New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#347
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#305
Pace73.5#63
Improvement+0.5#157

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#321
First Shot-7.3#345
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#86
Layup/Dunks-0.1#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#344
Freethrows-2.7#325
Improvement+1.4#99

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#343
First Shot-4.2#307
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#333
Layups/Dunks-0.7#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#343
Freethrows+0.9#116
Improvement-0.9#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.5% 2.7% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.1% 8.0% 19.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 32 - 62 - 14
Quad 45 - 98 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 90   @ Kansas St. L 65-89 4%     0 - 1 -14.9 -0.5 -15.5
  Nov 09, 2024 117   Troy L 61-78 13%     0 - 2 -16.9 -16.1 +0.6
  Nov 14, 2024 342   Lindenwood W 82-74 48%     1 - 2 -3.6 +2.6 -6.4
  Nov 15, 2024 316   Stonehill L 54-80 38%     1 - 3 -34.9 -24.1 -10.4
  Nov 17, 2024 216   @ Robert Morris L 62-73 14%     1 - 4 -11.6 -12.4 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 146   @ Tulane W 93-87 OT 8%     2 - 4 +9.8 +6.6 +2.2
  Nov 27, 2024 22   @ Baylor L 60-91 1%     2 - 5 -13.2 -0.5 -15.4
  Dec 07, 2024 212   @ Nicholls St. L 70-73 13%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -3.1 -2.3 -0.8
  Dec 15, 2024 55   @ Iowa L 57-104 2%     2 - 7 -34.3 -13.1 -22.1
  Dec 19, 2024 36   @ Texas L 62-98 1%     2 - 8 -20.9 -2.5 -18.5
  Dec 22, 2024 64   @ LSU L 70-86 3%     2 - 9 -4.9 -1.1 -2.7
  Dec 28, 2024 74   @ McNeese St. L 61-86 3%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -14.7 -0.8 -16.2
  Dec 30, 2024 51   @ Vanderbilt L 56-100 2%     2 - 11 -30.9 -17.1 -9.2
  Jan 04, 2025 240   UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-76 31%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -19.0 -8.6 -11.3
  Jan 06, 2025 183   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 83-97 21%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -17.5 +1.4 -17.8
  Jan 11, 2025 220   SE Louisiana L 71-91 28%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -25.9 -5.5 -19.9
  Jan 13, 2025 222   @ Lamar W 68-62 15%     3 - 14 1 - 5 +5.2 +1.8 +3.9
  Jan 18, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 82-73 46%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -1.9 +1.8 -4.1
  Jan 20, 2025 285   @ Northwestern St. L 61-73 23%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -16.4 -11.3 -5.6
  Jan 25, 2025 307   Houston Christian L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 27, 2025 310   Incarnate Word L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana L 68-79 14%    
  Feb 03, 2025 251   Stephen F. Austin L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 307   @ Houston Christian L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 10, 2025 310   @ Incarnate Word L 73-79 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 74   McNeese St. L 64-81 6%    
  Feb 17, 2025 212   Nicholls St. L 74-81 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 285   Northwestern St. L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 24, 2025 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-71 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 240   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-83 17%    
  Mar 03, 2025 183   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 70-84 10%    
Projected Record 8 - 23 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 3.5 1.1 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.4 3.5 7.0 3.1 0.2 14.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.5 11.1 5.8 0.7 25.2 10th
11th 0.4 4.6 13.0 16.2 7.4 1.0 42.6 11th
12th 1.1 2.7 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 6.4 12th
Total 1.5 7.4 16.2 23.6 22.0 15.5 8.6 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.2% 0.2
10-10 1.2% 1.2
9-11 3.8% 3.8
8-12 8.6% 8.6
7-13 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
6-14 22.0% 22.0
5-15 23.6% 23.6
4-16 16.2% 16.2
3-17 7.4% 7.4
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%