Preseason Rankings
Seton Hall
Big East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#68
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.5#243
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#100
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#31
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 4.4% 4.7% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 9.5% 10.3% 2.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.5% 35.6% 13.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.6% 33.6% 12.8%
Average Seed 8.2 8.1 9.0
.500 or above 57.7% 60.6% 29.8%
.500 or above in Conference 38.1% 39.8% 21.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.4% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 11.3% 20.1%
First Four7.8% 8.2% 4.1%
First Round29.5% 31.4% 11.6%
Second Round16.0% 17.1% 5.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.2% 6.6% 1.8%
Elite Eight2.5% 2.7% 0.6%
Final Four0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Peter's (Home) - 90.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 45 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 214   St. Peter's W 69-55 91%    
  Nov 09, 2024 159   Fordham W 75-64 84%    
  Nov 13, 2024 155   Hofstra W 71-63 77%    
  Nov 16, 2024 285   Wagner W 68-51 94%    
  Nov 21, 2024 85   Virginia Commonwealth W 67-66 54%    
  Nov 30, 2024 216   Monmouth W 76-62 89%    
  Dec 04, 2024 343   NJIT W 79-56 98%    
  Dec 08, 2024 87   Oklahoma St. W 70-66 65%    
  Dec 14, 2024 29   @ Rutgers L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 17, 2024 37   @ Villanova L 61-67 31%    
  Dec 22, 2024 101   Georgetown W 73-67 69%    
  Dec 31, 2024 28   @ Xavier L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 08, 2025 122   DePaul W 74-65 77%    
  Jan 11, 2025 48   @ Providence L 65-70 35%    
  Jan 15, 2025 72   @ Butler L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 18   St. John's L 70-72 45%    
  Jan 21, 2025 26   Marquette L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 13   @ Creighton L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 28, 2025 48   Providence W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 02, 2025 122   @ DePaul W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 05, 2025 72   Butler W 72-68 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 101   @ Georgetown L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 15, 2025 1   Connecticut L 62-71 23%    
  Feb 18, 2025 26   @ Marquette L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 23, 2025 28   Xavier L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 26, 2025 37   Villanova W 64-63 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 67-75 27%    
  Mar 04, 2025 13   Creighton L 68-71 39%    
  Mar 08, 2025 1   @ Connecticut L 59-74 11%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.1 4.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.4 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.8 3.9 1.1 0.1 12.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.6 3.1 0.8 0.1 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.1 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 11.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.3 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.7 11th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.9 5.7 7.7 9.4 10.6 10.8 10.7 9.8 8.4 6.9 5.1 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 95.3% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 69.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 50.2% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 21.8% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 51.0% 49.0% 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 32.0% 68.0% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 29.3% 70.7% 2.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.2% 100.0% 19.0% 81.0% 3.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.2% 99.7% 16.7% 83.0% 4.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
14-6 3.5% 99.2% 11.2% 88.0% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-7 5.1% 96.2% 6.7% 89.5% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 95.9%
12-8 6.9% 89.5% 4.8% 84.8% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.7 89.0%
11-9 8.4% 74.1% 3.4% 70.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 2.2 73.1%
10-10 9.8% 51.5% 2.3% 49.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.1 0.5 0.0 4.7 50.4%
9-11 10.7% 23.0% 1.4% 21.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.6 0.0 8.2 21.9%
8-12 10.8% 6.2% 0.6% 5.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.1 5.6%
7-13 10.6% 1.4% 0.4% 1.0% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4 1.0%
6-14 9.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.1%
5-15 7.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 7.7
4-16 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 5.7
3-17 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 33.5% 2.8% 30.7% 8.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.8 3.2 4.1 4.9 6.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.5 31.6%