TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.5 198
Expected Predictive Rating -2.6 210
Pace 67.1 224
Improvement -0.4 201

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ #294 D- D+ C- C+ C
Defense C+ #114 C C+ B+ F C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 18 51% 334 +1.1 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 109 34% 300 +0.4 157
Three Pointers 30% 354 31% 285 -6.8 352
1st FG Attempt 0.91 327 -5.4 327
Second Chance 29.0% 221 0.96 281 0.28 254
Turnovers 17.6% 219
Freethrows 0.35 45 66% 346 0.23 134
Total Offense -4.5 294

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 84 60% 236 -3.2 287
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 193 37% 134 +0.5 144
Three Pointers 38% 273 31% 65 +3.2 57
1st FG Attempt 1.01 164 +0.6 164
Second Chance 29.4% 130 1.02 173 0.30 146
Turnovers 20.3% 28
Freethrows 0.41 362 72% 147 0.29 357
Total Defense +2.0 114

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.1 176 +0.4 238
Shot Type Accuracy -5.3 339 -0.9 145
Possession Length 18.2 269 16.9 121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 148 0.18 200
Improvement +0.1 #170 -0.5 #222

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 4% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.5
.500 or above 18% 26% 5%
.500 or above in Conference 93% 98% 84%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round3% 4% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Lamar (Home) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 32 - 43 - 11
Quad 410 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 37 @SMU L 58 - 69 4% -2  30% 0 - 1 B- +6 F -11 F D- B+ A+ +17 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 8 214 @Tarleton St. L 77 - 85 40% -13  0% 0 - 2 D+ -8 B- +5 D- C A F -13 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 12 @Kansas L 46 - 77 2% -19  0% 0 - 3 D -9 F -18 F D- D+ A- +10 D- B+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 59 @Oklahoma St. L 69 - 85 9% -9  4% 0 - 4 C- -4 F+ -9 F D C+ B+ +6 C+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 83 @Xavier L 67 - 88 13% -12  11% 0 - 5 D- -11 F+ -8 F D A C- -2 C B F
 Sat, Dec 6 196 @Lamar W 57 - 49 38% +1  55% 1 - 5 1 - 0 B +9 F+ -8 D- C F A+ +18 A- A- B
 Wed, Dec 17 105 @Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 69 18% -1  44% 1 - 6 1 - 1 C -2 D -5 D- B- D B- +2 C- C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 266 Nicholls St. L 71 - 76 73% -3  29% 1 - 7 1 - 2 D- -14 C- -1 B C- D F -13 F F B
 Wed, Dec 31 225 New Orleans W 83 - 69 65% +6  67% 2 - 7 2 - 2 B- +8 C+ +3 F A+ B- B +4 B B A-
 Sat, Jan 3 149 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 63 - 59 28% +1  59% 3 - 7 3 - 2 B- +8 D+ -3 D- A D+ A +11 A+ A C
 Mon, Jan 5 298 @Houston Christian W 81 - 65 59% +8  80% 4 - 7 4 - 2 B+ +11 C+ +3 D+ B+ B A- +8 B+ D- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 280 @Northwestern St. L 78 - 79 55% +7  91% 4 - 8 4 - 3 D+ -5 B- +4 C+ D- A- D- -8 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 300 @East Texas A&M W 61 - 50 60% +5  88% 5 - 8 5 - 3 B- +6 F -11 F B F A+ +17 A+ D+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 270 SE Louisiana W 68 - 56 74% +14  99% 6 - 8 6 - 3 C+ +3 F+ -9 C- C+ F A +11 C B- A+
 Mon, Jan 19 88 McNeese St. L 53 - 69 30% -6  13% 6 - 9 6 - 4 D- -13 F -11 D F A D+ -5 B+ F A
 Sat, Jan 24 255 @Incarnate Word W 79 - 71 50% +10  94% 7 - 9 7 - 4 B- +6 C+ +2 C+ B+ F B- +3 D- B+ A+
 Mon, Jan 26 149 UT Rio Grande Valley L 55 - 64 50% -3  26% 7 - 10 7 - 5 D- -11 F -15 F F D- B- +3 B+ D+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 298 Houston Christian W 73 - 71 79% +0  45% 8 - 10 8 - 5 D -9 C+ +2 B- F C F+ -10 F A+ B
