Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#266
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#255
Pace69.2#179
Improvement-1.7#336

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#283
First Shot-4.7#301
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#123
Layup/Dunks-7.9#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#327
Freethrows+1.2#124
Improvement+0.3#126

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#220
First Shot-1.5#228
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#189
Layups/Dunks+8.5#9
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#351
Freethrows-3.2#332
Improvement-2.0#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 25.9% 16.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 44.5% 70.9% 42.9%
.500 or above in Conference 90.5% 96.8% 90.2%
Conference Champion 24.7% 36.3% 24.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four10.1% 8.6% 10.2%
First Round12.5% 21.9% 11.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 413 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 69-78 4%     0 - 1 +5.6 -0.2 +6.1
  Nov 10, 2024 55   @ Georgia L 64-92 6%     0 - 2 -15.7 -4.9 -10.0
  Nov 12, 2024 106   @ Georgia Tech L 62-81 12%     0 - 3 -11.7 -10.9 +0.3
  Nov 17, 2024 127   @ Samford L 82-97 16%     0 - 4 -9.6 +3.3 -11.8
  Nov 24, 2024 63   @ New Mexico L 69-86 6%    
  Dec 01, 2024 166   Texas St. L 66-68 43%    
  Dec 07, 2024 115   @ Sam Houston St. L 67-79 14%    
  Dec 14, 2024 39   @ Nevada L 59-79 4%    
  Dec 17, 2024 43   @ Boise St. L 60-79 4%    
  Dec 21, 2024 209   @ Abilene Christian L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 04, 2025 275   Southern W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 06, 2025 235   Grambling St. W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 13, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 72-60 86%    
  Jan 18, 2025 350   Alcorn St. W 74-63 83%    
  Jan 20, 2025 320   Jackson St. W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 346   @ Alabama A&M W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 27, 2025 282   @ Alabama St. L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 348   Prairie View W 79-69 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 356   Florida A&M W 76-64 85%    
  Feb 10, 2025 286   Bethune-Cookman W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 235   @ Grambling St. L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 17, 2025 275   @ Southern L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 75-57 94%    
  Feb 24, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-70 89%    
  Mar 01, 2025 320   @ Jackson St. W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 03, 2025 350   @ Alcorn St. W 71-66 66%    
  Mar 08, 2025 348   @ Prairie View W 76-72 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.5 7.5 5.7 2.8 0.8 24.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.0 7.0 6.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.5 4.7 1.2 0.1 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.5 3.9 0.7 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.6 4.5 6.8 9.9 12.4 14.2 14.4 13.1 10.1 6.1 2.8 0.8 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
17-1 99.9% 2.8    2.7 0.1
16-2 93.7% 5.7    4.8 0.9 0.0
15-3 74.1% 7.5    4.7 2.4 0.3 0.0
14-4 42.5% 5.5    2.1 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.1% 2.0    0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 24.7% 24.7 15.6 6.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.8% 57.3% 57.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 2.8% 50.0% 50.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.4
16-2 6.1% 36.9% 36.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 3.9
15-3 10.1% 31.8% 31.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 6.9
14-4 13.1% 23.6% 23.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.8 10.0
13-5 14.4% 18.6% 18.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.6 11.7
12-6 14.2% 13.3% 13.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9 12.3
11-7 12.4% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2 11.2
10-8 9.9% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.7 9.2
9-9 6.8% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.4 6.4
8-10 4.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 4.4
7-11 2.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
6-12 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 13.6 82.6 0.0%