Georgia
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#44
Expected Predictive Rating+12.5#43
Pace66.8#216
Improvement-0.4#208

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#73
First Shot+2.5#107
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#55
Layup/Dunks+5.9#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#233
Freethrows+1.6#82
Improvement-0.5#207

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#32
First Shot+5.1#45
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#47
Layups/Dunks+3.3#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#129
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement+0.1#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 3.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.0% 59.3% 23.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.9% 59.2% 23.1%
Average Seed 10.3 9.6 10.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 6.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four14.8% 22.9% 14.1%
First Round19.1% 47.9% 16.6%
Second Round7.8% 21.7% 6.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 7.0% 1.9%
Elite Eight0.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 102 - 10
Quad 1b1 - 33 - 13
Quad 24 - 17 - 14
Quad 33 - 011 - 14
Quad 48 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 308   Tennessee Tech W 83-78 97%     1 - 0 -6.0 +2.1 -8.2
  Nov 10, 2024 296   Texas Southern W 92-64 97%     2 - 0 +17.9 +15.3 +1.8
  Nov 12, 2024 266   North Florida W 90-77 96%     3 - 0 +4.9 +11.0 -5.8
  Nov 15, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech W 77-69 66%     4 - 0 +15.4 +4.0 +10.9
  Nov 19, 2024 359   Alabama A&M W 93-45 99%     5 - 0 +30.8 +11.4 +18.4
  Nov 23, 2024 29   Marquette L 69-80 38%     5 - 1 +3.7 +3.6 +0.1
  Nov 24, 2024 14   St. John's W 66-63 27%     6 - 1 +20.9 +8.4 +12.6
  Nov 30, 2024 193   Jacksonville W 102-56 92%     7 - 1 +41.6 +29.4 +12.1
  Dec 03, 2024 95   Notre Dame W 69-48 80%     8 - 1 +23.6 +9.3 +18.3
  Dec 14, 2024 89   Grand Canyon W 73-68 71%     9 - 1 +10.8 +4.3 +6.5
  Dec 19, 2024 352   Buffalo W 100-49 99%     10 - 1 +35.3 +22.1 +13.7
  Dec 22, 2024 285   Charleston Southern W 81-65 96%     11 - 1 +6.5 +7.9 -0.7
  Dec 29, 2024 210   South Carolina St. W 79-72 93%     12 - 1 +1.9 +2.6 -1.0
  Jan 04, 2025 25   @ Mississippi L 51-63 29%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +5.4 -8.2 +12.6
  Jan 07, 2025 17   Kentucky W 82-69 39%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +27.4 +6.5 +20.1
  Jan 11, 2025 50   Oklahoma W 72-62 62%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +18.3 +4.1 +14.5
  Jan 15, 2025 5   @ Tennessee L 56-74 16%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +4.5 +1.8 +1.2
  Jan 18, 2025 1   Auburn L 68-70 19%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +19.0 +6.9 +12.0
  Jan 22, 2025 35   @ Arkansas L 65-68 36%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +12.3 +6.6 +5.5
  Jan 25, 2025 4   @ Florida L 59-89 11%     14 - 6 2 - 5 -5.2 -1.3 -4.7
  Jan 28, 2025 84   South Carolina W 71-60 76%     15 - 6 3 - 5 +15.2 +8.0 +8.1
  Feb 01, 2025 6   @ Alabama L 69-90 16%     15 - 7 3 - 6 +1.0 -3.9 +7.1
  Feb 05, 2025 72   LSU W 81-62 73%     16 - 7 4 - 6 +24.3 +14.6 +10.4
  Feb 08, 2025 28   Mississippi St. L 75-76 48%     16 - 8 4 - 7 +11.2 +12.4 -1.3
  Feb 11, 2025 20   @ Texas A&M L 53-69 25%     16 - 9 4 - 8 +2.5 -2.6 +3.4
  Feb 15, 2025 15   Missouri L 74-87 37%     16 - 10 4 - 9 +2.1 +14.2 -13.6
  Feb 22, 2025 1   @ Auburn L 67-81 8%    
  Feb 25, 2025 4   Florida L 70-78 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 36   @ Texas L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 04, 2025 84   @ South Carolina W 68-66 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 53   Vanderbilt W 76-72 65%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 0.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 0.2 1.4 9th
10th 0.4 7.0 3.2 0.1 10.6 10th
11th 0.1 7.2 10.7 0.6 18.6 11th
12th 0.1 5.0 19.0 3.5 27.6 12th
13th 2.5 16.7 9.6 0.2 29.0 13th
14th 4.0 6.4 0.5 10.9 14th
15th 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.6 15th
16th 16th
Total 7.8 28.5 36.7 21.4 5.1 0.5 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.5% 96.1% 96.1% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.1%
8-10 5.1% 91.4% 0.4% 91.1% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.4 91.4%
7-11 21.4% 56.3% 0.2% 56.1% 10.5 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.2 6.9 0.4 9.3 56.2%
6-12 36.7% 21.0% 0.1% 20.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 5.4 1.0 29.0 20.9%
5-13 28.5% 3.9% 0.0% 3.8% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 27.4 3.8%
4-14 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 7.7
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 26.0% 0.1% 25.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.7 5.8 13.6 1.8 74.0 25.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.7%