Texas A&M - Commerce
Southland
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#339
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#350
Pace66.6#222
Improvement+2.0#103

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#343
First Shot-6.8#342
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks-3.9#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#109
Freethrows-2.5#319
Improvement+0.7#149

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#298
First Shot-3.3#283
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#252
Layups/Dunks-3.9#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#266
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement+1.3#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 77.0% 68.9% 77.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 1.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 90 - 15
Quad 44 - 115 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 61   @ Iowa L 66-89 1%    
  Nov 06, 2024 243   @ South Dakota L 76-86 17%    
  Nov 08, 2024 20   @ Texas A&M L 55-87 1%     0 - 1 -13.5 -4.2 -10.5
  Nov 13, 2024 224   Southern W 70-68 29%     1 - 1 -3.9 -2.6 -1.3
  Nov 19, 2024 32   @ Connecticut L 46-81 1%     1 - 2 -18.3 -22.5 +5.1
  Nov 21, 2024 50   @ Oklahoma L 56-84 2%     1 - 3 -14.6 -10.4 -4.4
  Nov 25, 2024 324   @ Stonehill L 65-67 34%     1 - 4 -9.2 -3.3 -6.1
  Nov 30, 2024 153   Purdue Fort Wayne L 57-77 18%     1 - 5 -21.9 -14.7 -8.8
  Dec 05, 2024 295   @ Houston Christian L 79-83 26%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -8.9 +3.9 -12.8
  Dec 07, 2024 281   @ Incarnate Word L 53-65 24%     1 - 7 0 - 2 -16.1 -18.5 +1.2
  Dec 15, 2024 133   South Alabama L 72-81 16%     1 - 8 -10.0 +3.6 -13.9
  Dec 18, 2024 211   Abilene Christian W 68-67 27%     2 - 8 -4.2 -5.1 +0.9
  Dec 21, 2024 176   @ South Florida L 62-88 11%     2 - 9 -24.4 -9.9 -13.9
  Jan 04, 2025 86   McNeese St. L 56-75 8%     2 - 10 0 - 3 -14.9 -14.0 -1.3
  Jan 06, 2025 192   Nicholls St. L 61-83 25%     2 - 11 0 - 4 -26.4 -8.3 -20.2
  Jan 11, 2025 272   @ Northwestern St. L 67-75 23%     2 - 12 0 - 5 -11.8 -4.8 -7.1
  Jan 13, 2025 262   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 55-57 21%     2 - 13 0 - 6 -4.9 -10.8 +5.6
  Jan 18, 2025 353   New Orleans L 73-82 66%     2 - 14 0 - 7 -24.7 -11.5 -12.9
  Jan 20, 2025 213   SE Louisiana L 68-76 27%     2 - 15 0 - 8 -13.2 -7.0 -6.1
  Jan 25, 2025 194   @ Lamar L 58-61 OT 13%     2 - 16 0 - 9 -2.3 -14.3 +12.0
  Jan 27, 2025 249   @ Stephen F. Austin L 72-79 19%     2 - 17 0 - 10 -9.3 +9.3 -19.2
  Feb 01, 2025 272   Northwestern St. W 72-50 40%     3 - 17 1 - 10 +13.2 +2.0 +12.9
  Feb 03, 2025 199   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-78 26%     3 - 18 1 - 11 -16.7 -3.8 -13.7
  Feb 08, 2025 192   @ Nicholls St. L 65-81 13%     3 - 19 1 - 12 -15.3 -1.9 -14.7
  Feb 10, 2025 86   @ McNeese St. L 51-67 4%     3 - 20 1 - 13 -6.8 -8.6 -1.0
  Feb 15, 2025 194   Lamar L 55-65 25%     3 - 21 1 - 14 -14.4 -15.0 +0.1
  Feb 17, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin L 74-76 35%     3 - 22 1 - 15 -9.4 +1.0 -10.4
  Feb 22, 2025 213   @ SE Louisiana L 64-75 13%    
  Feb 24, 2025 353   @ New Orleans L 72-73 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 281   Incarnate Word L 68-70 43%    
  Mar 03, 2025 295   Houston Christian L 67-69 47%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 6.1 24.6 12.7 1.6 45.0 11th
12th 16.3 30.4 8.1 0.2 55.0 12th
Total 16.3 36.4 32.7 12.9 1.6 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 1.6% 1.6
4-16 12.9% 12.9
3-17 32.7% 32.7
2-18 36.4% 36.4
1-19 16.3% 16.3
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 13.7%