Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.7#23
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#43
Pace65.7#282
Improvement+1.9#25

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#26
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#16
Layup/Dunks+2.8#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows+0.8#151
Improvement+2.0#8

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#30
First Shot+3.3#86
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#36
Layups/Dunks+3.6#75
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+0.0#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
#1 Seed 3.5% 3.6% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 9.4% 9.5% 1.7%
Top 4 Seed 26.3% 26.6% 6.9%
Top 6 Seed 44.4% 44.9% 17.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.5% 75.0% 46.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 73.0% 73.5% 45.4%
Average Seed 5.9 5.9 7.5
.500 or above 83.7% 84.2% 54.4%
.500 or above in Conference 68.1% 68.5% 44.4%
Conference Champion 7.5% 7.6% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.7% 6.4%
First Four5.9% 5.9% 6.6%
First Round71.8% 72.3% 42.0%
Second Round50.8% 51.3% 23.6%
Sweet Sixteen25.5% 25.8% 10.5%
Elite Eight11.6% 11.7% 3.6%
Final Four5.1% 5.1% 2.0%
Championship Game2.2% 2.2% 1.0%
National Champion0.9% 0.9% 0.3%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 98.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 10
Quad 25 - 213 - 12
Quad 32 - 015 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 61-64 60%     0 - 1 +8.0 -2.7 +10.5
  Nov 08, 2024 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 87-55 99%     1 - 1 +16.0 +11.2 +6.0
  Nov 11, 2024 290   Lamar W 97-71 97%     2 - 1 +16.2 +15.3 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2024 20   Ohio St. W 78-64 60%     3 - 1 +25.0 +14.3 +11.3
  Nov 20, 2024 275   Southern W 81-58 98%    
  Nov 26, 2024 40   Oregon W 71-69 59%    
  Nov 27, 2024 17   Creighton L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 03, 2024 73   Wake Forest W 76-67 79%    
  Dec 08, 2024 14   Texas Tech L 70-71 45%    
  Dec 14, 2024 19   Purdue L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 20, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 89-58 99.7%   
  Dec 28, 2024 209   Abilene Christian W 79-60 96%    
  Jan 04, 2025 31   Texas W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 08, 2025 51   @ Oklahoma W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 9   Alabama L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 14, 2025 10   @ Kentucky L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 18, 2025 48   LSU W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 22, 2025 47   @ Mississippi W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 31   @ Texas L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 28, 2025 51   Oklahoma W 73-66 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 72   @ South Carolina W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 61   @ Missouri W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 11, 2025 55   Georgia W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 27   Arkansas W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 18, 2025 29   @ Mississippi St. L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 8   Tennessee L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 82   Vanderbilt W 79-69 80%    
  Mar 01, 2025 21   @ Florida L 76-79 38%    
  Mar 04, 2025 3   Auburn L 73-76 40%    
  Mar 08, 2025 48   @ LSU W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 7.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 3.6 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.0 1.1 0.1 9.3 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 4.5 1.6 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.7 3.6 0.5 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 4.4 1.1 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.2 0.1 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 3.2 1.1 0.0 5.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.7 0.2 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.7 0.0 3.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.7 5.9 8.3 10.2 12.4 12.6 12.3 10.7 8.4 5.8 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.6% 0.6    0.5 0.0 0.0
16-2 90.9% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
15-3 67.5% 2.4    1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 33.1% 1.9    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.5% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 3.9 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 34.4% 65.6% 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 100.0% 27.6% 72.4% 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.6% 100.0% 22.6% 77.4% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.6% 100.0% 21.3% 78.7% 2.2 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 5.8% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 2.8 0.7 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 8.4% 99.9% 12.8% 87.2% 3.7 0.4 1.2 2.5 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 10.7% 99.8% 8.4% 91.4% 4.7 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.7 2.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
11-7 12.3% 99.3% 4.6% 94.8% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.7 2.7 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3%
10-8 12.6% 96.1% 2.7% 93.4% 7.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.4 2.4 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.5 95.9%
9-9 12.4% 85.7% 1.5% 84.2% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.5 0.2 1.8 85.5%
8-10 10.2% 58.7% 1.1% 57.6% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.2 58.3%
7-11 8.3% 27.7% 0.5% 27.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 6.0 27.3%
6-12 5.9% 7.8% 0.2% 7.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.4 7.6%
5-13 3.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 3.7 0.9%
4-14 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 2.1 0.1%
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 74.5% 5.5% 69.0% 5.9 3.5 5.9 8.0 8.9 9.1 9.1 7.7 6.1 5.4 4.5 5.4 1.1 0.0 25.5 73.0%