Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#39
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#72
Pace74.7#55
Improvement+3.8#11

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#41
First Shot+8.3#17
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks+0.8#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#34
Freethrows+4.2#14
Improvement+3.3#11

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#55
First Shot+2.3#99
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#61
Layups/Dunks+2.8#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#325
Freethrows+2.9#33
Improvement+0.5#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.9% 4.5% 1.2%
Top 6 Seed 10.7% 15.0% 6.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.9% 56.6% 37.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.8% 55.4% 36.5%
Average Seed 8.0 7.8 8.4
.500 or above 87.8% 94.1% 81.6%
.500 or above in Conference 46.7% 52.2% 41.3%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.8% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 3.8% 6.5%
First Four6.1% 6.2% 6.0%
First Round44.0% 53.5% 34.6%
Second Round25.0% 31.4% 18.6%
Sweet Sixteen7.5% 9.9% 5.2%
Elite Eight2.6% 3.3% 1.8%
Final Four0.8% 1.1% 0.6%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Neutral) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 25 - 39 - 13
Quad 33 - 112 - 13
Quad 48 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 302 Northwestern St. W 98-68 97%     1 - 0 +19.2 +11.2 +5.9
  Thu, Nov 6 305 Texas Southern W 104-70 97%     2 - 0 +22.9 +17.2 +2.5
  Sun, Nov 9 44 @Oklahoma St. L 63-87 42%     2 - 1 -9.9 -6.7 -2.2
  Fri, Nov 14 62 Central Florida L 74-86 73%     2 - 2 -6.2 -2.9 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 18 206 Montana W 86-81 94%     3 - 2 -0.7 +8.9 -9.6
  Fri, Nov 21 308 Manhattan W 109-68 97%     4 - 2 +29.8 +20.5 +6.8
  Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120-84 99.7%    5 - 2 +10.9 +14.2 -10.1
  Fri, Nov 28 101 Florida St. W 95-59 75%     6 - 2 +40.9 +18.6 +19.7
  Tue, Dec 2 95 @Pittsburgh W 81-73 64%     7 - 2 +16.3 +18.5 -1.5
  Sun, Dec 7 40 SMU W 82-81 50%    
  Sun, Dec 14 291 Jacksonville W 85-63 98%    
  Sun, Dec 21 300 East Texas A&M W 86-63 98%    
  Mon, Dec 29 322 Prairie View W 91-67 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 31 LSU W 80-79 56%    
  Tue, Jan 6 26 @Auburn L 78-83 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 53 Oklahoma W 84-79 67%    
  Tue, Jan 13 17 @Tennessee L 73-80 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 46 @Texas L 79-81 43%    
  Wed, Jan 21 78 Mississippi St. W 83-75 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 87 South Carolina W 80-71 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 19 @Georgia L 84-91 28%    
  Tue, Feb 3 10 @Alabama L 85-95 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 14 Florida L 79-82 39%    
  Wed, Feb 11 37 Missouri W 82-80 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 11 @Vanderbilt L 78-88 19%    
  Wed, Feb 18 57 Mississippi W 78-73 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 53 @Oklahoma L 81-82 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 20 @Arkansas L 78-84 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 46 Texas W 82-78 64%    
  Tue, Mar 3 21 Kentucky L 80-81 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 31 @LSU L 77-82 34%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 3.3 0.6 0.0 6.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.3 3.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.1 1.2 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.9 0.8 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 4.8 2.1 0.1 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.8 0.3 0.0 8.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 1.4 0.1 6.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.2 0.2 4.6 15th
16th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4 16th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.4 7.4 10.7 13.3 14.4 13.9 12.1 9.1 5.6 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 80.0% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 44.3% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 24.2% 75.8% 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.4% 99.6% 10.0% 89.6% 5.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 5.6% 98.2% 6.6% 91.5% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.0%
11-7 9.1% 95.7% 3.8% 91.9% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 95.5%
10-8 12.1% 86.5% 1.9% 84.6% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.0 2.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 1.6 86.2%
9-9 13.9% 68.3% 1.2% 67.1% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 2.8 1.5 0.0 4.4 67.9%
8-10 14.4% 35.2% 0.8% 34.4% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.1 0.1 9.3 34.7%
7-11 13.3% 11.4% 0.3% 11.1% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.1 11.8 11.1%
6-12 10.7% 2.2% 0.3% 1.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.5 1.9%
5-13 7.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 7.4 0.1%
4-14 4.4% 4.4
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 46.9% 2.0% 44.9% 8.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.3 4.6 6.7 8.4 8.2 7.3 5.3 0.3 53.1 45.8%