Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#334
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#291
Pace72.3#114
Improvement+1.1#110

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#328
First Shot-0.6#193
After Offensive Rebound-5.4#361
Layup/Dunks-0.5#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#199
Freethrows-2.9#328
Improvement+0.4#148

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#325
First Shot+0.2#165
After Offensive Rebounds-4.7#357
Layups/Dunks-1.5#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#156
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement+0.7#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 9.6% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.9% 13.9% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 52.2% 72.1% 52.0%
Conference Champion 5.2% 10.6% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.0% 2.1%
First Four2.5% 7.2% 2.4%
First Round1.3% 5.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 41 - 12
Quad 49 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 101 @Florida St. L 76-108 5%     0 - 1 -24.1 +2.1 -23.7
  Thu, Nov 6 166 @South Alabama L 70-76 12%     0 - 2 -3.8 -3.9 +0.3
  Sat, Nov 8 102 @Minnesota L 50-95 5%     0 - 3 -37.1 -18.8 -18.4
  Tue, Nov 11 93 @Maryland L 64-84 5%     0 - 4 -11.4 -5.3 -5.5
  Thu, Nov 13 313 @Howard L 64-72 31%     0 - 5 -13.5 -7.6 -6.3
  Tue, Nov 18 31 @LSU L 81-107 1%     0 - 6 -9.4 +12.9 -21.3
  Sun, Nov 23 53 @Oklahoma L 53-72 2%     0 - 7 -5.8 -15.1 +8.9
  Fri, Nov 28 198 Indiana St. W 81-74 22%     1 - 7 +4.6 -0.7 +4.4
  Sat, Nov 29 193 @Louisiana Tech L 58-83 14%     1 - 8 -24.1 -5.3 -21.4
  Wed, Dec 3 2 @Iowa St. L 68-132 0.3%    1 - 9 -38.2 -0.6 -29.3
  Fri, Dec 19 34 @Baylor L 66-92 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 57 @Mississippi L 61-84 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 199 Southern L 74-79 33%    
  Sat, Jan 3 312 @Jackson St. L 70-75 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 272 @Alabama A&M L 67-75 24%    
  Mon, Jan 12 276 @Alabama St. L 72-79 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 305 Texas Southern W 76-75 53%    
  Mon, Jan 19 322 Prairie View W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 343 @Florida A&M L 74-76 43%    
  Mon, Jan 26 220 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 199 Southern L 74-79 32%    
  Mon, Feb 2 284 Grambling St. L 70-71 47%    
  Sat, Feb 7 353 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 76-77 48%    
  Mon, Feb 9 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-68 78%    
  Sat, Feb 14 220 Bethune-Cookman L 72-76 37%    
  Mon, Feb 16 343 Florida A&M W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 312 Jackson St. W 73-72 54%    
  Thu, Feb 26 305 @Texas Southern L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 322 @Prairie View L 74-78 35%    
  Tue, Mar 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-65 90%    
  Thu, Mar 5 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-74 68%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.8 2.9 0.8 0.1 8.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.8 0.8 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.1 1.3 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 6.0 2.0 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.8 3.1 0.3 11.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.9 0.5 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.0 0.8 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 3.1 3.1 1.0 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 1.8 0.6 0.0 6.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.3 9.4 12.6 13.5 13.8 12.5 10.1 6.9 4.6 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.7% 0.1    0.1
16-2 96.9% 0.5    0.5 0.1
15-3 84.3% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 61.7% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1
13-5 31.5% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.4% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 10.0% 10.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 20.5% 20.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.2% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.1
14-4 2.4% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.2 2.2
13-5 4.6% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.4 4.2
12-6 6.9% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.4 6.5
11-7 10.1% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.5 9.6
10-8 12.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 12.1
9-9 13.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 13.5
8-10 13.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.4
7-11 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.5
6-12 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.4
5-13 6.3% 6.3
4-14 3.7% 3.7
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6 97.4 0.0%