West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#341
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#346
Pace68.6#191
Improvement+1.9#76

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#337
First Shot-6.9#347
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#130
Layup/Dunks+0.1#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#354
Freethrows-3.0#334
Improvement+2.1#55

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#334
First Shot-3.5#293
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#314
Layups/Dunks-1.9#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#268
Freethrows-0.5#227
Improvement-0.2#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 20.0% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.9% 14.2% 31.3%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Home) - 25.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 101 - 14
Quad 46 - 107 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 23   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -17.6 -7.6 -8.5
  Nov 06, 2024 114   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 6%     0 - 2 -16.8 -11.1 -4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 32%     0 - 3 -9.4 -7.0 -2.3
  Nov 15, 2024 166   @ South Florida L 55-74 10%     0 - 4 -16.4 -13.0 -4.8
  Nov 19, 2024 118   Troy L 65-84 15%     0 - 5 -19.2 -0.6 -20.5
  Nov 23, 2024 243   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 18%     0 - 6 -11.5 -19.6 +8.3
  Nov 26, 2024 146   Utah Valley L 74-77 14%     0 - 7 -2.6 +1.9 -4.4
  Nov 27, 2024 131   North Dakota St. L 61-73 11%     0 - 8 -10.3 -11.2 +0.2
  Nov 29, 2024 115   @ Samford L 65-86 6%     0 - 9 -15.1 -8.4 -6.9
  Dec 04, 2024 238   @ Mercer L 72-86 17%     0 - 10 -15.2 +2.7 -18.8
  Dec 07, 2024 328   Tennessee Tech W 78-73 54%     1 - 10 -7.4 -0.2 -7.2
  Dec 17, 2024 190   @ Charlotte L 70-75 12%     1 - 11 -3.5 +1.9 -5.8
  Jan 02, 2025 186   Florida Gulf Coast L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 04, 2025 347   Stetson W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 10, 2025 284   @ Austin Peay L 61-69 23%    
  Jan 11, 2025 110   @ Lipscomb L 62-81 4%    
  Jan 16, 2025 186   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 18, 2025 347   @ Stetson L 72-74 41%    
  Jan 23, 2025 209   Jacksonville L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 207   North Florida L 76-82 29%    
  Jan 29, 2025 340   @ Central Arkansas L 69-72 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 264   @ Queens L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 05, 2025 110   Lipscomb L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 181   North Alabama L 69-76 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 232   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-81 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 344   @ Bellarmine L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 18, 2025 181   @ North Alabama L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 20, 2025 340   Central Arkansas W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 24, 2025 264   Queens L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 284   Austin Peay L 64-66 44%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.7 1.5 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.4 7.7 3.8 0.4 0.0 17.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 5.2 7.9 3.9 0.5 0.0 18.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 5.4 7.4 3.8 0.5 0.0 18.7 11th
12th 0.6 2.6 5.4 5.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 16.7 12th
Total 0.6 2.8 6.8 11.8 15.9 16.9 15.2 11.7 8.4 5.2 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
10-8 2.7% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 2.6
9-9 5.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 5.2
8-10 8.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.3
7-11 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 15.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.2
5-13 16.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.9
4-14 15.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.9
3-15 11.8% 11.8
2-16 6.8% 6.8
1-17 2.8% 2.8
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%