TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#183
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#198
Pace70.9#112
Improvement-0.3#201

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#179
First Shot+0.2#169
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#203
Layup/Dunks+5.0#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#301
Freethrows-1.8#289
Improvement-1.8#285

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#205
First Shot-1.9#233
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#103
Layups/Dunks+0.6#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#127
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#208
Freethrows-3.1#345
Improvement+1.5#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 12.9% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.4
.500 or above 90.2% 94.9% 80.3%
.500 or above in Conference 98.0% 99.2% 95.3%
Conference Champion 3.1% 4.2% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round10.9% 12.8% 6.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 67.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 12   @ Purdue L 73-90 4%     0 - 1 +2.8 +5.4 -1.9
  Nov 12, 2024 49   @ New Mexico L 81-100 10%     0 - 2 -5.5 +2.9 -5.2
  Nov 14, 2024 126   @ New Mexico St. L 82-83 29%     0 - 3 +3.9 +7.3 -3.4
  Nov 21, 2024 289   Tennessee Martin W 81-77 80%     1 - 3 -5.8 +3.6 -9.4
  Nov 23, 2024 349   Le Moyne W 82-61 90%     2 - 3 +5.8 +2.9 +3.4
  Nov 30, 2024 337   Prairie View W 109-74 89%     3 - 3 +20.9 +23.9 -4.4
  Dec 05, 2024 222   Lamar L 61-65 69%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -10.0 -10.9 +0.8
  Dec 07, 2024 251   Stephen F. Austin W 67-48 74%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +11.3 +2.7 +10.4
  Dec 14, 2024 180   @ Hawaii L 62-71 40%     4 - 5 -7.3 -5.3 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2024 3   @ Houston L 51-87 2%     4 - 6 -11.9 +0.3 -18.3
  Jan 04, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana W 80-71 49%     5 - 6 2 - 1 +8.3 +12.6 -3.9
  Jan 06, 2025 347   @ New Orleans W 97-83 79%     6 - 6 3 - 1 +4.6 +11.4 -8.0
  Jan 11, 2025 240   UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-74 72%     7 - 6 4 - 1 -2.0 +9.4 -10.9
  Jan 13, 2025 285   Northwestern St. W 73-64 80%     8 - 6 5 - 1 -0.6 +0.4 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2025 310   @ Incarnate Word W 69-63 68%     9 - 6 6 - 1 +0.2 -12.5 +12.5
  Jan 20, 2025 307   @ Houston Christian L 72-76 67%     9 - 7 6 - 2 -9.5 -5.4 -4.0
  Jan 25, 2025 212   Nicholls St. W 78-74 68%    
  Jan 27, 2025 74   McNeese St. L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 240   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 03, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 251   @ Stephen F. Austin W 68-66 55%    
  Feb 10, 2025 222   @ Lamar L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 310   Incarnate Word W 80-70 83%    
  Feb 17, 2025 307   Houston Christian W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 74   @ McNeese St. L 66-77 14%    
  Feb 24, 2025 212   @ Nicholls St. L 75-76 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 220   SE Louisiana W 74-69 69%    
  Mar 03, 2025 347   New Orleans W 84-70 90%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.3 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 8.8 15.7 13.1 5.9 1.0 46.0 2nd
3rd 0.7 6.7 10.2 4.3 0.6 0.0 22.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.8 7.0 2.5 0.2 13.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.3 2.2 0.1 8.0 5th
6th 0.3 2.1 1.3 0.1 3.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.7 4.6 10.2 17.5 21.7 20.2 14.3 7.1 2.1 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
17-3 52.4% 1.1    0.5 0.6
16-4 15.6% 1.1    0.3 0.7 0.0
15-5 4.0% 0.6    0.1 0.4 0.1
14-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.2 1.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.3% 40.6% 40.6% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 2.1% 26.9% 26.9% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5
16-4 7.1% 23.4% 23.4% 13.6 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 5.4
15-5 14.3% 18.6% 18.6% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.8 0.0 11.6
14-6 20.2% 13.1% 13.1% 14.5 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.2 17.6
13-7 21.7% 8.7% 8.7% 14.6 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.1 19.8
12-8 17.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 16.6
11-9 10.2% 3.3% 3.3% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 9.9
10-10 4.6% 2.0% 2.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 4.5
9-11 1.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7
8-12 0.4% 0.4
7-13 0.0% 0.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.4 4.1 0.5 89.1 0.0%