TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#199
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#210
Pace70.5#118
Improvement-2.0#278

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#223
Layup/Dunks+4.1#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#310
Freethrows-1.9#290
Improvement-4.2#343

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#181
First Shot-1.3#218
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#96
Layups/Dunks+0.8#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#194
Freethrows-2.9#344
Improvement+2.3#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 9.2% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 89.8% 99.3% 88.3%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round5.2% 9.2% 4.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 414 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 16   @ Purdue L 73-90 3%     0 - 1 +3.0 +4.2 -0.4
  Nov 12, 2024 38   @ New Mexico L 81-100 7%     0 - 2 -4.1 +3.5 -4.4
  Nov 14, 2024 146   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 30%     0 - 3 +2.4 +8.5 -6.1
  Nov 21, 2024 306   Tennessee Martin W 81-77 80%     1 - 3 -6.9 +3.0 -10.0
  Nov 23, 2024 357   Le Moyne W 82-61 90%     2 - 3 +4.6 +0.5 +4.6
  Nov 30, 2024 356   Prairie View W 109-74 90%     3 - 3 +18.7 +23.5 -6.3
  Dec 05, 2024 194   Lamar L 61-65 59%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -8.4 -9.9 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 249   Stephen F. Austin W 67-48 70%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +11.6 +1.7 +11.8
  Dec 14, 2024 207   @ Hawaii L 62-71 42%     4 - 5 -9.0 -5.1 -4.5
  Dec 21, 2024 3   @ Houston L 51-87 1%     4 - 6 -11.0 -0.8 -16.4
  Jan 04, 2025 213   @ SE Louisiana W 80-71 42%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +8.9 +11.9 -2.5
  Jan 06, 2025 353   @ New Orleans W 97-83 79%     6 - 6 3 - 1 +3.4 +10.6 -8.4
  Jan 11, 2025 262   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-74 72%     7 - 6 4 - 1 -3.0 +10.0 -12.5
  Jan 13, 2025 272   Northwestern St. W 73-64 74%     8 - 6 5 - 1 +0.2 +2.4 -1.6
  Jan 18, 2025 281   @ Incarnate Word W 69-63 58%     9 - 6 6 - 1 +1.9 -10.4 +12.0
  Jan 20, 2025 295   @ Houston Christian L 72-76 61%     9 - 7 6 - 2 -8.9 -5.9 -2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 192   Nicholls St. W 61-57 59%     10 - 7 7 - 2 -0.4 -11.9 +11.6
  Jan 27, 2025 86   McNeese St. L 73-74 28%     10 - 8 7 - 3 +3.1 +4.3 -1.2
  Feb 01, 2025 262   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-83 53%     10 - 9 7 - 4 -12.9 -7.1 -5.0
  Feb 03, 2025 339   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 78-66 74%     11 - 9 8 - 4 +3.0 +7.7 -3.9
  Feb 08, 2025 249   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-78 51%     11 - 10 8 - 5 -16.3 -7.0 -9.0
  Feb 10, 2025 194   @ Lamar L 56-67 39%     11 - 11 8 - 6 -10.3 -8.8 -2.6
  Feb 15, 2025 281   Incarnate Word W 69-55 75%     12 - 11 9 - 6 +4.8 +2.4 +5.0
  Feb 17, 2025 295   Houston Christian W 68-62 77%     13 - 11 10 - 6 -4.0 -3.3 +0.0
  Feb 22, 2025 86   @ McNeese St. L 65-76 14%    
  Feb 24, 2025 192   @ Nicholls St. L 72-75 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 213   SE Louisiana W 74-71 63%    
  Mar 03, 2025 353   New Orleans W 83-69 91%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 4.4 2.4 6.8 2nd
3rd 4.4 14.6 1.2 20.2 3rd
4th 2.2 26.0 6.5 34.7 4th
5th 1.1 18.7 15.4 0.1 35.2 5th
6th 1.0 2.0 2.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 2.1 22.9 45.8 25.6 3.6 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 3.6% 16.9% 16.9% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.0
13-7 25.6% 8.2% 8.2% 14.7 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.2 23.5
12-8 45.8% 4.0% 4.0% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.2 44.0
11-9 22.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 22.2
10-10 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.1
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.0 0.6 94.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 13.7 3.3 30.0 56.7 10.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%
Lose Out 0.9%