Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#88
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#237
Pace59.7#358
Improvement+1.5#44

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#237
First Shot-5.8#324
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#35
Layup/Dunks-0.9#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#242
Freethrows-2.7#304
Improvement+0.2#138

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#8
First Shot+8.9#8
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#226
Layups/Dunks+1.8#124
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows+2.9#51
Improvement+1.3#39
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 12.7% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.8% 11.4% 4.2%
Average Seed 9.8 9.7 10.1
.500 or above 28.2% 42.0% 20.2%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 30.9% 19.8%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 16.9% 12.5% 19.5%
First Four3.0% 4.7% 2.0%
First Round6.2% 10.5% 3.8%
Second Round2.7% 4.6% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Neutral) - 36.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 45 - 14
Quad 34 - 39 - 17
Quad 44 - 113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 178   St. Peter's W 57-53 82%     1 - 0 +0.1 -9.4 +9.9
  Nov 09, 2024 161   Fordham L 56-57 81%     1 - 1 -4.2 -12.2 +8.0
  Nov 13, 2024 131   Hofstra L 48-49 65%     1 - 2 +0.9 -13.2 +13.9
  Nov 16, 2024 280   Wagner W 54-28 91%     2 - 2 +16.9 -1.9 +27.0
  Nov 21, 2024 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 59-62 37%    
  Nov 30, 2024 261   Monmouth W 70-56 90%    
  Dec 04, 2024 360   NJIT W 70-46 98%    
  Dec 08, 2024 86   Oklahoma St. W 65-63 59%    
  Dec 14, 2024 42   @ Rutgers L 57-65 23%    
  Dec 17, 2024 69   @ Villanova L 59-64 32%    
  Dec 22, 2024 126   Georgetown W 67-60 72%    
  Dec 31, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 60-69 22%    
  Jan 08, 2025 111   DePaul W 65-60 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 77   @ Providence L 55-59 35%    
  Jan 15, 2025 85   @ Butler L 61-65 37%    
  Jan 18, 2025 16   St. John's L 62-67 31%    
  Jan 21, 2025 15   Marquette L 60-66 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 17   @ Creighton L 58-69 16%    
  Jan 28, 2025 77   Providence W 58-56 56%    
  Feb 02, 2025 111   @ DePaul L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 85   Butler W 64-62 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 126   @ Georgetown W 64-63 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 2   Connecticut L 55-66 16%    
  Feb 18, 2025 15   @ Marquette L 57-69 15%    
  Feb 23, 2025 36   Xavier L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 69   Villanova W 62-61 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 16   @ St. John's L 59-70 16%    
  Mar 04, 2025 17   Creighton L 61-66 32%    
  Mar 08, 2025 2   @ Connecticut L 52-69 7%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.8 1.0 0.1 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.5 3.8 0.9 0.1 13.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.1 3.7 0.7 0.0 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.4 6.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 15.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.4 4.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 14.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 2.4 3.4 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.7 11th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.8 5.4 8.2 10.9 12.4 12.8 12.0 10.3 8.3 6.2 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 76.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 45.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 18.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 98.2% 23.6% 74.5% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6%
15-5 0.7% 94.1% 11.0% 83.2% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 93.4%
14-6 1.4% 83.8% 8.3% 75.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 82.4%
13-7 2.6% 64.9% 5.8% 59.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.9 62.7%
12-8 4.2% 43.1% 3.7% 39.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.1 2.4 40.9%
11-9 6.2% 18.7% 1.8% 16.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.1 17.2%
10-10 8.3% 7.0% 1.4% 5.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.7 5.7%
9-11 10.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2 0.7%
8-12 12.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.0%
7-13 12.8% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-14 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4
5-15 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 10.9
4-16 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
3-17 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.4
2-18 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.8
1-19 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.8% 1.0% 6.7% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.2 6.8%