Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#283
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.7#336
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#326
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#213
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 17.1% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.1 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 39.9% 77.7% 39.6%
.500 or above in Conference 55.9% 78.9% 55.7%
Conference Champion 4.2% 10.6% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 0.7%
First Four3.5% 1.8% 3.5%
First Round7.2% 18.8% 7.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 412 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2025 20   @ Iowa St. L 52-78 1%    
  Nov 09, 2025 324   @ Howard L 68-69 49%    
  Nov 13, 2025 281   Southern Miss W 69-66 60%    
  Nov 18, 2025 183   @ San Diego L 66-74 22%    
  Nov 21, 2025 169   @ California Baptist L 59-68 21%    
  Nov 24, 2025 258   @ UC Riverside L 63-68 34%    
  Dec 02, 2025 116   @ Tulane L 59-72 13%    
  Dec 08, 2025 281   @ Southern Miss L 66-69 40%    
  Dec 18, 2025 251   Norfolk St. L 63-65 43%    
  Dec 19, 2025 236   Hampton L 61-64 41%    
  Dec 23, 2025 27   @ Ohio St. L 55-80 2%    
  Jan 03, 2026 341   Prairie View W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 05, 2026 285   Texas Southern W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 10, 2026 246   @ Bethune-Cookman L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 12, 2026 332   @ Florida A&M W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 17, 2026 186   Southern L 63-65 43%    
  Jan 24, 2026 365   Mississippi Valley W 72-51 96%    
  Jan 26, 2026 364   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-60 94%    
  Jan 31, 2026 238   @ Jackson St. L 63-69 32%    
  Feb 02, 2026 326   @ Alcorn St. L 62-63 50%    
  Feb 07, 2026 292   Alabama St. W 67-64 62%    
  Feb 09, 2026 325   Alabama A&M W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 14, 2026 285   @ Texas Southern L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 21, 2026 186   Southern L 63-65 43%    
  Feb 26, 2026 246   Bethune-Cookman W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 26, 2026 332   Florida A&M W 68-62 69%    
  Mar 03, 2026 325   @ Alabama A&M L 68-69 49%    
  Mar 05, 2026 292   @ Alabama St. L 64-67 42%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.0 0.4 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.9 1.6 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.2 2.1 0.1 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.8 2.4 0.2 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.8 2.8 0.3 12.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.7 2.7 0.3 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.1 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.1 8.7 10.7 12.8 13.4 12.4 11.0 8.2 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 75.3% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 48.8% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.5% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.4% 52.2% 52.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.4% 43.8% 43.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8
14-4 3.3% 28.5% 28.5% 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 2.3
13-5 5.8% 24.0% 24.0% 16.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 4.4
12-6 8.2% 16.7% 16.7% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 6.8
11-7 11.0% 12.2% 12.2% 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 9.6
10-8 12.4% 8.0% 8.0% 18.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 11.5
9-9 13.4% 5.7% 5.7% 17.4 0.1 0.8 12.6
8-10 12.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.7 0.0 0.4 12.3
7-11 10.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-13 6.1% 6.1
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.3 5.4 91.9 0.0%