 Mon, Feb 2 255 Incarnate Word L 69 - 71 72% -4  5% 8 - 11 8 - 6 D -10 D- -8 D F C C- -3 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 7 266 @Nicholls St. W 83 - 76 52% +2  74% 9 - 11 9 - 6 C+ +4 B+ +9 B+ C B D+ -5 C- F+ D+
 Mon, Feb 9 225 @New Orleans L 78 - 84 OT 42% +1  52% 9 - 12 9 - 7 D+ -6 F -15 F D- F A +10 B A A+
 Sat, Feb 14 196 Lamar W 69 - 66 60%
 Mon, Feb 16 105 Stephen F. Austin L 66 - 70 35%
 Sat, Feb 21 88 @McNeese St. L 63 - 74 14%
 Mon, Feb 23 270 @SE Louisiana W 65 - 64 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 280 Northwestern St. W 71 - 64 75%
 Mon, Mar 2 300 East Texas A&M W 73 - 64 79%
Totals 12 - 15 12 - 10 -3 D+ -5 D- D+ C- C+ +2 C C+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- D+ D+ D- 46% 24% 30% C D- C- D+ D+ C- B F+ C+ C+ C- C+ B C+ 42% 20% 38% C- C C+ C C+ B+ F C F
1.02 51% 34% 31% -5 0 0.91 29% 1.0 .28 18% .35 66% .23 1.06 60% 37% 31% -1 0 1.01 29% 1.0 .30 20% .41 72% .25
Nov
6		 SMU F F F C- F 29% 23% 48% C F C+ F D- B+ B D+ B- A+ A- A+ A A+ 40% 30% 30% C+ A+ A- A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.84 47% 8% 32% -11 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21 1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38
Nov
8		 Tarleton St. B- F D+ B+ F+ 45% 17% 38% C+ D- B D- C A A+ F B+ F A+ F F F 37% 29% 34% B F D F F C- F D+ F
1.11 48% 38% 39% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.9 .35 19% .52 62% .32 1.23 40% 58% 50% +8 -1 1.15 35% 1.4 .50 19% .66 78% .52
Nov
11		 Kansas F D F F F 55% 22% 24% A- F F C+ D- D+ C F D+ A- F D- C+ F+ 30% 21% 49% B- D- A- C- B+ A+ F A D
0.65 47% 17% 8% -20 +1 0.64 14% 0.8 .12 17% .22 54% .12 1.08 92% 44% 33% +11 -1 1.23 26% 1.3 .33 25% .41 68% .28
Nov
16		 Oklahoma St. F+ F+ F F F 55% 13% 33% A- F D- C+ D C+ A+ A- A+ B+ F D A+ B- 47% 10% 43% C- C+ C- D+ D+ A+ F F F
0.88 47% 14% 22% -15 +2 0.76 21% 1.1 .23 18% .41 77% .31 1.09 79% 40% 18% 0 +2 1.06 32% 1.1 .35 22% .44 81% .36
Nov
28		 Xavier F+ F+ D F F 48% 30% 22% C F C- F D A B- F D+ C- B A+ F C 36% 20% 44% D- C B- A B F F A+ D+
0.89 48% 33% 23% -10 0 0.82 26% 0.6 .16 13% .31 55% .17 1.17 55% 25% 44% +3 0 1.08 25% 0.8 .20 7% .34 58% .20
Dec
6		 Lamar F+ F+ B- D D- 35% 25% 40% D+ D- F+ A+ C F C+ C C+ A+ B+ A C+ A- 28% 39% 33% B A- A+ D- A- B B B+ B+
0.95 50% 40% 31% -4 -1 0.93 21% 1.5 .32 22% .40 68% .28 0.81 46% 28% 33% -8 -3 0.80 21% 1.1 .24 18% .18 67% .12
Dec
17		 Stephen F. Austin D D- F D- F+ 50% 17% 33% B+ D- A- D- B- D A+ F A- B- C- A+ F C 45% 29% 26% D+ C- B+ D C+ A- F A+ F
0.94 48% 29% 29% -9 +1 0.86 38% 0.9 .35 19% .48 56% .27 1.08 59% 18% 50% +1 -1 1.03 28% 1.1 .31 17% .72 55% .40
Dec
29		 Nicholls St. C- C- B A+ B 45% 16% 39% C+ B D B C- D F C F F B+ F F F+ 50% 7% 43% F F D+ F F B D F F
1.12 60% 43% 47% +9 +1 1.23 32% 1.1 .36 24% .27 77% .21 1.20 50% 67% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 1.7 .48 19% .33 88% .29
Dec
31		 New Orleans C+ F F+ C F 60% 23% 17% B- F A+ B A+ B- B+ B- A- B B C- B B 36% 34% 30% A- B C+ B+ B A- F A+ F
1.21 41% 33% 33% -12 +1 0.81 50% 1.1 .56 13% .42 76% .32 1.00 50% 40% 31% -4 -2 0.91 33% 0.9 .31 23% .55 66% .36
Jan
3		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ F F A+ F 58% 24% 18% B D- B A A D+ A+ F A- A B+ F A+ A+ 40% 22% 38% C+ A+ B- A+ A C F C- F
1.00 42% 27% 50% -7 +1 0.89 36% 1.1 .39 19% .47 63% .29 0.94 50% 60% 12% -11 0 0.80 26% 0.7 .17 17% .42 77% .33
Jan
5		 Houston Christian C+ C A+ D D+ 46% 23% 31% D+ D+ A+ D+ B+ B D+ C C- A- D- B A+ B+ 35% 20% 45% C+ B+ D+ F+ D- A+ F D F
1.17 63% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 45% 1.0 .45 16% .26 73% .19 0.94 65% 30% 23% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.0 .32 25% .36 74% .27
