Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#308
Expected Predictive Rating-16.6#356
Pace64.4#293
Improvement-6.2#363

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#296
First Shot-3.8#291
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#220
Layup/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#280
Freethrows-1.1#249
Improvement-0.4#220

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#289
First Shot-4.4#318
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#124
Layups/Dunks-2.5#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#224
Freethrows-1.7#298
Improvement-5.8#364
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 15.3% 9.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 12.1% 33.6% 11.9%
.500 or above in Conference 75.1% 86.3% 75.0%
Conference Champion 10.9% 16.9% 10.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 0.9%
First Four8.9% 12.8% 8.9%
First Round5.2% 9.2% 5.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cincinnati (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 411 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 27   @ Mississippi L 64-66 2%     0 - 1 +14.3 -2.5 +16.8
  Nov 11, 2024 7   @ Florida L 62-86 1%     0 - 2 -2.9 -5.1 +3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 70   @ New Mexico L 58-80 5%     0 - 3 -10.8 -16.7 +8.4
  Nov 24, 2024 76   @ USC L 69-80 5%     0 - 4 -0.5 +4.5 -5.5
  Nov 26, 2024 265   @ Cal Poly L 79-82 30%     0 - 5 -5.6 +3.9 -9.5
  Dec 07, 2024 237   @ Pepperdine L 57-85 25%     0 - 6 -29.1 -16.1 -13.1
  Dec 16, 2024 228   SE Louisiana L 65-75 44%     0 - 7 -16.6 -1.8 -15.8
  Dec 19, 2024 326   Delaware St. L 60-73 55%     0 - 8 -22.4 -10.9 -12.8
  Dec 20, 2024 181   Norfolk St. L 70-76 25%     0 - 9 -7.0 +3.1 -10.7
  Dec 22, 2024 26   @ Cincinnati L 54-79 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 337   @ Prairie View W 78-77 50%    
  Jan 06, 2025 306   @ Texas Southern L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 262   Bethune-Cookman W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 13, 2025 357   Florida A&M W 72-63 79%    
  Jan 18, 2025 232   @ Southern L 65-72 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 69-59 82%    
  Jan 27, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-74 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 303   Jackson St. W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 03, 2025 342   Alcorn St. W 72-66 72%    
  Feb 08, 2025 297   @ Alabama St. L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 10, 2025 361   @ Alabama A&M W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 306   Texas Southern W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 17, 2025 337   Prairie View W 81-75 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 232   Southern L 68-69 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 357   @ Florida A&M W 69-66 59%    
  Mar 03, 2025 262   @ Bethune-Cookman L 66-72 31%    
  Mar 06, 2025 361   Alabama A&M W 77-67 81%    
  Mar 08, 2025 297   Alabama St. W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.5 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 10.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 6.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 6.1 3.4 0.4 12.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.3 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.0 0.8 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.4 0.7 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.3 6.9 9.8 12.6 14.0 14.5 12.3 9.5 6.5 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 97.6% 1.6    1.4 0.2
15-3 84.1% 2.9    2.0 0.9 0.1
14-4 54.2% 3.5    1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0
13-5 19.5% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 6.0 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 42.1% 42.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 34.4% 34.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
16-2 1.6% 30.3% 30.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 1.1
15-3 3.5% 24.9% 24.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9 2.6
14-4 6.5% 21.5% 21.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4 5.1
13-5 9.5% 16.9% 16.9% 16.0 1.6 7.9
12-6 12.3% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 1.5 10.8
11-7 14.5% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.4 13.1
10-8 14.0% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 1.0 13.0
9-9 12.6% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.7 11.9
8-10 9.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.5
7-11 6.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.9
6-12 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
5-13 2.5% 2.5
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.4 90.4 0.0%