Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#258
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#185
Pace65.4#292
Improvement-0.7#268

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#211
First Shot-3.2#266
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#93
Layup/Dunks+1.4#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#235
Freethrows-1.7#262
Improvement-4.4#364

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#296
First Shot-3.5#289
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#193
Layups/Dunks-4.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#253
Freethrows+0.3#172
Improvement+3.6#2
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.4% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 26.9% 41.3% 19.5%
.500 or above in Conference 40.0% 48.7% 35.5%
Conference Champion 4.4% 6.4% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 12.2% 17.2%
First Four1.6% 1.3% 1.8%
First Round3.8% 5.6% 2.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Neutral) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 141   @ Charlotte L 79-88 18%     0 - 1 -4.5 +19.2 -25.0
  Nov 08, 2024 50   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 6%     0 - 2 +3.4 +7.8 -4.7
  Nov 13, 2024 200   Wofford W 71-68 50%     1 - 2 -2.0 +0.9 -2.6
  Nov 16, 2024 158   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 22%     1 - 3 -15.0 -4.9 -10.7
  Nov 21, 2024 202   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 28%     2 - 3 +3.9 -13.4 +17.1
  Nov 22, 2024 173   Youngstown St. L 69-73 34%    
  Nov 23, 2024 278   Monmouth W 73-72 54%    
  Nov 27, 2024 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 70-68 58%    
  Dec 03, 2024 357   @ Florida A&M W 73-67 71%    
  Dec 15, 2024 49   @ Miami (FL) L 66-84 5%    
  Dec 21, 2024 329   Manhattan W 75-68 75%    
  Dec 30, 2024 77   @ South Carolina L 63-79 8%    
  Jan 02, 2025 178   Longwood L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 218   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 08, 2025 317   @ South Carolina Upstate W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 176   UNC Asheville L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 124   @ High Point L 69-80 17%    
  Jan 22, 2025 311   Charleston Southern W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 234   Radford W 72-70 55%    
  Jan 29, 2025 193   @ Winthrop L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 124   High Point L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 05, 2025 317   South Carolina Upstate W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 12, 2025 311   @ Charleston Southern W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 178   @ Longwood L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 19, 2025 193   Winthrop L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 234   @ Radford L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 176   @ UNC Asheville L 69-76 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 218   Gardner-Webb W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.9 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.8 3.9 3.7 1.0 0.1 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.4 4.8 1.1 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.3 5.8 1.5 0.1 13.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.8 6.2 1.6 0.1 15.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 6.5 6.4 1.5 0.1 16.2 7th
8th 0.5 2.7 5.2 4.2 1.1 0.0 13.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.2 2.3 3.0 1.8 0.5 9.2 9th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.8 5.8 8.7 12.7 14.4 14.0 12.7 10.8 7.4 4.5 2.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 98.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 82.0% 0.9    0.6 0.3
12-4 55.7% 1.6    0.7 0.8 0.1
11-5 20.8% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 4.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 19.6% 19.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 35.6% 35.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.1% 27.9% 27.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
12-4 2.8% 17.4% 17.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.3
11-5 4.5% 12.0% 12.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.9
10-6 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 6.7
9-7 10.8% 6.5% 6.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.1
8-8 12.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 12.0
7-9 14.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.5 13.4
6-10 14.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 14.1
5-11 12.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.5
4-12 8.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.7
3-13 5.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.8
2-14 2.8% 2.8
1-15 1.2% 1.2
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.2 95.3 0.0%