Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#41
Expected Predictive Rating+13.4#43
Pace68.8#204
Improvement+1.4#79

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#19
First Shot+4.8#56
After Offensive Rebound+4.6#14
Layup/Dunks+4.6#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#135
Freethrows-0.8#225
Improvement-0.5#221

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#100
First Shot+1.0#138
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#97
Layups/Dunks+0.3#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#256
Freethrows+1.4#103
Improvement+1.9#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 4.3% 5.4% 2.0%
Top 6 Seed 15.2% 18.0% 9.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.4% 59.5% 41.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 52.5% 58.5% 40.2%
Average Seed 7.7 7.6 8.1
.500 or above 82.2% 88.1% 70.0%
.500 or above in Conference 43.5% 47.0% 36.1%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.4% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 5.4% 9.1%
First Four6.5% 6.7% 6.0%
First Round50.2% 56.1% 37.9%
Second Round28.3% 32.2% 20.2%
Sweet Sixteen8.8% 10.2% 5.7%
Elite Eight2.9% 3.5% 1.8%
Final Four0.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Arizona St. (Neutral) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 45 - 11
Quad 25 - 311 - 13
Quad 31 - 012 - 14
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 356 St. Francis (PA) W 102-66 99%     1 - 0 +19.2 +17.2 -0.1
  Sat, Nov 8 4 @Gonzaga L 68-83 12%     1 - 1 +9.6 +3.6 +6.8
  Tue, Nov 11 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95-69 99%     2 - 1 +8.9 +15.5 -6.6
  Sat, Nov 15 49 Nebraska L 99-105 54%     2 - 2 +4.9 +28.7 -23.7
  Thu, Nov 20 311 Oral Roberts W 95-71 97%     3 - 2 +12.6 +14.2 -1.8
  Sun, Nov 23 333 Alcorn St. W 72-53 98%     4 - 2 +5.5 -5.3 +11.2
  Fri, Nov 28 83 Marquette W 75-74 68%     5 - 2 +7.9 +14.4 -6.4
  Tue, Dec 2 53 @Wake Forest W 86-68 45%     6 - 2 +31.0 +17.6 +12.8
  Sat, Dec 6 82 Arizona St. W 82-77 67%    
  Sat, Dec 13 47 Oklahoma St. W 86-85 52%    
  Tue, Dec 16 339 UMKC W 89-63 99%    
  Mon, Dec 22 348 Stetson W 90-63 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 94-57 100.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 58 Mississippi W 78-73 69%    
  Wed, Jan 7 81 @Mississippi St. W 79-77 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 38 @Texas A&M L 79-82 39%    
  Tue, Jan 13 15 Florida L 78-81 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 11 Alabama L 86-90 36%    
  Tue, Jan 20 89 @South Carolina W 77-74 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 37 @Missouri L 77-81 36%    
  Tue, Jan 27 22 Arkansas L 79-80 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 50 Texas W 81-77 64%    
  Wed, Feb 4 23 @Kentucky L 76-82 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 12 @Vanderbilt L 77-87 19%    
  Sat, Feb 14 19 Georgia L 86-87 47%    
  Wed, Feb 18 16 @Tennessee L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 38 Texas A&M W 82-79 60%    
  Tue, Feb 24 20 Auburn L 79-80 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 29 @LSU L 76-81 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 37 Missouri W 80-78 57%    
  Sat, Mar 7 50 @Texas L 78-80 44%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.0 0.2 4.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.2 0.7 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.7 1.6 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.3 3.4 3.5 0.3 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 4.5 1.1 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.0 0.2 8.2 9th
10th 0.1 3.0 4.8 0.8 8.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.7 2.0 0.1 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 4.0 3.8 0.4 0.0 8.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.0 1.0 0.0 8.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 1.5 0.1 7.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.1 1.3 0.2 5.5 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.4 16th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.2 8.4 11.2 13.4 13.6 13.1 10.9 8.2 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 80.4% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.9% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 13.2% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 19.5% 80.5% 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 14.4% 85.6% 3.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.5% 100.0% 12.1% 87.9% 4.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.2% 100.0% 9.2% 90.8% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 100.0%
12-6 5.5% 99.9% 7.1% 92.9% 5.8 0.2 0.6 1.5 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 8.2% 99.3% 3.5% 95.7% 6.7 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 99.2%
10-8 10.9% 95.3% 2.0% 93.4% 7.6 0.0 0.5 1.3 3.0 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.5 95.2%
9-9 13.1% 87.2% 1.7% 85.5% 8.6 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.1 3.3 2.3 0.6 1.7 87.0%
8-10 13.6% 59.4% 0.7% 58.7% 9.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 2.7 2.5 0.1 5.5 59.1%
7-11 13.4% 26.0% 0.6% 25.4% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 9.9 25.6%
6-12 11.2% 5.3% 0.2% 5.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.6 5.1%
5-13 8.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.2%
4-14 5.2% 5.2
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 53.4% 2.0% 51.5% 7.7 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 4.6 6.3 8.7 9.3 7.7 6.9 5.5 0.3 0.0 46.6 52.5%