Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#334
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#267
Pace65.7#282
Improvement-1.6#321

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#329
First Shot-2.8#253
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#327
Layup/Dunks-3.4#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#46
Freethrows-3.5#328
Improvement-1.0#311

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#321
First Shot-3.5#288
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#265
Layups/Dunks-4.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#283
Freethrows+2.4#61
Improvement-0.6#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.2% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 19.8% 29.4% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 34.2% 41.0% 29.4%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.5% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 14.1% 19.6%
First Four1.7% 2.2% 1.2%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 41.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 411 - 1212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 53   @ Georgia L 78-83 3%     0 - 1 +7.3 +8.6 -1.1
  Nov 12, 2024 353   West Georgia W 76-73 71%     1 - 1 -13.2 -8.6 -4.8
  Nov 15, 2024 344   VMI W 72-71 58%     2 - 1 -11.4 -8.0 -3.4
  Nov 16, 2024 190   UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-83 20%     2 - 2 -26.4 -15.3 -12.0
  Nov 19, 2024 69   @ Central Florida L 69-80 3%     2 - 3 +0.0 +4.6 -4.9
  Nov 27, 2024 258   Presbyterian L 68-70 42%    
  Nov 29, 2024 75   @ Vanderbilt L 63-84 2%    
  Dec 04, 2024 182   @ North Alabama L 65-77 13%    
  Dec 07, 2024 353   @ West Georgia L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 17, 2024 327   @ Western Illinois L 63-67 36%    
  Dec 19, 2024 355   @ Lindenwood W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 02, 2025 322   Southern Indiana W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 267   Morehead St. L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 09, 2025 318   @ Eastern Illinois L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 271   @ SIU Edwardsville L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 16, 2025 313   Southeast Missouri St. W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 18, 2025 204   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 23, 2025 298   @ Tennessee St. L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 295   @ Tennessee Martin L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 30, 2025 267   @ Morehead St. L 60-68 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 322   @ Southern Indiana L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 06, 2025 271   SIU Edwardsville L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 318   Eastern Illinois W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 13, 2025 204   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-75 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 313   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 20, 2025 295   Tennessee Martin L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 298   Tennessee St. L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 327   Western Illinois W 66-64 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 355   Lindenwood W 72-66 71%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.0 3.2 2.6 0.7 0.1 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.8 0.9 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.7 4.4 1.3 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.5 4.7 1.6 0.1 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.5 4.4 4.1 1.5 0.2 13.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.6 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 11.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.5 6.2 8.3 10.6 11.9 11.2 11.5 10.2 8.3 6.5 4.2 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 95.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 78.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-5 54.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-6 18.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-7 4.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 26.7% 26.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.2% 36.7% 36.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.7% 26.1% 26.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.5
15-5 1.5% 22.5% 22.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.2
14-6 2.5% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.2
13-7 4.2% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 3.8
12-8 6.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.3 6.2
11-9 8.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 8.0
10-10 10.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.1
9-11 11.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.4
8-12 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.2
7-13 11.9% 11.9
6-14 10.6% 10.6
5-15 8.3% 8.3
4-16 6.2% 6.2
3-17 3.5% 3.5
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%