Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#327
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#347
Pace63.0#313
Improvement-2.6#294

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#350
First Shot-6.3#333
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#280
Layup/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#301
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement-3.1#317

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#236
First Shot-2.7#261
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#138
Layups/Dunks-1.3#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#220
Freethrows-1.7#297
Improvement+0.6#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 5.7% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 43.5% 73.0% 27.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.9% 5.7% 2.9%
First Round1.7% 2.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 35.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 00 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 49 - 119 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 25   @ Mississippi L 64-66 1%     0 - 1 +15.4 +0.0 +15.4
  Nov 11, 2024 4   @ Florida L 62-86 0.4%    0 - 2 +0.8 -2.7 +4.5
  Nov 21, 2024 38   @ New Mexico L 58-80 2%     0 - 3 -7.1 -12.7 +8.2
  Nov 24, 2024 59   @ USC L 69-80 3%     0 - 4 +1.7 +4.3 -3.1
  Nov 26, 2024 242   @ Cal Poly L 79-82 22%     0 - 5 -4.9 +4.1 -9.0
  Dec 07, 2024 226   @ Pepperdine L 57-85 19%     0 - 6 -29.0 -16.5 -12.5
  Dec 16, 2024 213   SE Louisiana L 65-75 32%     0 - 7 -15.2 -3.6 -12.6
  Dec 19, 2024 303   Delaware St. L 60-73 42%     0 - 8 -21.0 -10.1 -12.3
  Dec 20, 2024 181   Norfolk St. L 70-76 20%     0 - 9 -7.2 +2.9 -10.6
  Dec 22, 2024 46   @ Cincinnati L 49-84 2%     0 - 10 -21.2 -9.2 -16.0
  Jan 04, 2025 356   @ Prairie View L 55-73 54%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -29.2 -20.6 -9.6
  Jan 06, 2025 296   @ Texas Southern L 66-71 OT 31%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -10.0 -13.2 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2025 293   Bethune-Cookman L 59-65 49%     0 - 13 0 - 3 -15.9 -16.2 +0.3
  Jan 13, 2025 321   Florida A&M W 79-72 57%     1 - 13 1 - 3 -5.0 +7.6 -11.9
  Jan 18, 2025 224   @ Southern L 60-67 19%     1 - 14 1 - 4 -7.8 -7.5 -0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 65-54 92%     2 - 14 2 - 4 -14.8 -7.2 -5.5
  Jan 27, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-77 75%     3 - 14 3 - 4 -13.2 +0.9 -14.0
  Feb 01, 2025 271   Jackson St. L 50-65 43%     3 - 15 3 - 5 -23.3 -19.6 -5.5
  Feb 03, 2025 307   Alcorn St. L 53-60 53%     3 - 16 3 - 6 -18.0 -16.9 -2.1
  Feb 08, 2025 311   @ Alabama St. W 77-67 35%     4 - 16 4 - 6 +3.8 +4.9 -0.5
  Feb 10, 2025 359   @ Alabama A&M W 72-61 58%     5 - 16 5 - 6 -1.1 -3.8 +2.9
  Feb 15, 2025 296   Texas Southern L 60-67 50%     5 - 17 5 - 7 -17.1 -12.9 -4.3
  Feb 17, 2025 356   Prairie View W 70-48 72%     6 - 17 6 - 7 +5.7 -1.9 +10.4
  Feb 22, 2025 224   Southern L 63-67 35%    
  Mar 01, 2025 321   @ Florida A&M L 66-69 36%    
  Mar 03, 2025 293   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-69 30%    
  Mar 06, 2025 359   Alabama A&M W 72-65 76%    
  Mar 08, 2025 311   Alabama St. W 68-67 56%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.5 0.5 3rd
4th 0.4 1.2 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 0.6 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.3 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 1.0 9.7 4.1 0.0 14.7 7th
8th 1.0 16.3 31.4 17.9 0.5 67.2 8th
9th 2.5 3.4 0.5 6.3 9th
10th 0.5 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.9 19.7 32.9 28.6 12.4 2.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 2.4% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.2 2.2
10-8 12.4% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 1.1 11.3
9-9 28.6% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.4 27.2
8-10 32.9% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 1.0 31.9
7-11 19.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 19.6
6-12 3.9% 3.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 16.0 3.9 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7%
Lose Out 3.9%