Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#322
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#306
Pace67.8#231
Improvement-1.5#319

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#308
First Shot-0.9#209
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#350
Layup/Dunks-2.4#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#213
Freethrows+0.9#145
Improvement-0.2#197

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#305
First Shot-4.0#299
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#188
Layups/Dunks+1.3#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#247
Freethrows-4.5#349
Improvement-1.4#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 6.2% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 21.8% 32.2% 14.1%
.500 or above in Conference 45.6% 53.1% 40.2%
Conference Champion 4.9% 6.7% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.9% 8.2% 12.9%
First Four3.4% 4.2% 2.8%
First Round2.9% 4.1% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 411 - 1112 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 109   @ DePaul L 78-80 OT 8%     0 - 1 +5.0 +2.1 +3.0
  Nov 07, 2024 231   Bucknell L 69-75 OT 40%     0 - 2 -12.4 -8.5 -3.7
  Nov 11, 2024 191   @ Marshall L 63-77 16%     0 - 3 -12.5 -9.2 -3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 335   @ Bellarmine W 71-69 45%     1 - 3 -5.6 -4.4 -1.1
  Nov 16, 2024 137   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-93 11%     1 - 4 -14.4 +3.0 -17.9
  Nov 22, 2024 238   South Dakota L 74-76 42%    
  Nov 25, 2024 181   Indiana St. L 74-79 33%    
  Dec 07, 2024 134   @ Southern Illinois L 62-76 10%    
  Dec 19, 2024 298   Tennessee St. W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 21, 2024 295   Tennessee Martin W 75-74 53%    
  Dec 31, 2024 267   Morehead St. L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 02, 2025 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 09, 2025 313   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 204   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 16, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 327   Western Illinois W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 271   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-71 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 318   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 28, 2025 267   @ Morehead St. L 63-69 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 334   Tennessee Tech W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 204   Arkansas Little Rock L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 313   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 13, 2025 327   @ Western Illinois L 65-68 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 355   @ Lindenwood W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 20, 2025 318   Eastern Illinois W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 22, 2025 271   SIU Edwardsville L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 27, 2025 295   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-77 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 298   @ Tennessee St. L 69-74 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.2 4.0 1.0 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.1 4.4 1.1 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.4 4.7 1.2 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 4.0 4.5 1.6 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 3.5 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.5 3.1 0.9 0.1 9.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 7.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 3.7 6.3 8.2 10.1 10.8 11.7 11.1 10.0 8.4 6.3 4.5 2.7 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 93.6% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
16-4 69.3% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 48.3% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.1
14-6 22.3% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 5.4% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 46.2% 46.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.9% 33.9% 33.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6
16-4 1.5% 26.6% 26.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.1
15-5 2.7% 27.3% 27.3% 15.9 0.1 0.7 2.0
14-6 4.5% 18.7% 18.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.6
13-7 6.3% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 0.8 5.5
12-8 8.4% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.5 7.9
11-9 10.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 9.6
10-10 11.1% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.4 10.7
9-11 11.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.6
8-12 10.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.8
7-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
6-14 8.2% 8.2
5-15 6.3% 6.3
4-16 3.7% 3.7
3-17 2.2% 2.2
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.2 95.4 0.0%