TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#223
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#246
Pace73.1#78
Improvement+0.2#146

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#190
First Shot+2.4#105
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#324
Layup/Dunks+2.9#84
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#243
Freethrows+1.1#135
Improvement+1.2#42

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#251
First Shot-3.5#285
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#106
Layups/Dunks-0.7#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#248
Freethrows-3.3#335
Improvement-1.0#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 8.8% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 64.7% 68.7% 42.9%
.500 or above in Conference 79.6% 81.4% 69.7%
Conference Champion 7.3% 8.0% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.3%
First Round7.8% 8.5% 4.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 84.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 414 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 17   @ Purdue L 73-90 4%     0 - 1 +0.2 +3.3 -2.4
  Nov 12, 2024 58   @ New Mexico L 81-100 9%     0 - 2 -7.1 +1.3 -5.2
  Nov 14, 2024 165   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 30%     0 - 3 +1.6 +5.3 -3.6
  Nov 21, 2024 295   Tennessee Martin W 81-77 75%     1 - 3 -6.0 +4.0 -10.0
  Nov 23, 2024 337   Le Moyne W 80-69 84%    
  Nov 30, 2024 347   Prairie View W 87-74 89%    
  Dec 05, 2024 292   Lamar W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 07, 2024 202   Stephen F. Austin W 70-68 58%    
  Dec 15, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 70-75 32%    
  Dec 21, 2024 3   @ Houston L 57-82 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 272   @ SE Louisiana L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 06, 2025 356   @ New Orleans W 82-74 76%    
  Jan 11, 2025 190   UT Rio Grande Valley W 82-80 56%    
  Jan 13, 2025 316   Northwestern St. W 79-70 78%    
  Jan 18, 2025 309   @ Incarnate Word W 78-76 59%    
  Jan 20, 2025 358   @ Houston Christian W 82-74 77%    
  Jan 25, 2025 229   Nicholls St. W 75-72 62%    
  Jan 27, 2025 95   McNeese St. L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 190   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 79-83 35%    
  Feb 03, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 202   @ Stephen F. Austin L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 10, 2025 292   @ Lamar W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 309   Incarnate Word W 81-73 77%    
  Feb 17, 2025 358   Houston Christian W 85-71 89%    
  Feb 22, 2025 95   @ McNeese St. L 67-79 16%    
  Feb 24, 2025 229   @ Nicholls St. L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 272   SE Louisiana W 77-71 68%    
  Mar 03, 2025 356   New Orleans W 85-71 88%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 7.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 4.4 5.9 3.7 1.4 0.2 17.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.6 4.8 2.3 0.4 15.9 3rd
4th 0.4 2.8 5.4 4.5 1.3 0.1 14.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.6 4.0 0.8 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 4.7 3.0 0.7 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.3 0.2 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.1 3.7 5.5 7.5 10.5 12.0 12.9 12.6 10.7 9.3 6.0 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 87.3% 1.5    1.2 0.3
17-3 59.3% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1
16-4 31.8% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2
15-5 11.0% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1
14-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.2 2.4 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 62.2% 62.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 41.0% 41.0% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.7% 44.0% 44.0% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.9
17-3 3.3% 30.3% 30.3% 13.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.3
16-4 6.0% 23.2% 23.2% 14.4 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 4.6
15-5 9.3% 19.1% 19.1% 14.9 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.4 7.5
14-6 10.7% 10.8% 10.8% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 9.6
13-7 12.6% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 11.7
12-8 12.9% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.4
11-9 12.0% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.1 0.2 11.7
10-10 10.5% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.3
9-11 7.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.5
8-12 5.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.4
7-13 3.7% 3.7
6-14 2.1% 2.1
5-15 0.9% 0.9
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.8 2.1 91.8 0.0%