 - 3 +0.5 -14.9 +15.2
  Nov 22, 2024 207   Youngstown St. W 67-42 35%     3 - 3 +22.6 -1.5 +24.9
  Nov 23, 2024 268   Monmouth W 71-61 48%     4 - 3 +4.0 +3.3 +1.8
  Nov 27, 2024 317   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 50%     4 - 4 -21.4 +2.2 -24.2
  Dec 03, 2024 357   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 68%     4 - 5 -14.4 -15.9 +1.7
  Dec 15, 2024 153   @ Miami (FL) L 75-94 18%     4 - 6 -15.8 +5.5 -23.0
  Dec 21, 2024 296   Manhattan L 81-86 OT 65%     4 - 7 -15.3 -4.2 -10.8
  Dec 30, 2024 85   @ South Carolina L 59-69 8%     4 - 8 -0.6 +2.3 -4.6
  Jan 02, 2025 196   Longwood W 68-60 42%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +3.7 -2.1 +6.3
  Jan 04, 2025 243   @ Gardner-Webb L 61-63 33%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -3.8 -7.6 +3.6
  Jan 08, 2025 339   @ South Carolina Upstate L 67-77 60%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -18.9 -7.6 -11.7
  Jan 11, 2025 188   UNC Asheville L 87-96 40%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -12.8 +9.7 -22.7
  Jan 18, 2025 106   @ High Point L 66-77 12%     5 - 12 1 - 4 -4.8 -2.3 -3.5
  Jan 22, 2025 279   Charleston Southern W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 205   Radford L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 29, 2025 194   @ Winthrop L 73-80 23%    
  Feb 01, 2025 106   High Point L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 05, 2025 339   South Carolina Upstate W 79-71 78%    
  Feb 12, 2025 279   @ Charleston Southern L 69-71 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 196   @ Longwood L 67-74 23%    
  Feb 19, 2025 194   Winthrop L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 205   @ Radford L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 26, 2025 188   @ UNC Asheville L 71-79 23%    
  Mar 01, 2025 243   Gardner-Webb W 73-72 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.3 2.7 1.2 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.5 3.9 3.6 0.2 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.3 7.2 1.0 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 7.9 11.1 2.8 0.0 22.9 7th
8th 0.7 5.3 12.9 12.7 3.7 0.2 35.5 8th
9th 0.6 2.9 4.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 12.0 9th
Total 0.6 3.6 10.2 16.9 21.9 20.6 14.4 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 65.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.2% 0.2
10-6 0.9% 9.4% 9.4% 15.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
9-7 3.0% 6.3% 6.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 2.8
8-8 7.7% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.4
7-9 14.4% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 13.8
6-10 20.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.4 20.3
5-11 21.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 21.7
4-12 16.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 16.7
3-13 10.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.1
2-14 3.6% 3.6
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%