Oklahoma
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#50
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#38
Pace69.3#139
Improvement-3.4#314

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#41
First Shot+5.7#47
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#137
Layup/Dunks+3.1#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#155
Freethrows+3.7#22
Improvement-3.8#333

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#64
First Shot+4.2#62
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#147
Layups/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#126
Freethrows+3.1#18
Improvement+0.4#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.9% 50.5% 23.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.9% 50.4% 23.1%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 10.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.2% 2.9%
First Four17.5% 21.5% 13.9%
First Round27.1% 39.5% 16.2%
Second Round10.4% 15.2% 6.1%
Sweet Sixteen2.5% 3.8% 1.4%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Home) - 46.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 94 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 36 - 12
Quad 22 - 19 - 13
Quad 33 - 111 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 335   Lindenwood W 93-60 98%     1 - 0 +19.5 +11.9 +6.0
  Nov 11, 2024 272   Northwestern St. W 73-57 96%     2 - 0 +7.2 -0.8 +8.4
  Nov 16, 2024 349   Stetson W 85-64 98%     3 - 0 +5.6 +2.3 +3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 339   Texas A&M - Commerce W 84-56 98%     4 - 0 +14.0 +6.8 +7.5
  Nov 27, 2024 79   Providence W 79-77 64%     5 - 0 +9.3 +8.4 +0.8
  Nov 28, 2024 8   Arizona W 82-77 23%     6 - 0 +23.7 +20.0 +3.8
  Nov 29, 2024 21   Louisville W 69-64 32%     7 - 0 +20.8 +11.3 +10.1
  Dec 03, 2024 99   Georgia Tech W 76-61 79%     8 - 0 +17.3 +11.7 +6.9
  Dec 07, 2024 307   Alcorn St. W 94-78 97%     9 - 0 +5.0 +13.9 -9.4
  Dec 14, 2024 92   Oklahoma St. W 80-65 70%     10 - 0 +20.6 +9.7 +10.6
  Dec 18, 2024 22   Michigan W 87-86 32%     11 - 0 +16.6 +21.8 -5.2
  Dec 22, 2024 344   Central Arkansas W 89-66 98%     12 - 0 +8.2 +5.6 +1.7
  Dec 29, 2024 356   Prairie View W 89-67 99%     13 - 0 +5.7 +12.7 -5.9
  Jan 04, 2025 6   @ Alabama L 79-107 15%     13 - 1 0 - 1 -6.0 +5.5 -8.8
  Jan 08, 2025 20   Texas A&M L 78-80 40%     13 - 2 0 - 2 +11.5 +21.7 -10.4
  Jan 11, 2025 44   @ Georgia L 62-72 38%     13 - 3 0 - 3 +4.2 -1.1 +5.0
  Jan 15, 2025 36   Texas L 73-77 53%     13 - 4 0 - 4 +6.2 +0.5 +5.9
  Jan 18, 2025 84   South Carolina W 82-62 74%     14 - 4 1 - 4 +24.2 +15.8 +9.1
  Jan 25, 2025 35   @ Arkansas W 65-62 33%     15 - 4 2 - 4 +18.3 +7.6 +11.0
  Jan 28, 2025 20   @ Texas A&M L 68-75 23%     15 - 5 2 - 5 +11.5 +12.9 -2.0
  Feb 01, 2025 53   Vanderbilt W 97-67 61%     16 - 5 3 - 5 +38.1 +20.6 +15.7
  Feb 04, 2025 1   @ Auburn L 70-98 9%     16 - 6 3 - 6 -1.9 +4.3 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2025 5   Tennessee L 52-70 27%     16 - 7 3 - 7 -0.6 -4.9 +2.8
  Feb 12, 2025 15   @ Missouri L 58-82 19%     16 - 8 3 - 8 -3.8 -11.0 +8.5
  Feb 15, 2025 72   LSU L 79-82 70%     16 - 9 3 - 9 +2.3 +6.3 -3.9
  Feb 18, 2025 4   @ Florida L 63-85 10%     16 - 10 3 - 10 +2.8 +2.1 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2025 28   Mississippi St. L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 17   Kentucky L 81-84 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 25   @ Mississippi L 70-77 25%    
  Mar 05, 2025 15   Missouri L 76-80 36%    
  Mar 08, 2025 36   @ Texas L 73-77 33%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 0.4 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 0.2 2.2 10th
11th 0.1 2.9 2.9 0.1 5.9 11th
12th 0.1 2.9 8.8 1.4 13.1 12th
13th 2.2 14.7 6.4 0.2 23.5 13th
14th 4.3 20.5 14.3 0.7 39.8 14th
15th 7.2 6.7 0.9 0.0 14.9 15th
16th 0.1 0.0 0.1 16th
Total 11.6 29.5 32.9 18.9 6.3 0.8 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.8% 100.0% 100.0% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
7-11 6.3% 95.2% 95.2% 9.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 1.7 0.4 0.3 95.2%
6-12 18.9% 77.8% 0.1% 77.7% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.9 6.0 0.0 4.2 77.8%
5-13 32.9% 39.5% 0.2% 39.3% 10.9 0.1 0.4 1.7 9.5 1.4 19.9 39.4%
4-14 29.5% 4.8% 4.8% 11.3 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 28.1 4.8%
3-15 11.6% 11.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 35.9% 0.1% 35.8% 10.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.9 5.1 9.4 16.9 1.8 0.0 64.1 35.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.6%