Preseason Rankings
Butler
Big East
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#72
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.4#117
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#65
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#83
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 5.0% 5.5% 0.8%
Top 6 Seed 11.0% 12.0% 2.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.0% 32.2% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.2% 30.3% 10.7%
Average Seed 7.4 7.4 8.4
.500 or above 52.7% 55.9% 25.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.2% 36.2% 17.6%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 13.9% 12.6% 25.2%
First Four3.9% 4.1% 2.3%
First Round27.8% 29.9% 10.5%
Second Round15.6% 16.8% 5.3%
Sweet Sixteen6.0% 6.6% 1.4%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.6% 0.6%
Final Four0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 89.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 34 - 111 - 15
Quad 45 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 207   Missouri St. W 78-65 89%    
  Nov 08, 2024 281   Austin Peay W 79-62 94%    
  Nov 11, 2024 311   Western Michigan W 84-65 96%    
  Nov 15, 2024 78   SMU W 75-72 62%    
  Nov 22, 2024 243   Merrimack W 76-61 90%    
  Nov 28, 2024 60   Northwestern L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 03, 2024 326   Eastern Illinois W 80-60 96%    
  Dec 07, 2024 3   @ Houston L 60-74 11%    
  Dec 10, 2024 234   North Dakota St. W 79-65 89%    
  Dec 14, 2024 44   Wisconsin L 69-72 41%    
  Dec 18, 2024 26   @ Marquette L 71-78 26%    
  Dec 21, 2024 1   Connecticut L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 01, 2025 37   Villanova L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 08, 2025 48   @ Providence L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 13   Creighton L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 68   Seton Hall W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 21, 2025 1   @ Connecticut L 63-78 10%    
  Jan 25, 2025 122   DePaul W 78-70 75%    
  Jan 28, 2025 26   Marquette L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 31, 2025 101   @ Georgetown L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 68   @ Seton Hall L 68-72 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 48   Providence W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 101   Georgetown W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 18, 2025 28   @ Xavier L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 122   @ DePaul W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 18   St. John's L 74-76 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 37   @ Villanova L 64-70 30%    
  Mar 05, 2025 28   Xavier L 77-78 47%    
  Mar 08, 2025 13   @ Creighton L 68-78 21%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.4 3.4 1.1 0.2 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.9 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.6 3.9 1.2 0.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.9 3.9 1.1 0.1 13.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.8 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.6 3.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.0 11th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.5 4.5 6.6 8.6 9.9 10.9 11.0 10.4 9.2 7.8 6.0 4.5 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 94.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 78.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 46.5% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 24.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 39.5% 60.5% 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 38.0% 62.0% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 31.2% 68.8% 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.1% 100.0% 17.9% 82.1% 3.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.9% 100.0% 17.8% 82.2% 4.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.9% 99.4% 12.1% 87.3% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-7 4.5% 96.6% 7.0% 89.6% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 96.4%
12-8 6.0% 88.5% 5.1% 83.4% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.7 87.9%
11-9 7.8% 74.9% 4.0% 70.8% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.0 73.8%
10-10 9.2% 51.4% 2.0% 49.3% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.5 50.4%
9-11 10.4% 21.2% 1.0% 20.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 8.2 20.4%
8-12 11.0% 5.9% 0.4% 5.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 10.3 5.5%
7-13 10.9% 1.3% 0.2% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 1.0%
6-14 9.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.1%
5-15 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
4-16 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 6.6
3-17 4.5% 4.5
2-18 2.5% 2.5
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 30.0% 2.5% 27.5% 7.4 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.5 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 70.0 28.2%