West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#348
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#348
Pace69.5#135
Improvement-0.3#204

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#334
First Shot-6.3#335
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#195
Layup/Dunks+0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#353
Freethrows-3.0#336
Improvement+0.8#141

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#342
First Shot-4.6#313
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#311
Layups/Dunks-2.6#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#248
Freethrows-1.3#271
Improvement-1.1#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.3% 2.9% 32.6%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 100 - 15
Quad 45 - 115 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 28   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -17.7 -7.1 -9.2
  Nov 06, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 4%     0 - 2 -15.6 -9.8 -4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 308   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 25%     0 - 3 -8.9 -5.8 -3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 176   @ South Florida L 55-74 10%     0 - 4 -17.4 -11.6 -7.1
  Nov 19, 2024 118   Troy L 65-84 12%     0 - 5 -18.8 +0.2 -20.9
  Nov 23, 2024 248   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 16%     0 - 6 -12.3 -21.2 +9.1
  Nov 26, 2024 125   Utah Valley L 74-77 9%     0 - 7 -0.9 +2.3 -3.2
  Nov 27, 2024 136   North Dakota St. L 61-73 10%     0 - 8 -10.7 -12.6 +1.2
  Nov 29, 2024 113   @ Samford L 65-86 5%     0 - 9 -15.5 -5.2 -10.5
  Dec 04, 2024 256   @ Mercer L 72-86 17%     0 - 10 -16.7 +3.7 -21.3
  Dec 07, 2024 308   Tennessee Tech W 78-73 43%     1 - 10 -6.0 +1.4 -7.3
  Dec 17, 2024 235   @ Charlotte L 70-75 15%     1 - 11 -6.5 +1.1 -7.9
  Jan 02, 2025 180   Florida Gulf Coast L 68-79 19%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -14.6 -5.9 -9.1
  Jan 04, 2025 349   Stetson L 62-78 60%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -31.4 -20.2 -11.4
  Jan 09, 2025 276   @ Austin Peay W 72-68 20%     2 - 13 1 - 2 +0.1 -3.5 +3.5
  Jan 11, 2025 101   @ Lipscomb L 67-86 4%     2 - 14 1 - 3 -12.0 +0.6 -13.5
  Jan 16, 2025 180   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-82 10%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -20.5 -16.0 -3.7
  Jan 18, 2025 349   @ Stetson L 78-82 41%     2 - 16 1 - 5 -14.3 +1.1 -15.6
  Jan 23, 2025 193   Jacksonville L 62-79 21%     2 - 17 1 - 6 -21.4 -8.0 -14.1
  Jan 25, 2025 266   North Florida W 92-72 33%     3 - 17 2 - 6 +11.9 +6.1 +4.7
  Jan 29, 2025 344   @ Central Arkansas L 70-75 38%     3 - 18 2 - 7 -14.7 -5.1 -9.8
  Feb 01, 2025 231   @ Queens L 68-87 14%     3 - 19 2 - 8 -20.3 -6.7 -13.7
  Feb 05, 2025 101   Lipscomb L 67-76 9%     3 - 20 2 - 9 -7.1 -3.4 -4.0
  Feb 08, 2025 134   North Alabama L 61-78 14%     3 - 21 2 - 10 -18.2 -8.8 -10.8
  Feb 13, 2025 191   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-95 11%     3 - 22 2 - 11 -21.3 -3.5 -17.3
  Feb 15, 2025 340   @ Bellarmine W 81-76 36%     4 - 22 3 - 11 -4.1 +1.6 -5.6
  Feb 18, 2025 134   @ North Alabama L 62-80 7%     4 - 23 3 - 12 -14.1 -10.4 -3.8
  Feb 20, 2025 344   Central Arkansas L 71-82 58%     4 - 24 3 - 13 -25.8 -7.5 -18.5
  Feb 24, 2025 231   Queens L 74-80 28%    
  Feb 26, 2025 276   Austin Peay L 69-73 38%    
Projected Record 5 - 25 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 4.5 4.5 9th
10th 36.3 6.7 42.9 10th
11th 42.2 7.9 0.0 50.1 11th
12th 2.5 2.5 12th
Total 44.7 44.2 11.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-14 44.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 44.2
3-15 44.7% 44.7
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 44.7%