South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#82
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#95
Pace64.5#286
Improvement+0.0#179

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#124
First Shot-0.4#189
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#46
Layup/Dunks+0.1#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#299
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
Freethrows+1.7#78
Improvement-2.0#294

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#54
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#27
Layups/Dunks-1.4#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#45
Freethrows+1.4#88
Improvement+2.0#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 4.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 4.0% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.1 9.9 10.3
.500 or above 11.7% 27.8% 8.8%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 64.3% 42.4% 68.3%
First Four0.6% 1.8% 0.4%
First Round0.9% 3.1% 0.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 91 - 9
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 15
Quad 22 - 24 - 17
Quad 32 - 06 - 17
Quad 47 - 113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 245   North Florida L 71-74 90%     0 - 1 -10.4 -9.9 -0.5
  Nov 08, 2024 243   South Carolina St. W 86-64 90%     1 - 1 +14.8 +8.3 +6.0
  Nov 12, 2024 176   Towson W 80-54 83%     2 - 1 +22.6 +8.0 +15.0
  Nov 16, 2024 56   @ Indiana L 71-87 28%     2 - 2 -3.3 +3.5 -6.4
  Nov 21, 2024 233   Mercer W 84-72 89%     3 - 2 +5.2 +10.9 -5.4
  Nov 25, 2024 41   Xavier L 66-75 32%     3 - 3 +2.7 -1.2 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2024 137   Virginia Tech W 70-60 69%     4 - 3 +11.7 +4.8 +7.9
  Dec 03, 2024 195   @ Boston College W 73-51 71%     5 - 3 +23.2 +4.9 +19.7
  Dec 07, 2024 164   East Carolina W 75-68 81%     6 - 3 +4.4 +14.8 -9.2
  Dec 14, 2024 338   South Carolina Upstate W 73-53 96%     7 - 3 +5.8 -4.6 +11.0
  Dec 17, 2024 30   Clemson W 91-88 OT 36%     8 - 3 +13.4 +16.2 -3.1
  Dec 22, 2024 204   Radford W 74-48 86%     9 - 3 +21.1 +4.6 +19.0
  Dec 30, 2024 273   Presbyterian W 69-59 92%     10 - 3 +0.9 +2.5 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2025 23   @ Mississippi St. L 50-85 15%     10 - 4 0 - 1 -17.1 -14.4 -3.5
  Jan 08, 2025 7   Alabama L 68-88 18%     10 - 5 0 - 2 -3.3 -3.2 +0.8
  Jan 11, 2025 2   Auburn L 63-66 11%     10 - 6 0 - 3 +17.3 +6.9 +9.9
  Jan 15, 2025 48   @ Vanderbilt L 63-66 26%     10 - 7 0 - 4 +10.5 -4.3 +14.9
  Jan 18, 2025 45   @ Oklahoma L 62-82 25%     10 - 8 0 - 5 -6.0 -3.4 -3.4
  Jan 22, 2025 5   Florida L 67-78 15%    
  Jan 25, 2025 23   Mississippi St. L 67-73 31%    
  Jan 28, 2025 34   @ Georgia L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 21   Texas A&M L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 15   @ Kentucky L 71-84 11%    
  Feb 12, 2025 19   Mississippi L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 5   @ Florida L 65-81 6%    
  Feb 18, 2025 63   @ LSU L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 38   Texas L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 25, 2025 29   @ Missouri L 66-75 20%    
  Mar 01, 2025 46   Arkansas L 69-70 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 34   Georgia L 65-68 40%    
  Mar 08, 2025 8   @ Tennessee L 57-72 9%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 8th
9th 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 0.4 1.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 1.2 0.1 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 3.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 4.0 2.4 0.2 7.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.8 5.3 0.8 0.0 13.4 14th
15th 0.2 2.7 9.3 8.9 2.3 0.1 23.5 15th
16th 3.4 10.8 16.8 12.2 3.4 0.2 46.7 16th
Total 3.4 11.0 19.6 23.0 19.2 12.8 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-9 0.2% 95.2% 95.2% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2%
8-10 1.0% 44.7% 44.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 44.7%
7-11 3.0% 13.9% 13.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.5 13.9%
6-12 6.8% 1.0% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 1.0%
5-13 12.8% 12.8
4-14 19.2% 19.2
3-15 23.0% 23.0
2-16 19.6% 19.6
1-17 11.0% 11.0
0-18 3.4% 3.4
Total 100% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2% 10.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 98.8 1.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%