Jan
10		 Northwestern St. B- A- A D B- 40% 26% 34% D C+ F+ C D- A- A+ F A- D- D- D F F 55% 21% 24% F F D F F A+ F D- F
1.15 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 26% 1.1 .29 13% .48 64% .31 1.16 61% 44% 50% +9 +1 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 24% .46 79% .37
Jan
12		 East Texas A&M F F B+ F F 36% 32% 32% F F D A+ B F A+ D A A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% D A+ D- C+ D+ B F A F
0.91 44% 43% 21% -10 -2 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 22% .46 67% .31 0.75 50% 38% 0% -22 +1 0.60 29% 0.8 .24 21% .42 59% .25
Jan
17		 SE Louisiana F+ F A+ A D 60% 12% 28% A+ C- C- B+ C+ F A F B- A B A+ D- B- 57% 19% 23% F C A- D+ B- A+ A- A- A-
0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31 0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16
Jan
19		 McNeese St. F B+ C+ F C- 30% 35% 35% F D F F F A A+ F+ A- D+ C B+ A+ B+ 51% 24% 24% C B+ F F F A F A- F
0.90 64% 38% 23% -4 -2 0.89 17% 0.8 .13 20% .51 67% .34 1.17 58% 33% 22% -5 0 0.92 50% 1.4 .68 19% .54 69% .38
Jan
24		 Incarnate Word C+ F+ A A+ C+ 55% 20% 25% C+ C+ B+ C+ B+ F A+ F A+ B- D+ D- D D- 39% 18% 43% D- D- D+ A+ B+ A+ C- A+ B-
1.15 50% 50% 50% +4 +1 1.13 39% 1.2 .45 22% .67 58% .39 1.03 58% 44% 38% +4 0 1.10 33% 0.7 .22 25% .29 60% .17
Jan
26		 UT Rio Grande Valley F F F F F 41% 38% 21% F+ F B F F D- A+ F A+ B- F C- A+ B+ 29% 20% 51% B B+ F+ B- D+ B F B F
0.86 38% 27% 25% -16 -2 0.67 36% 0.4 .14 20% .81 63% .51 1.01 83% 38% 19% -4 -1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .49 72% .36
Jan
31		 Houston Christian C+ A- F B C+ 60% 13% 28% B+ B- B- F F C A+ F+ A F+ C- D F F 29% 24% 46% A- F D- A+ A+ B F F F
1.20 71% 17% 38% +7 +3 1.21 37% 0.5 .19 18% .42 67% .28 1.17 58% 40% 53% +14 -1 1.27 34% 0.2 .07 20% .41 85% .35
Feb
2		 Incarnate Word D- C F C+ D 43% 28% 30% F+ D F F F C B C+ B C- F+ A+ F F 52% 18% 30% F F A+ A+ A+ B F C- F
1.05 60% 31% 36% 0 -1 1.00 22% 0.7 .16 17% .42 74% .31 1.08 65% 25% 46% +7 +1 1.18 20% 0.5 .10 18% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Nicholls St. B+ B B+ A+ A- 53% 19% 28% B- B+ F A+ C B A- B+ A D+ F C- A C- 39% 16% 45% D+ C- B+ F F+ D+ D- C D
1.23 68% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 25% 1.5 .38 19% .42 83% .35 1.12 70% 38% 26% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.7 .35 15% .35 65% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 New Orleans F B+ F F F 47% 19% 34% C+ F D D D- F A+ D A+ A C C+ A+ B+ 56% 24% 20% D- B A+ C+ A A+ F C+ F
0.90 64% 10% 17% -11 +1 0.81 30% 0.9 .28 22% .54 70% .38 0.96 56% 36% 22% -5 +1 0.93 23% 1.0 .23 25% .86 75% .65



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.0 10.7 7.6 1.2 22.5 3rd
4th 0.1 5.4 20.6 15.5 3.1 0.1 44.8 4th
5th 1.4 10.1 8.1 1.2 0.0 20.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 4.8 0.7 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.6 1.7 0.3 2.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.9 6.5 20.7 32.4 27.4 10.7 1.4 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 0.0%
14-8 0.0%
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 1.4% 9.1% 9.1% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.3
14-8 10.7% 4.5% 4.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.2
13-9 27.4% 4.4% 4.4% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.1 26.2
12-10 32.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.5 0.4 0.4 31.6
11-11 20.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 20.4
10-12 6.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.4
9-13 0.9% 0.9
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.0 97.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%
Lose Out 0.6%