Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#308
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#287
Pace68.1#185
Improvement+0.0#188

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#294
First Shot-1.8#226
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#317
Layup/Dunks-3.7#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#31
Freethrows-3.7#357
Improvement-1.2#243

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#299
First Shot-2.4#255
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks-4.8#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#259
Freethrows+3.1#20
Improvement+1.3#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.9% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 37.2% 61.7% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 96.1% 100.0% 92.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.6% 3.5% 1.7%
First Round2.0% 2.9% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 51.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 415 - 915 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 44   @ Georgia L 78-83 3%     0 - 1 +9.2 +10.9 -1.6
  Nov 12, 2024 348   West Georgia W 76-73 75%     1 - 1 -12.3 -7.7 -4.8
  Nov 15, 2024 309   VMI W 72-71 50%     2 - 1 -7.5 -5.8 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2024 262   UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-83 39%     2 - 2 -30.5 -15.2 -16.2
  Nov 19, 2024 81   @ Central Florida L 69-80 6%     2 - 3 -1.4 +1.5 -3.3
  Nov 27, 2024 270   Presbyterian W 90-75 49%     3 - 3 +6.7 +15.9 -8.6
  Nov 29, 2024 53   @ Vanderbilt L 56-87 3%     3 - 4 -17.8 -12.9 -4.4
  Dec 04, 2024 134   @ North Alabama L 59-82 13%     3 - 5 -19.1 -9.8 -10.8
  Dec 07, 2024 348   @ West Georgia L 73-78 57%     3 - 6 -15.2 -3.3 -12.0
  Dec 17, 2024 351   @ Western Illinois L 68-71 58%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -13.4 -3.0 -10.7
  Dec 19, 2024 335   @ Lindenwood W 79-73 50%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -2.4 +2.7 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2025 343   Southern Indiana W 68-64 73%     5 - 7 2 - 1 -10.8 -17.3 +6.1
  Jan 04, 2025 329   Morehead St. W 74-55 67%     6 - 7 3 - 1 +6.1 -3.2 +9.7
  Jan 09, 2025 338   @ Eastern Illinois W 69-64 52%     7 - 7 4 - 1 -3.9 +2.8 -6.2
  Jan 11, 2025 234   @ SIU Edwardsville L 59-67 25%     7 - 8 4 - 2 -9.4 -10.8 +1.1
  Jan 16, 2025 217   Southeast Missouri St. L 70-77 39%     7 - 9 4 - 3 -12.7 -0.3 -12.8
  Jan 18, 2025 233   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-77 42%     7 - 10 4 - 4 -12.5 +3.4 -16.3
  Jan 23, 2025 269   @ Tennessee St. L 77-89 30%     7 - 11 4 - 5 -15.1 -1.2 -13.3
  Jan 25, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin W 89-85 OT 40%     8 - 11 5 - 5 -1.8 +8.8 -10.8
  Jan 30, 2025 329   @ Morehead St. W 72-64 47%     9 - 11 6 - 5 +0.2 +0.7 +0.0
  Feb 01, 2025 343   @ Southern Indiana W 78-65 55%     10 - 11 7 - 5 +3.3 +1.1 +2.3
  Feb 06, 2025 234   SIU Edwardsville L 58-75 43%     10 - 12 7 - 6 -23.5 -14.3 -9.7
  Feb 08, 2025 338   Eastern Illinois W 59-54 70%     11 - 12 8 - 6 -9.0 -9.8 +1.3
  Feb 13, 2025 233   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 75-79 25%     11 - 13 8 - 7 -5.4 +6.2 -11.6
  Feb 15, 2025 217   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-83 23%     11 - 14 8 - 8 -14.6 -1.0 -14.0
  Feb 20, 2025 306   Tennessee Martin W 71-66 OT 60%     12 - 14 9 - 8 -5.9 -8.9 +2.8
  Feb 22, 2025 269   Tennessee St. L 75-76 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 351   Western Illinois W 73-66 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 335   Lindenwood W 74-69 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 9.1 9.3 3rd
4th 0.0 7.7 18.7 26.4 4th
5th 9.5 35.8 45.4 5th
6th 0.2 10.8 1.6 12.5 6th
7th 2.2 2.7 4.8 7th
8th 1.6 1.6 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 3.9 23.0 45.3 27.9 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 27.9% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.1 1.7 26.0
11-9 45.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 1.2 44.1
10-10 23.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 22.6
9-11 3.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.8
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 3.3 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.9% 100.0% 15.9 7.0 93.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.9%
Lose Out 1.8%