South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#72
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#211
Pace68.3#213
Improvement+1.1#66

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#80
First Shot+1.0#141
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#54
Layup/Dunks+0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#197
Freethrows+1.6#106
Improvement+1.3#32

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#67
First Shot+3.3#87
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#128
Layups/Dunks+5.7#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#102
Freethrows-3.4#334
Improvement-0.3#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.0% 3.2% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 17.8% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.5% 17.4% 5.0%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 8.9
.500 or above 40.4% 42.1% 17.6%
.500 or above in Conference 21.0% 21.8% 10.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.3% 21.3% 34.0%
First Four2.7% 2.8% 1.2%
First Round15.6% 16.4% 4.6%
Second Round7.9% 8.3% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.5% 2.7% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 92.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 37 - 15
Quad 32 - 19 - 16
Quad 45 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 175   North Florida L 71-74 86%     0 - 1 -6.9 -6.6 -0.3
  Nov 08, 2024 321   South Carolina St. W 86-64 96%     1 - 1 +10.2 +6.6 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2024 134   Towson W 80-54 80%     2 - 1 +24.7 +9.0 +16.1
  Nov 16, 2024 22   @ Indiana L 71-87 20%     2 - 2 +0.8 +4.4 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 254   Mercer W 79-64 93%    
  Nov 25, 2024 36   Xavier L 73-77 36%    
  Dec 03, 2024 133   @ Boston College W 72-69 61%    
  Dec 07, 2024 145   East Carolina W 73-63 82%    
  Dec 14, 2024 314   South Carolina Upstate W 85-66 96%    
  Dec 17, 2024 49   Clemson W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 22, 2024 227   Radford W 78-64 90%    
  Dec 30, 2024 281   Presbyterian W 80-63 94%    
  Jan 04, 2025 29   @ Mississippi St. L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 08, 2025 9   Alabama L 76-82 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 3   Auburn L 71-80 22%    
  Jan 15, 2025 82   @ Vanderbilt L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 51   @ Oklahoma L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 22, 2025 21   Florida L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 29   Mississippi St. L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 28, 2025 55   @ Georgia L 70-74 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 23   Texas A&M L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 10   @ Kentucky L 72-84 15%    
  Feb 12, 2025 47   Mississippi W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 21   @ Florida L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 18, 2025 48   @ LSU L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 31   Texas L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 25, 2025 61   @ Missouri L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 27   Arkansas L 72-75 41%    
  Mar 04, 2025 55   Georgia W 73-71 55%    
  Mar 08, 2025 8   @ Tennessee L 65-78 14%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.7 1.5 0.1 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.3 3.1 0.3 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 4.3 1.1 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 2.8 0.2 0.0 9.2 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 4.4 4.0 0.7 10.1 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 4.1 4.9 1.5 0.1 11.5 14th
15th 0.2 1.3 4.1 5.0 2.1 0.2 12.9 15th
16th 0.7 2.6 4.4 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.6 16th
Total 0.7 2.8 5.8 9.1 11.9 13.2 13.1 12.1 10.3 8.0 5.8 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 76.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 3.6% 96.4% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 14.1% 85.9% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.0% 98.8% 5.8% 93.0% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
12-6 2.0% 96.9% 5.6% 91.3% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.8%
11-7 3.4% 89.8% 2.4% 87.4% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 89.6%
10-8 5.8% 72.0% 1.3% 70.6% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.6 71.6%
9-9 8.0% 45.4% 0.8% 44.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.1 4.4 44.9%
8-10 10.3% 17.4% 0.5% 17.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.1 8.5 17.0%
7-11 12.1% 3.8% 0.2% 3.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.7 3.7%
6-12 13.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.5%
5-13 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 13.2 0.0%
4-14 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 11.9
3-15 9.1% 9.1
2-16 5.8% 5.8
1-17 2.8% 2.8
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 16.9% 0.6% 16.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 83.1 16.5%