Georgia
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#55
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#32
Pace71.0#123
Improvement+2.4#11

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#57
First Shot+0.0#179
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#14
Layup/Dunks+4.1#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#304
Freethrows+3.3#46
Improvement+0.1#163

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+1.3#135
After Offensive Rebounds+3.1#32
Layups/Dunks+1.3#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#109
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement+2.3#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 3.4% 6.6% 2.1%
Top 6 Seed 9.9% 17.1% 6.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.0% 50.8% 29.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.4% 50.0% 29.2%
Average Seed 8.0 7.6 8.3
.500 or above 74.1% 87.5% 68.3%
.500 or above in Conference 28.5% 36.3% 25.2%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 9.1% 14.3%
First Four5.6% 6.3% 5.2%
First Round33.0% 47.5% 26.9%
Second Round17.5% 26.5% 13.6%
Sweet Sixteen5.9% 9.5% 4.3%
Elite Eight2.1% 3.3% 1.5%
Final Four0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Marquette (Neutral) - 29.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 11
Quad 24 - 28 - 13
Quad 33 - 111 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 332   Tennessee Tech W 83-78 97%     1 - 0 -8.4 +1.3 -9.9
  Nov 10, 2024 266   Texas Southern W 92-64 94%     2 - 0 +19.7 +13.4 +5.5
  Nov 12, 2024 175   North Florida W 90-77 89%     3 - 0 +9.1 +13.3 -3.9
  Nov 15, 2024 106   @ Georgia Tech W 77-69 58%     4 - 0 +15.3 +2.4 +12.3
  Nov 19, 2024 346   Alabama A&M W 93-45 98%     5 - 0 +32.6 +13.2 +18.3
  Nov 23, 2024 15   Marquette L 72-77 30%    
  Nov 24, 2024 16   St. John's L 73-78 31%    
  Nov 30, 2024 226   Jacksonville W 77-62 93%    
  Dec 03, 2024 56   Notre Dame W 72-69 61%    
  Dec 14, 2024 89   Grand Canyon W 76-73 62%    
  Dec 19, 2024 330   Buffalo W 87-65 98%    
  Dec 22, 2024 312   Charleston Southern W 84-63 97%    
  Dec 29, 2024 321   South Carolina St. W 84-63 97%    
  Jan 04, 2025 47   @ Mississippi L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 07, 2025 10   Kentucky L 78-83 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 51   Oklahoma W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 15, 2025 8   @ Tennessee L 68-79 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 3   Auburn L 74-81 26%    
  Jan 22, 2025 27   @ Arkansas L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 21   @ Florida L 76-84 24%    
  Jan 28, 2025 72   South Carolina W 74-70 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 9   @ Alabama L 76-87 17%    
  Feb 05, 2025 48   LSU W 77-74 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 29   Mississippi St. L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 11, 2025 23   @ Texas A&M L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 61   Missouri W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 3   @ Auburn L 71-84 13%    
  Feb 25, 2025 21   Florida L 79-81 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 31   @ Texas L 70-77 28%    
  Mar 04, 2025 72   @ South Carolina L 71-73 45%    
  Mar 08, 2025 82   Vanderbilt W 80-75 68%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.2 3.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.1 2.2 3.6 0.8 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.5 1.9 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 2.5 5.2 1.5 0.0 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.0 3.0 0.2 9.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 4.1 4.3 0.7 0.0 10.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.5 1.4 0.1 9.8 14th
15th 0.1 0.7 2.6 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.1 15th
16th 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.0 16th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.8 8.9 12.1 13.9 14.0 12.7 10.1 7.8 5.0 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 88.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 73.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 26.7% 73.3% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 13.2% 86.8% 3.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.6% 99.8% 5.9% 93.9% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 3.0% 99.5% 5.3% 94.3% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
11-7 5.0% 98.3% 3.2% 95.0% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.2%
10-8 7.8% 92.5% 2.0% 90.5% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.6 92.3%
9-9 10.1% 80.3% 1.0% 79.3% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.1 0.0 2.0 80.1%
8-10 12.7% 50.3% 0.5% 49.9% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 6.3 50.1%
7-11 14.0% 21.0% 0.2% 20.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 0.3 11.1 20.8%
6-12 13.9% 5.4% 0.1% 5.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 13.2 5.3%
5-13 12.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.0 0.8%
4-14 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 8.9 0.0%
3-15 5.8% 5.8
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 36.0% 0.9% 35.1% 8.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.9 3.5 4.5 5.0 5.2 5.1 5.5 0.8 0.0 64.0 35.4%