SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#272
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#190
Pace67.9#228
Improvement-0.1#191

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#273
First Shot+0.1#176
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#343
Layup/Dunks+0.4#168
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#200
Freethrows-1.7#265
Improvement+0.0#166

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#246
First Shot-2.4#260
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#178
Layups/Dunks-1.2#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows-0.7#222
Improvement-0.2#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.8% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 40.7% 62.3% 33.8%
.500 or above in Conference 62.7% 75.0% 58.8%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.1% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.3% 3.1%
First Four0.7% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round3.3% 5.5% 2.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Away) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 412 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 103   @ UAB L 72-82 11%     0 - 1 -2.5 +0.3 -2.7
  Nov 12, 2024 29   @ Mississippi St. L 59-80 3%     0 - 2 -5.2 -7.7 +3.2
  Nov 18, 2024 323   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-67 51%     1 - 2 -3.0 -3.8 +0.8
  Nov 22, 2024 189   @ Wyoming L 67-74 24%    
  Nov 26, 2024 218   Gardner-Webb L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 02, 2024 146   @ Tulane L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 05, 2024 229   @ Nicholls St. L 67-72 31%    
  Dec 11, 2024 247   @ Louisiana L 69-73 34%    
  Dec 16, 2024 240   @ Grambling St. L 65-70 33%    
  Dec 30, 2024 95   @ McNeese St. L 62-76 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 223   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 06, 2025 190   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 356   @ New Orleans W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 13, 2025 202   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-69 28%    
  Jan 18, 2025 316   @ Northwestern St. L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 20, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 25, 2025 309   Incarnate Word W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 27, 2025 358   Houston Christian W 79-67 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 356   New Orleans W 80-69 83%    
  Feb 03, 2025 292   Lamar W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 309   @ Incarnate Word L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 10, 2025 358   @ Houston Christian W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 229   Nicholls St. W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 17, 2025 95   McNeese St. L 65-73 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 74-64 81%    
  Feb 24, 2025 316   Northwestern St. W 73-67 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 223   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-77 32%    
  Mar 03, 2025 190   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-80 26%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 2.4 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.1 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.2 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.1 3.8 1.1 0.1 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.8 3.6 0.8 0.1 13.2 5th
6th 0.4 2.6 5.3 3.5 0.6 0.1 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.6 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.3 2.5 0.4 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.9 2.1 0.4 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.4 3.4 4.9 6.6 9.4 10.3 12.1 12.2 11.4 9.9 7.5 4.6 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 86.2% 0.4    0.4 0.1
17-3 65.5% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 31.9% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1
15-5 11.6% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 43.1% 43.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.5% 41.9% 41.9% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 23.2% 23.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-4 3.0% 18.3% 18.3% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4
15-5 4.6% 11.8% 11.8% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 4.0
14-6 7.5% 9.0% 9.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 6.8
13-7 9.9% 5.1% 5.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.4
12-8 11.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.1
11-9 12.2% 2.3% 2.3% 15.7 0.1 0.2 12.0
10-10 12.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.0
9-11 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
8-12 9.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.4
7-13 6.6% 6.6
6-14 4.9% 4.9
5-15 3.4% 3.4
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.5 96.3 0.0%