Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#40
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace66.5#235
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#44
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#36
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.4% 3.4% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 11.1% 11.3% 2.3%
Top 6 Seed 22.5% 23.0% 5.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.1% 52.8% 23.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.5% 51.2% 22.2%
Average Seed 6.8 6.8 7.9
.500 or above 83.2% 84.0% 54.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 49.8% 26.1%
Conference Champion 4.4% 4.5% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 7.4% 16.7%
First Four4.7% 4.7% 4.0%
First Round49.7% 50.4% 21.3%
Second Round33.3% 33.8% 12.1%
Sweet Sixteen13.7% 13.9% 4.6%
Elite Eight5.5% 5.6% 1.5%
Final Four2.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Championship Game0.9% 0.9% 0.2%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 97.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 25 - 210 - 12
Quad 33 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 252   Northwestern St. W 77-56 98%    
  Nov 06, 2025 296   Texas Southern W 82-59 98%    
  Nov 09, 2025 66   @ Oklahoma St. W 75-74 55%    
  Nov 14, 2025 83   Central Florida W 81-72 80%    
  Nov 18, 2025 192   Montana W 80-62 94%    
  Nov 21, 2025 239   Manhattan W 83-63 96%    
  Nov 25, 2025 365   Mississippi Valley W 96-56 100.0%   
  Nov 28, 2025 93   Florida St. W 76-69 74%    
  Dec 02, 2025 64   @ Pittsburgh W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 07, 2025 47   SMU W 74-73 54%    
  Dec 14, 2025 247   Jacksonville W 79-59 96%    
  Dec 21, 2025 332   East Texas A&M W 81-56 99%    
  Dec 29, 2025 342   Prairie View W 86-60 99%    
  Jan 03, 2026 56   LSU W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 06, 2026 35   @ Auburn L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 10, 2026 48   Oklahoma W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 13, 2026 17   @ Tennessee L 62-69 28%    
  Jan 17, 2026 38   @ Texas L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 21, 2026 32   Mississippi St. W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 24, 2026 77   South Carolina W 72-63 76%    
  Jan 31, 2026 39   @ Georgia L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 03, 2026 19   @ Alabama L 76-83 29%    
  Feb 07, 2026 6   Florida L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 11, 2026 37   Missouri W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 14, 2026 31   @ Vanderbilt L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 18, 2026 30   Mississippi W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 21, 2026 48   @ Oklahoma L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 25, 2026 15   @ Arkansas L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 28, 2026 38   Texas W 72-69 59%    
  Mar 03, 2026 7   Kentucky L 73-76 40%    
  Mar 07, 2026 56   @ LSU W 72-71 50%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 4.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.9 0.5 0.1 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 2.7 0.6 0.1 6.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 3.2 0.9 0.1 6.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.9 1.8 0.2 6.9 6th
7th 0.4 3.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 3.9 1.1 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.2 2.2 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.3 2.6 3.5 0.5 6.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 4.1 1.4 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 3.4 2.6 0.2 7.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 6.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.7 1.2 0.1 6.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.4 1.2 0.2 5.8 15th
16th 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.5 0.8 0.1 4.3 16th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.5 7.2 9.6 10.8 11.8 11.0 10.6 9.0 7.0 5.0 3.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 91.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
15-3 70.2% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.2% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.1 0.0
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 32.4% 67.6% 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.9% 100.0% 23.2% 76.8% 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.9% 100.0% 21.3% 78.7% 2.6 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.5% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 3.4 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
13-5 5.0% 99.8% 11.8% 88.0% 4.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 7.0% 99.6% 6.6% 93.1% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-7 9.0% 96.8% 4.3% 92.5% 6.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.3 96.6%
10-8 10.6% 89.1% 2.0% 87.1% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.2 1.2 88.9%
9-9 11.0% 73.6% 1.5% 72.2% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 1.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 2.9 73.3%
8-10 11.8% 41.5% 0.6% 41.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.9 1.1 0.0 6.9 41.2%
7-11 10.8% 18.4% 0.6% 17.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 8.9 17.9%
6-12 9.6% 3.4% 0.3% 3.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.2 3.1%
5-13 7.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 0.3%
4-14 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 5.5
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 52.1% 3.3% 48.8% 6.8 1.2 2.2 3.5 4.2 5.3 6.2 6.8 7.3 6.2 6.3 3.0 0.1 0.0 47.9 50.5%