New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#358
Expected Predictive Rating-14.8#341
Pace76.1#41
Improvement-0.7#264

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#349
First Shot-7.0#344
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#206
Layup/Dunks-0.4#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.7#356
Freethrows-0.9#233
Improvement-0.9#315

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#351
First Shot-5.9#334
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#243
Layups/Dunks-2.2#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#309
Freethrows-0.3#203
Improvement+0.3#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 5.1% 10.6% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.8% 26.9% 37.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 4.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 60 - 13
Quad 46 - 126 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 66   @ Kansas St. L 65-89 2%     0 - 1 -12.7 +1.5 -15.2
  Nov 09, 2024 124   Troy L 61-78 10%     0 - 2 -17.3 -15.2 -0.7
  Nov 14, 2024 355   Lindenwood W 82-74 49%     1 - 2 -6.0 -0.5 -5.7
  Nov 15, 2024 344   Stonehill L 54-80 42%     1 - 3 -38.3 -23.1 -14.9
  Nov 17, 2024 288   @ Robert Morris L 62-73 16%     1 - 4 -14.5 -13.3 -0.7
  Nov 22, 2024 146   @ Tulane L 68-86 4%    
  Nov 27, 2024 11   @ Baylor L 58-92 0.1%   
  Dec 07, 2024 220   @ Nicholls St. L 66-80 9%    
  Dec 15, 2024 41   @ Iowa L 68-97 0.4%   
  Dec 19, 2024 31   @ Texas L 60-90 0.3%   
  Dec 22, 2024 48   @ LSU L 64-91 1%    
  Dec 28, 2024 91   @ McNeese St. L 61-84 2%    
  Dec 30, 2024 82   @ Vanderbilt L 67-91 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 191   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 19%    
  Jan 06, 2025 212   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76-85 22%    
  Jan 11, 2025 271   SE Louisiana L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 13, 2025 290   @ Lamar L 72-82 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 20, 2025 316   @ Northwestern St. L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 357   Houston Christian W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 27, 2025 308   Incarnate Word L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 271   @ SE Louisiana L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 03, 2025 182   Stephen F. Austin L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 357   @ Houston Christian L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 10, 2025 308   @ Incarnate Word L 74-83 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 91   McNeese St. L 64-81 7%    
  Feb 17, 2025 220   Nicholls St. L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 22, 2025 316   Northwestern St. L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 24, 2025 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 74-72 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 191   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-89 9%    
  Mar 03, 2025 212   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-88 11%    
Projected Record 6 - 25 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 2.7 3.2 1.0 0.2 7.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.5 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.9 6.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 18.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 5.9 8.8 5.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 24.3 11th
12th 1.6 5.1 7.9 7.2 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 26.1 12th
Total 1.6 5.2 9.7 13.6 15.3 15.1 13.1 10.0 6.9 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 8.3% 0.0    0.0
14-6 5.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-7 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
12-8 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
11-9 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
10-10 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
9-11 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
8-12 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.9
7-13 10.0% 10.0
6-14 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-15 15.1% 15.1
4-16 15.3% 15.3
3-17 13.6% 13.6
2-18 9.7% 9.7
1-19 5.2% 5.2
0-20 1.6% 1.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%