Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#338
Expected Predictive Rating-13.4#344
Pace66.3#231
Improvement-1.2#248

Offense
Total Offense-10.2#360
First Shot-8.3#356
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#293
Layup/Dunks-7.5#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#322
Freethrows-0.8#239
Improvement-4.1#342

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#210
First Shot-3.7#295
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#25
Layups/Dunks+2.4#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#353
Freethrows-3.0#345
Improvement+2.9#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.6% 1.4% 20.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Away) - 34.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 127 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 18   @ Illinois L 67-112 1%     0 - 1 -26.3 -8.7 -10.4
  Nov 10, 2024 57   @ Indiana L 55-90 2%     0 - 2 -21.9 -12.6 -8.3
  Nov 15, 2024 58   @ Northwestern L 58-67 OT 2%     0 - 3 +3.8 -3.7 +6.8
  Nov 19, 2024 120   @ DePaul L 69-78 7%     0 - 4 -3.9 +0.0 -4.0
  Nov 24, 2024 238   @ Valparaiso L 53-81 18%     0 - 5 -29.6 -15.2 -18.3
  Nov 29, 2024 341   Northern Illinois W 72-59 61%     1 - 5 -1.4 -6.0 +4.6
  Dec 03, 2024 66   @ Butler L 58-73 3%     1 - 6 -4.1 -9.4 +4.7
  Dec 14, 2024 191   @ Eastern Kentucky L 66-81 13%     1 - 7 -14.3 -11.5 -2.2
  Dec 19, 2024 217   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-79 15%     1 - 8 0 - 1 -7.6 +5.7 -13.8
  Jan 02, 2025 335   Lindenwood W 78-74 OT 58%     2 - 8 1 - 1 -9.5 -12.5 +2.2
  Jan 04, 2025 351   Western Illinois L 67-75 65%     2 - 9 1 - 2 -23.5 -11.5 -12.3
  Jan 07, 2025 234   SIU Edwardsville L 57-60 32%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -9.5 -10.1 +0.2
  Jan 09, 2025 308   Tennessee Tech L 64-69 48%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -16.0 -8.1 -8.4
  Jan 16, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin L 63-68 29%     2 - 12 1 - 5 -10.8 -12.2 +1.3
  Jan 18, 2025 269   @ Tennessee St. L 65-84 21%     2 - 13 1 - 6 -22.1 -10.5 -11.2
  Jan 23, 2025 329   Morehead St. L 66-73 55%     2 - 14 1 - 7 -19.9 +3.5 -25.1
  Jan 25, 2025 343   Southern Indiana L 60-64 63%     2 - 15 1 - 8 -18.8 -13.9 -5.3
  Jan 27, 2025 233   Arkansas Little Rock W 56-54 24%     3 - 15 2 - 8 -1.9 -8.2 +6.5
  Jan 30, 2025 351   @ Western Illinois W 71-59 46%     4 - 15 3 - 8 +1.6 -1.0 +3.7
  Feb 01, 2025 335   @ Lindenwood W 76-70 38%     5 - 15 4 - 8 -2.4 +1.3 -3.8
  Feb 04, 2025 234   @ SIU Edwardsville L 41-66 17%     5 - 16 4 - 9 -26.4 -26.2 -2.8
  Feb 08, 2025 308   @ Tennessee Tech L 54-59 30%     5 - 17 4 - 10 -10.9 -15.6 +4.2
  Feb 13, 2025 269   Tennessee St. L 49-66 38%     5 - 18 4 - 11 -25.2 -24.7 -1.6
  Feb 15, 2025 306   Tennessee Martin L 68-72 48%     5 - 19 4 - 12 -14.9 -9.0 -6.0
  Feb 20, 2025 343   @ Southern Indiana W 63-54 43%     6 - 19 5 - 12 -0.7 -13.6 +13.0
  Feb 22, 2025 329   @ Morehead St. L 61-65 35%    
  Feb 27, 2025 233   Arkansas Little Rock L 60-65 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 217   Southeast Missouri St. L 64-70 31%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.3 0.3 8th
9th 21.0 41.1 22.2 3.8 88.1 9th
10th 9.1 1.7 10.8 10th
11th 0.8 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 31.0 42.8 22.2 4.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 4.1% 4.1
7-13 22.2% 22.2
6-14 42.8% 42.8
5-15 31.0% 31.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.8%
Lose Out 31.0%