Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#325
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Pace68.2#201
Improvement-5.2#356

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#325
First Shot-4.2#301
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#260
Layup/Dunks-3.0#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#290
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement-3.1#347

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#295
First Shot-4.0#309
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#165
Layups/Dunks-1.7#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#227
Freethrows-2.8#338
Improvement-2.1#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.4% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 26.0% 35.9% 15.7%
.500 or above in Conference 42.4% 55.1% 29.2%
Conference Champion 4.6% 7.5% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 13.4% 7.5% 19.4%
First Four3.6% 4.7% 2.3%
First Round2.7% 3.8% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Home) - 51.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 412 - 1213 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 102   @ DePaul L 78-80 OT 7%     0 - 1 +5.8 +3.2 +2.7
  Nov 07, 2024 265   Bucknell L 69-75 OT 47%     0 - 2 -14.6 -7.5 -6.8
  Nov 11, 2024 201   @ Marshall L 63-77 17%     0 - 3 -12.9 -9.5 -3.3
  Nov 13, 2024 344   @ Bellarmine W 71-69 48%     1 - 3 -6.8 -7.1 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-93 12%     1 - 4 -15.6 +1.4 -17.3
  Nov 22, 2024 239   South Dakota W 92-83 42%     2 - 4 +1.8 +4.5 -3.3
  Nov 25, 2024 149   Indiana St. W 87-77 27%     3 - 4 +7.3 +1.9 +4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 197   @ Southern Illinois L 70-73 16%     3 - 5 -1.8 +4.1 -6.2
  Dec 19, 2024 319   Tennessee St. W 77-75 60%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -9.9 -6.9 -3.1
  Dec 21, 2024 287   Tennessee Martin L 46-77 52%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -40.7 -25.9 -17.7
  Dec 31, 2024 280   Morehead St. W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 02, 2025 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 09, 2025 269   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-75 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 245   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 16, 2025 345   Lindenwood W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 332   Western Illinois W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 23, 2025 282   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 326   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 28, 2025 280   @ Morehead St. L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 328   Tennessee Tech W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 06, 2025 245   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 269   Southeast Missouri St. L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 13, 2025 332   @ Western Illinois L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 345   @ Lindenwood L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 20, 2025 326   Eastern Illinois W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 282   SIU Edwardsville W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 287   @ Tennessee Martin L 67-73 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 319   @ Tennessee St. L 73-76 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 4.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 5.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.1 4.2 0.7 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.1 5.5 1.1 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.6 1.8 0.1 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.8 2.6 0.2 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.9 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.6 8.4 11.3 13.5 14.0 12.8 10.4 8.2 5.4 3.1 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 92.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 73.3% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 46.0% 1.4    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-7 16.9% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.3 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 42.7% 42.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.7% 34.2% 34.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-5 1.6% 32.0% 32.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 1.1
14-6 3.1% 22.6% 22.6% 15.9 0.1 0.7 2.4
13-7 5.4% 17.3% 17.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9 4.4
12-8 8.2% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 7.4
11-9 10.4% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 9.8
10-10 12.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 12.3
9-11 14.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 13.8
8-12 13.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.4
7-13 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.3
6-14 8.4% 8.4
5-15 5.6% 5.6
4-16 3.0% 3.0
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.4 95.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%