Xavier
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#42
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#49
Pace71.9#78
Improvement+2.9#70

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#54
First Shot+6.4#39
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#229
Layup/Dunks+2.9#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#100
Freethrows+2.9#37
Improvement+0.7#144

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#41
First Shot+5.2#44
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#90
Layups/Dunks+0.3#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#45
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement+2.2#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.1% 45.4% 33.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 39.5% 41.9% 29.8%
Average Seed 10.2 10.2 10.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 98.8% 100.0% 93.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four20.3% 20.4% 19.5%
First Round33.4% 35.7% 24.0%
Second Round13.8% 14.7% 9.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.5% 3.7% 2.8%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.1% 0.5%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 80.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 10
Quad 26 - 28 - 12
Quad 35 - 014 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 296   Texas Southern W 78-69 97%     1 - 0 -1.1 +1.1 -2.6
  Nov 08, 2024 326   IU Indianapolis W 94-80 98%     2 - 0 +1.4 +13.6 -11.7
  Nov 12, 2024 271   Jackson St. W 94-57 96%     3 - 0 +28.7 +14.7 +12.6
  Nov 16, 2024 55   Wake Forest W 75-60 65%     4 - 0 +23.0 +12.8 +11.0
  Nov 20, 2024 228   Siena W 80-55 94%     5 - 0 +18.8 +8.8 +11.3
  Nov 25, 2024 84   South Carolina W 75-66 69%     6 - 0 +15.7 +5.7 +9.9
  Nov 27, 2024 22   Michigan L 53-78 36%     6 - 1 -9.4 -13.0 +4.0
  Dec 01, 2024 210   South Carolina St. W 71-68 93%     7 - 1 -2.1 -4.3 +2.1
  Dec 05, 2024 64   @ TCU L 72-76 54%     7 - 2 +6.9 +11.2 -4.5
  Dec 10, 2024 330   Morgan St. W 119-58 98%     8 - 2 +48.0 +30.6 +14.3
  Dec 14, 2024 46   @ Cincinnati L 65-68 43%     8 - 3 +10.8 +1.5 +9.3
  Dec 18, 2024 32   @ Connecticut L 89-94 OT 32%     8 - 4 0 - 1 +11.7 +20.0 -8.2
  Dec 21, 2024 29   Marquette L 70-72 49%     8 - 5 0 - 2 +10.2 +4.1 +6.1
  Dec 31, 2024 167   Seton Hall W 94-72 91%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +19.1 +23.2 -4.0
  Jan 03, 2025 73   @ Georgetown L 63-69 56%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +4.3 -2.0 +6.3
  Jan 07, 2025 14   St. John's L 72-82 37%     9 - 7 1 - 4 +5.3 +5.4 +0.7
  Jan 11, 2025 120   @ DePaul W 77-63 74%     10 - 7 2 - 4 +19.1 +9.5 +10.1
  Jan 14, 2025 43   Villanova W 69-63 60%     11 - 7 3 - 4 +15.2 +3.8 +11.9
  Jan 18, 2025 29   @ Marquette W 59-57 30%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +19.3 -2.4 +21.7
  Jan 22, 2025 14   @ St. John's L 71-79 OT 21%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +12.4 +8.2 +4.7
  Jan 25, 2025 32   Connecticut W 76-72 51%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +15.6 +10.0 +5.8
  Jan 29, 2025 31   @ Creighton L 77-86 31%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +8.0 +15.2 -7.4
  Feb 04, 2025 73   Georgetown W 74-69 74%     14 - 9 6 - 6 +10.2 +5.7 +4.5
  Feb 09, 2025 43   @ Villanova L 68-80 41%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +2.3 +5.6 -4.4
  Feb 12, 2025 79   @ Providence W 91-82 58%     15 - 10 7 - 7 +18.8 +16.9 +1.5
  Feb 15, 2025 120   DePaul W 85-68 87%     16 - 10 8 - 7 +17.0 +14.3 +3.1
  Feb 18, 2025 66   Butler W 76-63 72%     17 - 10 9 - 7 +18.8 -3.8 +21.3
  Feb 23, 2025 167   @ Seton Hall W 73-63 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 31   Creighton W 75-74 52%    
  Mar 05, 2025 66   @ Butler W 77-76 52%    
  Mar 08, 2025 79   Providence W 78-71 76%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.7 5.1 5.7 3rd
4th 1.3 13.7 10.0 25.0 4th
5th 0.0 2.3 20.4 24.2 2.4 49.2 5th
6th 0.8 8.3 9.7 18.9 6th
7th 0.3 0.3 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.2 10.9 31.4 38.6 17.9 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 17.9% 67.4% 9.0% 58.4% 9.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 2.0 3.7 3.9 0.1 5.8 64.2%
12-8 38.6% 49.6% 6.2% 43.3% 10.3 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 5.8 9.6 0.5 19.4 46.2%
11-9 31.4% 31.5% 4.7% 26.8% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 6.1 0.5 21.5 28.1%
10-10 10.9% 17.9% 3.5% 14.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.2 9.0 15.0%
9-11 1.2% 5.0% 2.5% 2.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.5%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 43.1% 5.9% 37.2% 10.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 4.9 12.4 21.0 1.3 56.9 39.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 7.1 3.1 6.8 20.5 34.2 23.0 9.9 2.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.1% 83.3% 9.2 1.4 7.2 12.4 25.8 24.9 11.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.2% 69.0% 9.9 1.3 6.3 13.6 27.3 20.3 0.2
Lose Out 0.3%