Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#328
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#297
Pace67.6#220
Improvement-2.9#322

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#286
First Shot-1.3#210
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#317
Layup/Dunks-3.5#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#33
Freethrows-3.0#338
Improvement-0.9#253

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#336
First Shot-3.8#300
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#312
Layups/Dunks-5.5#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#269
Freethrows+3.1#20
Improvement-2.0#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.4% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 21.6% 28.4% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.1% 53.2% 28.0%
Conference Champion 4.8% 6.6% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 6.7% 20.3%
First Four3.4% 4.2% 2.2%
First Round2.4% 3.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 412 - 1213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 36   @ Georgia L 78-83 2%     0 - 1 +10.3 +11.3 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2024 341   West Georgia W 76-73 68%     1 - 1 -11.4 -6.9 -4.6
  Nov 15, 2024 343   VMI W 72-71 58%     2 - 1 -10.6 -9.1 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 229   UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-83 29%     2 - 2 -28.6 -15.4 -14.1
  Nov 19, 2024 78   @ Central Florida L 69-80 4%     2 - 3 -0.7 +4.3 -5.4
  Nov 27, 2024 268   Presbyterian W 90-75 47%     3 - 3 +6.2 +15.8 -9.0
  Nov 29, 2024 49   @ Vanderbilt L 56-87 3%     3 - 4 -17.6 -12.7 -4.4
  Dec 04, 2024 181   @ North Alabama L 59-82 14%     3 - 5 -21.0 -9.4 -13.2
  Dec 07, 2024 341   @ West Georgia L 73-78 46%     3 - 6 -13.4 -2.1 -11.4
  Dec 17, 2024 332   @ Western Illinois L 68-71 41%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -10.1 -0.9 -9.6
  Dec 19, 2024 345   @ Lindenwood W 79-73 48%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -2.9 +1.0 -4.1
  Jan 02, 2025 325   Southern Indiana W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 280   Morehead St. L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 09, 2025 326   @ Eastern Illinois L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 282   @ SIU Edwardsville L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 16, 2025 269   Southeast Missouri St. L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 245   Arkansas Little Rock L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 23, 2025 319   @ Tennessee St. L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 287   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 280   @ Morehead St. L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 325   @ Southern Indiana L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 06, 2025 282   SIU Edwardsville L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 326   Eastern Illinois W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 13, 2025 245   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 269   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 20, 2025 287   Tennessee Martin W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 319   Tennessee St. W 76-74 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 332   Western Illinois W 71-67 63%    
  Mar 01, 2025 345   Lindenwood W 74-69 69%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 5.3 3.0 0.3 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 4.3 0.6 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.2 5.7 1.1 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.7 1.8 0.1 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.7 5.0 2.2 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.9 2.3 0.2 9.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 5.2 8.4 11.5 13.3 14.1 13.1 11.0 8.1 5.4 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 98.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 94.5% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-5 78.4% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-6 50.6% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-7 18.0% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 38.2% 38.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.7% 30.5% 30.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-5 1.5% 26.3% 26.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.1
14-6 3.0% 19.5% 19.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.4
13-7 5.4% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 4.5
12-8 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8 7.3
11-9 11.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.5
10-10 13.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 12.7
9-11 14.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.9
8-12 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.2
7-13 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-14 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.4
5-15 5.2% 5.2
4-16 2.8% 2.8
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.0 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%