Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#343
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#337
Pace67.9#189
Improvement-6.2#354

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#333
First Shot-5.7#327
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#238
Layup/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#311
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement-2.5#297

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#334
First Shot-5.8#341
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#188
Layups/Dunks-3.5#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#57
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#255
Freethrows-2.5#336
Improvement-3.7#336
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 73.6% 46.1% 86.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 31.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 60 - 7
Quad 48 - 138 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 120   @ DePaul L 78-80 OT 6%     0 - 1 +3.1 +2.7 +0.5
  Nov 07, 2024 232   Bucknell L 69-75 OT 29%     0 - 2 -12.4 -8.2 -4.0
  Nov 11, 2024 190   @ Marshall L 63-77 11%     0 - 3 -13.1 -9.7 -3.4
  Nov 13, 2024 340   @ Bellarmine W 71-69 38%     1 - 3 -7.1 -8.4 +1.4
  Nov 16, 2024 153   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-93 8%     1 - 4 -15.9 +2.4 -18.6
  Nov 22, 2024 243   South Dakota W 92-83 31%     2 - 4 +2.0 +5.7 -4.3
  Nov 25, 2024 203   Indiana St. W 87-77 24%     3 - 4 +5.2 +1.9 +2.4
  Dec 07, 2024 179   @ Southern Illinois L 70-73 10%     3 - 5 -1.5 +4.0 -5.7
  Dec 19, 2024 269   Tennessee St. W 77-75 35%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -6.2 -5.2 -1.2
  Dec 21, 2024 306   Tennessee Martin L 46-77 45%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -41.9 -27.8 -16.9
  Dec 31, 2024 329   Morehead St. L 68-70 52%     4 - 7 1 - 2 -14.9 -5.9 -9.1
  Jan 02, 2025 308   @ Tennessee Tech L 64-68 27%     4 - 8 1 - 3 -9.9 -16.7 +7.1
  Jan 09, 2025 217   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 66-77 14%     4 - 9 1 - 4 -11.6 -6.5 -5.0
  Jan 12, 2025 233   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 58-78 15%     4 - 10 1 - 5 -21.4 -7.4 -15.4
  Jan 16, 2025 335   Lindenwood W 80-73 55%     5 - 10 2 - 5 -6.5 +3.4 -9.9
  Jan 18, 2025 351   Western Illinois W 78-66 62%     6 - 10 3 - 5 -3.5 +9.4 -11.0
  Jan 23, 2025 234   @ SIU Edwardsville L 76-82 16%     6 - 11 3 - 6 -7.4 +5.2 -12.6
  Jan 25, 2025 338   @ Eastern Illinois W 64-60 37%     7 - 11 4 - 6 -4.9 -2.5 -2.1
  Jan 28, 2025 329   @ Morehead St. L 65-66 33%     7 - 12 4 - 7 -8.8 -1.2 -7.7
  Feb 01, 2025 308   Tennessee Tech L 65-78 45%     7 - 13 4 - 8 -24.0 -12.8 -11.2
  Feb 06, 2025 233   Arkansas Little Rock L 56-74 29%     7 - 14 4 - 9 -24.5 -8.7 -18.1
  Feb 08, 2025 217   Southeast Missouri St. L 74-79 26%     7 - 15 4 - 10 -10.7 +4.5 -15.5
  Feb 13, 2025 351   @ Western Illinois L 62-87 43%     7 - 16 4 - 11 -35.4 -12.9 -23.8
  Feb 15, 2025 335   @ Lindenwood L 78-81 OT 35%     7 - 17 4 - 12 -11.4 -7.3 -3.7
  Feb 20, 2025 338   Eastern Illinois L 54-63 57%     7 - 18 4 - 13 -23.0 -20.7 -2.4
  Feb 22, 2025 234   SIU Edwardsville L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 27, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-75 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 269   @ Tennessee St. L 71-80 18%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 10.4 10.2 1.7 22.3 9th
10th 13.3 24.9 3.8 0.0 41.9 10th
11th 30.1 5.6 0.1 35.7 11th
Total 43.3 40.9 14.0 1.8 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 1.8% 1.8
6-14 14.0% 14.0
5-15 40.9% 40.9
4-16 43.3% 43.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8%
Lose Out 43.3%