Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#317
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#302
Pace68.2#192
Improvement-0.6#207

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#295
First Shot-2.1#230
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#318
Layup/Dunks-3.8#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#36
Freethrows-3.7#357
Improvement-1.1#257

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#301
First Shot-2.6#260
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#317
Layups/Dunks-5.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#262
Freethrows+3.1#18
Improvement+0.5#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.4% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 20.0% 34.0% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 51.2% 69.9% 41.2%
Conference Champion 1.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 0.8% 3.6%
First Four2.9% 4.1% 2.3%
First Round1.8% 3.0% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 34.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 413 - 1113 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 34   @ Georgia L 78-83 2%     0 - 1 +10.4 +12.8 -2.2
  Nov 12, 2024 350   West Georgia W 76-73 72%     1 - 1 -12.2 -7.5 -4.8
  Nov 15, 2024 329   VMI W 72-71 56%     2 - 1 -9.4 -8.1 -1.4
  Nov 16, 2024 240   UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-83 33%     2 - 2 -29.4 -15.7 -14.6
  Nov 19, 2024 75   @ Central Florida L 69-80 5%     2 - 3 -0.9 +2.5 -3.8
  Nov 27, 2024 275   Presbyterian W 90-75 50%     3 - 3 +6.0 +15.7 -9.1
  Nov 29, 2024 51   @ Vanderbilt L 56-87 3%     3 - 4 -17.9 -12.3 -5.0
  Dec 04, 2024 164   @ North Alabama L 59-82 14%     3 - 5 -20.2 -9.9 -11.8
  Dec 07, 2024 350   @ West Georgia L 73-78 54%     3 - 6 -15.0 -3.1 -12.0
  Dec 17, 2024 336   @ Western Illinois L 68-71 50%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -11.9 -2.4 -9.8
  Dec 19, 2024 342   @ Lindenwood W 79-73 50%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -3.0 +1.4 -4.5
  Jan 02, 2025 324   Southern Indiana W 68-64 63%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -8.5 -16.0 +7.2
  Jan 04, 2025 256   Morehead St. W 74-55 47%     6 - 7 3 - 1 +10.9 +0.4 +10.8
  Jan 09, 2025 343   @ Eastern Illinois W 69-64 51%     7 - 7 4 - 1 -4.2 +0.9 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2025 263   @ SIU Edwardsville L 59-67 29%     7 - 8 4 - 2 -11.2 -11.8 +0.4
  Jan 16, 2025 270   Southeast Missouri St. L 70-77 49%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -15.8 -1.5 -14.6
  Jan 18, 2025 241   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-77 42%     7 - 10 4 - 4 -13.0 +2.5 -15.9
  Jan 23, 2025 301   @ Tennessee St. L 72-76 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 289   @ Tennessee Martin L 70-74 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 256   @ Morehead St. L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 324   @ Southern Indiana L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 06, 2025 263   SIU Edwardsville L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 08, 2025 343   Eastern Illinois W 71-66 71%    
  Feb 13, 2025 241   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-73 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 270   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-74 30%    
  Feb 20, 2025 289   Tennessee Martin W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 301   Tennessee St. W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 27, 2025 336   Western Illinois W 70-65 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 342   Lindenwood W 74-69 70%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.8 0.1 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 3.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.9 3.6 0.4 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 7.2 6.5 1.0 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 1.0 7.4 8.1 1.6 0.0 18.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 6.0 8.9 2.3 0.1 17.9 7th
8th 0.3 3.2 6.5 2.3 0.1 12.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.5 2.2 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.9 0.1 2.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 11th
Total 0.1 1.0 3.7 8.3 15.7 19.9 19.3 15.9 9.6 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-5 64.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 31.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.3% 10.7% 10.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-6 1.5% 22.7% 22.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.2
13-7 4.6% 15.1% 15.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 3.9
12-8 9.6% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.8
11-9 15.9% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 15.1
10-10 19.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 18.8
9-11 19.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 19.6
8-12 15.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.6
7-13 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.3
6-14 3.7% 3.7
5-15 1.0% 1.0
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 3.5 96.4 0.0%