Preseason Rankings
Georgia
Southeastern
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#51
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.7#215
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#54
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#49
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.9% 5.0% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 11.7% 11.9% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.3% 34.7% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.5% 33.9% 7.6%
Average Seed 7.4 7.4 8.3
.500 or above 62.9% 63.6% 20.8%
.500 or above in Conference 30.0% 30.3% 9.2%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 16.9% 16.5% 39.0%
First Four4.7% 4.7% 1.6%
First Round32.0% 32.3% 7.3%
Second Round19.3% 19.6% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen7.0% 7.1% 1.6%
Elite Eight2.5% 2.5% 0.8%
Final Four0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 98.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 32 - 010 - 14
Quad 47 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 320   Bellarmine W 83-60 98%    
  Nov 05, 2025 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 82-53 99.7%   
  Nov 09, 2025 293   Morehead St. W 76-55 97%    
  Nov 14, 2025 83   Georgia Tech W 75-68 74%    
  Nov 21, 2025 50   Xavier L 72-73 49%    
  Nov 29, 2025 328   Tennessee Tech W 83-59 98%    
  Dec 02, 2025 78   @ Florida St. W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 13, 2025 45   Cincinnati L 66-67 46%    
  Dec 18, 2025 273   Western Carolina W 83-63 95%    
  Dec 22, 2025 345   West Georgia W 84-59 98%    
  Dec 29, 2025 300   LIU Brooklyn W 76-55 97%    
  Jan 03, 2026 22   Auburn L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 06, 2026 5   @ Florida L 68-81 13%    
  Jan 10, 2026 70   @ South Carolina L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 14, 2026 30   Mississippi L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 17, 2026 17   Arkansas L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 20, 2026 37   @ Missouri L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 24, 2026 36   @ Texas L 68-74 32%    
  Jan 27, 2026 16   Tennessee L 63-67 38%    
  Jan 31, 2026 35   Texas A&M W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 07, 2026 52   @ LSU L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 11, 2026 5   Florida L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 14, 2026 47   @ Oklahoma L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 17, 2026 7   @ Kentucky L 69-81 16%    
  Feb 21, 2026 36   Texas W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 25, 2026 41   @ Vanderbilt L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 28, 2026 70   South Carolina W 70-65 66%    
  Mar 03, 2026 18   Alabama L 79-82 40%    
  Mar 07, 2026 33   @ Mississippi St. L 69-75 31%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.3 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.2 0.1 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.1 0.3 5.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 5.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.8 1.7 0.1 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 4.1 1.2 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.5 0.6 0.0 9.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.7 14th
15th 0.2 1.2 3.5 3.9 1.6 0.1 10.6 15th
16th 0.7 2.2 3.4 2.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.4 16th
Total 0.7 2.4 4.6 7.3 9.5 11.7 12.0 11.4 10.4 9.0 7.1 5.6 3.6 2.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 91.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 71.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 33.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 59.7% 40.3% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 19.4% 80.6% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 23.7% 76.3% 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.3% 100.0% 13.3% 86.7% 3.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.3% 99.8% 11.1% 88.7% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 3.6% 99.4% 5.4% 94.0% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
11-7 5.6% 96.7% 3.6% 93.1% 6.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 96.6%
10-8 7.1% 90.3% 1.7% 88.7% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.7 90.2%
9-9 9.0% 76.3% 0.6% 75.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.8 1.5 0.5 2.1 76.2%
8-10 10.4% 45.3% 0.4% 44.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.0 5.7 45.1%
7-11 11.4% 18.3% 0.1% 18.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.0 9.3 18.2%
6-12 12.0% 4.2% 0.1% 4.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.5 4.1%
5-13 11.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6 0.5%
4-14 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 9.5
3-15 7.3% 7.3
2-16 4.6% 4.6
1-17 2.4% 2.4
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 34.3% 1.3% 33.0% 7.4 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.0 3.1 3.7 4.6 5.0 5.0 5.1 2.9 0.1 65.7 33.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0